玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/24.86-46.19-14.1213.930.3222.71N/A-
2024/19.042.6680.629.0480.6224.85N/A主要係農曆春節前為客戶出貨旺季,且中國大陸飲料市場已漸次復甦成長,另為公司近年度新產能挹注與產線效率優化之效益所致
2023/128.825.69-2.982.6-4.8321.490.47-
2023/117.023.39-5.2673.8-5.0619.430.52-
2023/105.68-15.91-11.8566.79-5.0421.310.47-
2023/96.75-24.034.2461.12-4.3523.180.48-
2023/88.8917.85-11.2454.37-5.3224.410.46-
2023/77.54-5.57-13.3245.48-4.0722.540.5-
2023/67.9913.867.6337.94-1.9921.30.52-
2023/57.0111.28-0.3729.95-4.2719.290.57-
2023/46.35.517.722.94-5.417.940.61-
2023/35.975.46-15.1216.64-9.5716.640.67-
2023/25.6613.1624.7210.67-6.1419.730.57-
2023/15.0-44.81-26.685.0-26.6821.470.52-
2022/129.0722.644.5586.811.0722.90.37-
2022/117.3914.8-4.2977.7311.8820.310.42-
2022/106.44-0.55-11.0370.3413.9122.930.37-
2022/96.48-35.326.9363.917.2225.190.62-
2022/810.0115.0837.1757.4218.5126.130.6-
2022/78.717.2727.647.4115.223.160.67-
2022/67.425.394.0138.7112.7420.310.99-
2022/57.0420.2920.5131.2915.0319.931.01-
2022/45.85-16.8420.6224.2513.5317.431.15-
2022/37.0454.9820.4418.411.4518.41.15-
2022/24.54-33.4854.311.376.5220.041.06農曆年節後進入行業淡季,但在生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常,復加上去年度同期基期較低,因而顯現在本月銷售優於去年同期
2022/16.83-21.29-11.666.83-11.6623.220.91-
2021/128.6712.2527.778.1534.923.640.75-
2021/117.736.7235.4569.4735.8621.020.84-
2021/107.2419.5399.4261.7535.9120.590.86農曆春節旺季提前及主要原材料成本上漲,因而使客戶端下單備貨積極,復加上去年度同期基期較低所致
2021/96.06-17.0314.1154.5130.420.170.73-
2021/87.37.0520.2448.4532.7721.250.69-
2021/76.82-4.421.9841.1535.2719.790.74-
2021/67.1322.143.5934.3438.2617.820.78-
2021/55.8420.4118.4227.236.9316.530.84-
2021/44.85-16.97-2.1121.3643.0413.641.02-
2021/35.8498.5648.1216.5165.4616.510.79農曆年節後進入行業淡季,唯目前生產及出貨仍維持穩定正常,復加上去年度同期基期較低,因而顯現在本季度逐月銷售優於去年同期
2021/22.94-61.92116.6410.6776.817.460.75因受農曆春節節後淡季影響,而整體的出貨及生產量因長假因素而減少所致,此外則為去年度同期基期較低
2021/17.7313.7765.237.7365.2320.220.65因受惠於傳統農曆春節前旺季,而整體金屬包裝產品及充填灌裝代工業務出貨量與金額攀升所致, 此外則為去年度同期基期較低
2020/126.7919.07-17.9557.92-4.5816.120.72-
2020/115.757.12-6.5551.13-2.4614.640.79-
2020/103.63-31.6-2.0945.43-1.9215.010.77-
2020/95.31-12.5715.2241.8-1.9116.970.61-
2020/86.078.6-8.5736.49-3.9916.630.62-
2020/75.5912.528.3230.42-3.0215.490.67-
2020/64.970.75.7524.83-5.2514.850.69-
2020/54.93-0.47-0.5819.87-7.6513.830.74-
2020/44.9625.6351.4714.93-9.7810.261.0因客戶端於節後淡季及疫情影響後已陸續復產,加之前述遞延訂單已漸次下單及出貨已趨增溫而導致
2020/33.94190.42-15.819.98-24.869.981.23-
2020/21.36-70.95-42.716.03-29.814.310.86-
2020/14.68-43.5-24.884.68-24.8819.060.64-
2019/128.2835.6215.960.719.5518.090.54-
2019/116.164.6227.9552.438.6114.420.67-
2019/103.71-19.49-9.3946.326.4814.950.65-
2019/94.61-30.638.1642.628.1316.40.66-
2019/86.6428.6855.8138.018.1316.50.66部分客戶銷售出貨暢旺及產品進入產業旺季
2019/75.169.8526.3831.371.5514.820.73-
2019/64.7-5.3226.2226.21-2.2212.930.8-
2019/54.9651.6420.6521.51-6.812.920.8-
2019/43.27-30.1724.4916.55-12.750.0N/A-
2019/34.6997.626.213.28-18.740.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.042023/15.02022/16.832021/17.732020/14.68
2024/24.862023/25.662022/24.542021/22.942020/21.36
N/AN/A2023/35.972022/37.042021/35.842020/33.94
N/AN/A2023/46.32022/45.852021/44.852020/44.96
N/AN/A2023/57.012022/57.042021/55.842020/54.93
N/AN/A2023/67.992022/67.422021/67.132020/64.97
N/AN/A2023/77.542022/78.72021/76.822020/75.59
N/AN/A2023/88.892022/810.012021/87.32020/86.07
N/AN/A2023/96.752022/96.482021/96.062020/95.31
N/AN/A2023/105.682022/106.442021/107.242020/103.63
N/AN/A2023/117.02022/117.392021/117.732020/115.7
N/AN/A2023/128.82022/129.072021/128.672020/126.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.68-1.45-28.42
23Q3 (19)0.6921.0540.82
23Q2 (18)0.57-16.18-18.57
23Q1 (17)0.68-28.42-23.6
22Q4 (16)0.9593.881.06
22Q3 (15)0.49-30.0-28.99
22Q2 (14)0.7-21.35-11.39
22Q1 (13)0.89-5.32-26.45
21Q4 (12)0.9436.235.62
21Q3 (11)0.69-12.660
21Q2 (10)0.79-34.710
21Q1 (9)1.2135.9628.72
20Q4 (8)0.8900

每月營收相關資訊

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。