3570 大塚


股價漲跌幅
202220212020
大塚12.0%-1.0%-15.0%
0050-15.78%3.82%50.48%


現價可能漲跌幅 1合理價(本益比法)一年後目標價報酬率可能漲跌幅 2合理價(ROE法)
87.6 -11.38% 77.63 89.27 1.91% N/A N/A

  • 合理價(本益比法): 從 "一年後目標價" 回推得到
  • 可能漲跌幅 1: "合理價(本益比法)" 和 "現價" 的差距
  • 報酬率: 一年後可能的報酬率
  • 可能漲跌幅 2: "合理價(ROE法)" 和 "現價" 的差距
  • 推估價格僅供參考, Please Do Your Own Research

營業毛利率,營業利益率,稅前淨利率,股東權益報酬率-近10年
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
營業毛利率36.9638.7736.3434.6035.0738.9937.6342.3743.7544.60
營業利益率13.6314.3914.459.874.449.7311.1213.4612.8112.10
折舊負擔比率2.001.771.330.320.440.350.410.340.660.66
稅前淨利率13.7814.5714.6710.084.8810.3610.8613.4912.8612.58
股東權益報酬率19.8519.9623.0513.384.7513.2215.3817.6317.0713.69
資產報酬率15.0614.8617.0710.643.9610.5411.8513.6413.3210.81
本業收入比98.8898.7998.3197.8590.9194.44101.87100.0098.9896.10
業外獲益比1.121.211.692.159.095.56-2.800.000.003.90
無形資產佔淨值比0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

營業毛利率,營業利益率,稅前淨利率,股東權益報酬率-近20季
22Q121Q421Q321Q221Q120Q420Q320Q220Q119Q419Q319Q219Q118Q418Q318Q218Q1
營業毛利率39.2339.4037.9334.8635.3041.7638.6036.7438.2133.4537.2237.2838.0833.4335.1035.4034.68
營業利益率16.7415.3515.7912.1510.8015.4512.5113.4915.9113.5114.6214.5315.3711.9311.279.864.36
稅前淨利率15.0615.5815.8612.2311.0515.5412.7113.7016.1213.7415.0114.6015.5612.0311.5210.394.27
本業收入比112.0098.15100.00100.0097.06100.00100.0097.50100.0097.9297.6297.73100.00100.0096.5595.83100.00
業外獲益比-12.001.850.000.002.940.003.032.502.042.082.380.002.330.003.454.17-0.00

現金流量-近10年 (1.避開自由現金流量近3年都小於0的公司 2.營運現金流量要大於稅後淨利,除非受到應收帳款和存貨影響 3.營運現金流量不應該都是流出)
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
營運現金流量(百萬)1022111518558708711941-11
自由現金流量(百萬)552101117154647810133-16
稅後淨利(百萬)14513714374267584897960


現金流量-近20季
22Q121Q421Q321Q221Q120Q420Q320Q220Q119Q419Q319Q219Q118Q418Q318Q218Q1
營運現金流量(百萬)-2183-3961-3626697420467114-5304516
自由現金流量(百萬)-2758-4449-9591777318334812-8224315
稅後淨利(百萬)404443312634263640403435342622206

成長能力-近10年 (營業利益和稅後淨利成長率要大於營收成長率)
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
營收(百萬)130111301205924676869984874760609
營業利益(百萬)1771631749130851091189774
稅後淨利(百萬)14513714374267584897960
EPS(完全稀釋)8.437.948.314.311.504.384.855.234.610.00
營收成長率(%)15.13-6.2230.4136.69-22.21-11.6912.5915.0024.79N/A
營業利益成長率(%)8.59-6.3291.21203.33-64.71-22.02-7.6321.6531.08N/A
稅後淨利成長率(%)5.84-4.2093.24184.62-65.33-10.71-5.6212.6631.67N/A
EPS成長率(%)6.17-4.4592.81187.33-65.75-9.69-7.2713.45N/AN/A

成長能力-近20季
22Q121Q421Q321Q221Q120Q420Q320Q220Q119Q419Q319Q219Q118Q418Q318Q218Q1
營收(百萬)333345337315303270261292307347283299277275252228167
營業利益(百萬)565353383342333949474143433328237
稅後淨利(百萬)404443312634263640403435342622206
EPS(完全稀釋)2.342.592.531.831.552.001.522.112.362.351.962.042.021.531.311.160.33
去年同期營收成長率(%)9.9027.7829.127.88-1.30-22.19-7.77-2.3410.8326.1812.3031.1465.870.000.000.00-
去年同期營業利益成長率(%)69.7026.1960.61-2.56-32.65-10.64-19.51-9.3013.9542.4246.4386.96514.290.000.000.00-
去年同期稅後淨利成長率(%)53.8529.4165.38-13.89-35.00-15.00-23.532.8617.6553.8554.5575.00466.670.000.000.00-
去年同期EPS成長率(%)50.9729.5066.45-13.27-34.32-14.89-22.453.4316.8353.5949.6275.86512.120.000.000.00-
較上季營收成長率(%)-3.482.376.983.9612.223.45-10.62-4.89-11.5322.61-5.357.940.739.1310.5336.530.00
較上季營業利益成長率(%)5.660.0039.4715.15-21.4327.27-15.38-20.414.2614.63-4.650.0030.3017.8621.74228.570.00
較上季稅後淨利成長率(%)-9.092.3338.7119.23-23.5330.77-27.78-10.000.0017.65-2.862.9430.7718.1810.00233.330.00
較上季EPS成長率(%)-9.652.3738.2518.06-22.5031.58-27.96-10.590.4319.90-3.920.9932.0316.7912.93251.520.00

每月營收變化
年/月月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收年增率(%)年/月月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收年增率(%)
2022/4-20.354.198.092019/1225.1622.8330.49
2022/396.8335.649.62019/11-32.1236.9931.37
2022/1~2-22.61-5.91-5.92019/1044.322.0230.87
2021/1244.3921.2915.122019/92.666.9132.4
2021/11-18.732.7814.442019/8-2.7325.6736.46
2021/1011.5431.8413.072019/70.445.9538.09
2021/9-19.356.5611.162019/6-5.4518.5245.39
2021/822.2982.6411.742019/5-3.4856.052.19
2021/7-3.2912.664.542019/4-3.4823.3351.21
2021/622.312.323.272019/3106.0781.6365.24
2021/5-24.39-2.863.482019/1~2-55.3156.2756.26
2021/43.6724.384.932018/1239.5969.2936.57
2021/378.824.26-1.052018/11-39.5461.833.61
2021/1~2-50.05-3.97-3.972018/1026.4378.131.56
2020/1258.07-4.05-6.282018/920.6818.4225.86
2020/11-19.28-24.02-6.512018/8-17.9958.4127.13
2020/10-9.84-36.11-4.882018/712.3565.6723.43
2020/938.222.240.112018/624.4455.9816.68
2020/8-24.56-24.05-0.152018/5-23.723.929.69
2020/7-12.17-2.083.142018/442.1429.086.56
2020/616.111.984.02018/331.93-28.06-2.02
2020/5-3.18-8.812.432018/1~2-29.0522.222.19
2020/4-13.09-9.095.42017/1233.41-4.53-22.19
2020/320.890.9510.842017/11-33.45-40.75-23.46
2020/1~2-16.9317.1417.132017/10-15.92-7.49-21.81

稅前淨利較去年同期
2022Q1(百萬)2021Q1(百萬)YoY(%)
50.034.047.058
2021Q4(百萬)2020Q4(百萬)YoY(%)
54.042.028.571
2021Q3(百萬)2020Q3(百萬)YoY(%)
53.033.060.606

EPS較上季
2022Q1(元)2021Q4(元)比率
2.342.59-0.096

應收帳周轉率和存貨周轉率-近10年
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
應收帳款周轉率5.034.664.273.943.593.963.933.493.403.40
存貨周轉率9.037.8211.0210.125.346.399.338.387.757.67

應收帳周轉率和存貨周轉率-近20季
22Q121Q421Q321Q221Q120Q420Q320Q220Q119Q419Q319Q219Q118Q418Q318Q218Q1
應收帳款周轉率1.121.191.331.281.341.301.181.231.171.351.151.141.011.051.111.160.92
存貨周轉率1.662.082.232.792.562.062.542.862.402.762.172.282.684.203.912.921.75

償債能力-近10年
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
負債比0.250.240.280.240.160.170.230.230.230.21
金融負債(百萬)0000000000
營收淨額(百萬)130111301205924676869984874760609
利息保障倍數297.77210.40220.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
長期銀行借款占稅後淨利比0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00

成本指標-近10年
2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
營收淨額(百萬)130111301205924676869984874760609
推銷費用(百萬)251227215186171194206204190163
管理費用(百萬)45414135304749464233
研發費(百萬)88676146333
推銷費用率(%)19.2920.0917.8420.1325.3022.3220.9323.3425.0026.77
管理費用率(%)3.463.633.403.794.445.414.985.265.535.42
研發費用率(%)0.610.710.500.760.891.610.610.340.390.49

成本指標-近20季
22Q121Q421Q321Q221Q120Q420Q320Q220Q119Q419Q319Q219Q118Q418Q318Q218Q1
營收淨額(百萬)333345337315303270261292307347283299277275252228167
推銷費用(百萬)6370615962595656575949555250484741
管理費用(百萬)10121211101011101091111981098
研發費(百萬)22222222222122222
推銷費用率(%)18.9220.2918.1018.7320.4621.8521.4619.1818.5717.0017.3118.3918.7718.1819.0520.6124.55
管理費用率(%)3.003.483.563.493.303.704.213.423.262.593.893.683.252.913.973.954.79
研發費用率(%)0.600.580.590.630.660.740.770.680.650.580.710.330.720.730.790.881.20

財務健檢燈號
公司上市滿三年資本額10億以上股本形成中現金增資比率低於50%負債比率低於50%董監持股設質低於10%現金(含約當現金)占股本超過50%過去4季累積正營運現金流量過去4季ROE超過25%過去6個月的營收維持正的年成長率過去4季的EPS年增率是正數
3570-大塚OXXOOOOXXX
14年1.71億85.63%30.27%0.0%254.39%84百萬21.72%


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