玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.1352.83-20.190.343.20.34N/A-
2024/20.08-37.22-12.370.2224.780.32N/A-
2024/10.1326.3570.040.1370.040.36N/A去年一月工作天數減少
2023/120.1-12.64-49.091.872.730.351.76-
2023/110.12-5.24.031.779.340.780.79-
2023/100.13-76.423.251.659.750.860.72-
2023/90.54175.98503.611.5210.330.810.86本月營收增加主要來自一次性收入認列
2023/80.19143.2870.50.98-23.740.391.78部分客戶需求遞延至8月出貨
2023/70.08-33.05-45.10.79-32.90.342.06-
2023/60.12-14.4-46.210.71-31.170.382.16-
2023/50.1419.73-28.650.59-27.030.421.95-
2023/40.12-26.8-36.220.45-26.510.372.18-
2023/30.1667.81-26.20.33-22.350.332.53-
2023/20.0921.8226.10.17-18.440.382.22-
2023/10.08-62.17-42.980.08-42.980.42.1-
2022/120.2178.5374.931.82-27.740.442.27營收增加來自短期訂單
2022/110.12-5.92-43.481.62-32.770.333.09-
2022/100.1237.82-65.971.5-31.770.333.1由於下游PC廠商積壓過多庫存,下半年均在消化庫存,導致向本公司進貨大幅減少
2022/90.09-22.04-75.61.38-25.070.353.72由於下游PC廠商積壓過多庫存,下半年均在消化庫存,導致向本公司進貨大幅減少
2022/80.11-21.67-40.921.29-12.560.482.7-
2022/70.15-34.39-14.291.17-8.280.562.31-
2022/60.2213.53-12.381.03-7.360.62.18-
2022/50.27.037.030.81-5.870.592.2-
2022/40.18-15.312.520.61-9.370.472.76-
2022/30.22186.77-1.250.43-16.330.433.04-
2022/20.08-44.92-41.830.21-27.590.333.94-
2022/10.1416.06-16.310.14-16.310.462.83-
2021/120.12-42.32-35.092.5257.520.681.74大陸部分地區供電不穩需求減少
2021/110.2-43.3649.422.469.370.931.28客戶需求持續增加
2021/100.36-1.17171.562.271.490.921.3客戶需求持續增加
2021/90.3688.75205.931.8459.930.731.3客戶需求持續增加
2021/80.1913.6439.381.4743.040.621.54-
2021/70.17-32.9336.651.2843.610.611.57-
2021/60.2538.68192.451.1144.730.61.25客戶需求增加
2021/50.1812.5242.010.8625.910.561.33-
2021/40.16-25.68-38.450.6722.150.511.47-
2021/30.2268.9380.70.5177.770.511.45客戶需求增加
2021/20.13-20.7652.180.2975.650.471.56客戶需求增加
2021/10.16-9.98100.090.16100.090.481.54去年一月工作天數減少
2020/120.1832.79-1.761.6-28.20.451.62-
2020/110.142.9223.561.42-30.590.391.88-
2020/100.1311.333.041.28-33.690.391.87-
2020/90.12-14.0-31.391.15-36.310.381.99-
2020/80.1411.42-15.231.03-36.830.352.17-
2020/70.1243.51-48.150.89-39.240.342.24-
2020/60.09-32.65-60.240.77-37.50.481.426月仍受疫情影響,導致大尺吋玻璃觸控系統工程延至第三季完工,營收將逐漸成長
2020/50.13-51.23-37.080.68-32.580.511.32-
2020/40.26118.239.930.55-31.440.471.45-
2020/30.1242.27-65.290.29-53.30.292.43受疫情影響,4月起將陸續改善
2020/20.094.17-18.510.17-37.660.351.99-
2020/10.08-55.8-49.920.08-49.920.381.86-
2019/120.1867.0370.882.23-0.050.421.7客戶需求增加
2019/110.11-14.16-37.332.04-3.670.411.74-
2019/100.13-25.86-14.721.93-0.620.471.54-
2019/90.176.24-15.691.810.560.581.11-
2019/80.16-31.85-20.251.632.670.621.03-
2019/70.2410.067.251.476.070.660.97-
2019/60.226.57-12.021.235.850.611.08-
2019/50.28.46-37.461.0110.710.0N/A-
2019/40.19-45.889.10.837.690.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.132023/10.082022/10.142021/10.162020/10.08
2024/20.082023/20.092022/20.082021/20.132020/20.09
2024/30.132023/30.162022/30.222021/30.222020/30.12
N/AN/A2023/40.122022/40.182021/40.162020/40.26
N/AN/A2023/50.142022/50.22021/50.182020/50.13
N/AN/A2023/60.122022/60.222021/60.252020/60.09
N/AN/A2023/70.082022/70.152021/70.172020/70.12
N/AN/A2023/80.192022/80.112021/80.192020/80.14
N/AN/A2023/90.542022/90.092021/90.362020/90.12
N/AN/A2023/100.132022/100.122021/100.362020/100.13
N/AN/A2023/110.122022/110.122021/110.22020/110.14
N/AN/A2023/120.12022/120.212021/120.122020/120.18
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.03%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.02-33.33-33.33
23Q3 (19)0.030.00.0
23Q2 (18)0.030.0200.0
23Q1 (17)0.030.0200.0
22Q4 (16)0.030.0200.0
22Q3 (15)0.03200.00.0
22Q2 (14)0.010.0-75.0
22Q1 (13)0.010.0-75.0
21Q4 (12)0.01-66.670
21Q3 (11)0.03-25.0200.0
21Q2 (10)0.040.00
21Q1 (9)0.0400

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