玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)4850.00.0-0.40-118.2660.00.45164.71197.834.09-8.9120.2980.59-7.267.4120.988.6565.337.0115.111474.51-1.93-118.2160.213.63-80.11187.68-1.45-109.6281.05-0.79-46.2093.07
23Q3 (19)4850.00.02.1925.86108.570.1721.43118.894.4994.372.0586.95.685.6319.3111.9436.186.0962.4391.1310.625.89108.2518.2530.4540.2815.0817.6370.015.38115.56110.72
23Q2 (18)4850.00.01.74205.2610.830.14200.0-78.792.31305.26-31.0482.235.09-16.5317.2528.54-20.913.75240.91-64.058.42205.0710.7913.99139.97-7.0412.82144.6626.314.69181.13134.78
23Q1 (17)4850.00.00.57157.0-68.16-0.1469.57-113.210.57-83.24-68.1678.254.29-19.4613.425.75-35.821.1315.69-88.362.76156.91-68.135.83240.82-56.265.24168.5-55.33-2.26-19.1259.23
22Q4 (16)4850.00.0-1.00-195.24-151.28-0.4648.89-156.793.40-22.73-79.275.03-8.8-16.7412.69-10.51-40.76-0.51-141.13-106.3-4.85-195.28-151.21-4.14-131.82-127.38-7.65-186.25-157.48-12.64-114.18-93.74
22Q3 (15)4850.00.01.05-33.12-80.98-0.90-236.36-125.574.4031.34-69.4482.27-16.49-24.7614.18-34.98-56.071.24-88.11-95.055.09-33.03-80.9813.01-13.55-59.098.87-12.61-67.71-7.55-22.70-137.05
22Q2 (14)4850.00.01.57-12.29-67.430.66-37.74-85.073.3587.15-62.2798.511.39-15.4921.814.3-35.9310.4310.37-64.77.6-12.24-67.4915.0512.9-44.3210.15-13.47-53.534.61-10.25-3.44
22Q1 (13)4850.0-0.211.79-8.21-55.911.0630.86-64.191.79-89.05-55.9197.167.82-7.5220.91-2.38-28.789.4516.67-55.578.66-8.55-56.0413.33-11.84-47.3511.73-11.87-44.28-4.88-36.44-23.06
21Q4 (12)4850.0-0.211.95-64.67-43.310.81-76.99-70.2216.3513.5419.6990.11-17.59-10.921.42-33.64-29.198.1-67.69-60.269.47-64.61-43.2315.12-52.45-35.9113.31-51.55-25.64-11.89-25.08-48.67
21Q3 (11)4850.0-0.215.5214.5212.883.52-20.36-6.6314.4062.1640.76109.35-6.195.932.28-5.17-5.8325.07-15.16-4.5726.7614.4612.5331.8017.653.3827.4725.787.852.3916.6214.48
21Q2 (10)485-0.21-0.214.8218.7221.114.4249.3230.08.88118.7266.6116.5710.9632.7834.0415.940.7129.5538.9331.7423.3818.6820.9527.036.75-6.1121.843.75-7.347.4318.3729.07
21Q1 (9)4860.00.214.0618.02200.742.968.82101.364.06-70.28200.74105.063.8964.6229.36-2.9411.7621.274.37111.4319.718.11201.2225.327.3370.7321.0517.689.640.92-5.81-9.52
20Q4 (8)4860.00.213.44-29.6545.762.72-27.8544.6813.6633.53-0.44101.13-2.0650.6930.25-11.7613.2120.38-22.4268.2916.68-29.8645.9323.59-23.319.7717.90-29.72-2.457.78-3.39-8.48
20Q3 (7)4860.00.214.8922.8637.363.7710.8859.7510.2391.93-10.03103.2617.6242.4134.281.4218.2526.2717.1276.1923.7823.0237.730.766.847.725.478.061.9227.59108.8471.08
20Q2 (6)4860.210.213.98194.8131.353.40131.2925.935.33294.81-31.6787.7937.5611.4233.8028.66-8.7522.43122.96-0.5319.33195.5731.4128.7994.13-6.1323.57112.3417.2616.3376.0054.74
20Q1 (5)4850.00.211.35-42.8-71.71.47-21.81-64.491.35-90.16-71.763.82-4.9-23.0526.27-1.68-38.4810.06-16.93-63.236.54-42.78-71.6614.83-30.99-59.5111.10-39.51-62.49--0.00
19Q4 (4)4850.00.02.36-33.710.01.88-20.340.013.7220.670.067.11-7.450.026.72-7.830.012.11-18.780.011.43-33.820.021.49-24.750.018.35-26.570.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)4850.00.03.5617.490.02.36-12.590.011.3745.770.072.51-7.970.028.99-21.730.014.91-33.880.017.2717.40.028.56-6.880.024.9924.330.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)4850.210.03.03-36.480.02.70-34.780.07.8063.520.078.79-5.00.037.04-13.260.022.55-17.580.014.71-36.270.030.67-16.270.020.10-32.070.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)4840.00.04.770.00.04.140.00.04.770.00.082.940.00.042.700.00.027.360.00.023.080.00.036.630.00.029.590.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/328.2920.441.781.544.1881.54N/A-
2024/223.49-21.06-9.0253.245.5578.44N/A-
2024/129.7618.120.8529.7620.8583.03N/A-
2023/1225.2-10.256.23327.75-7.2380.530.86-
2023/1128.082.994.82302.55-8.284.680.82-
2023/1027.26-7.1211.26274.48-9.3585.280.82-
2023/929.352.376.57247.22-11.1786.810.8-
2023/828.67-0.418.6217.87-13.1284.770.82-
2023/728.795.431.34189.2-15.6783.470.83-
2023/627.31-0.25-9.11160.41-18.1482.150.86-
2023/527.37-0.35-17.59133.11-19.7882.660.86-
2023/427.47-1.24-21.84105.73-20.3281.110.87-
2023/327.827.74-20.4478.26-19.7878.260.92-
2023/225.824.85-8.750.44-19.4174.160.97-
2023/124.623.82-28.2324.62-28.2375.120.96-
2022/1223.72-11.44-19.05353.32-16.0575.01.05-
2022/1126.789.32-16.13329.6-15.8278.821.0-
2022/1024.5-11.04-14.2302.82-15.878.441.01-
2022/927.544.32-19.87278.32-15.9382.351.11-
2022/826.4-7.06-28.59250.78-15.4884.851.07-
2022/728.41-5.45-26.46224.38-13.6191.670.99-
2022/630.05-9.56-19.39195.98-11.3798.421.01-
2022/533.22-5.48-16.39165.93-9.74103.340.96-
2022/435.150.52-10.98132.71-7.9198.41.01-
2022/334.9723.64-6.9497.56-6.7597.561.01-
2022/228.28-17.57-5.462.59-6.6491.891.07COVID-19 在中國和香港地區確診人數攀升阻礙部分物流,及農曆期間工作日減少影響了訂單的履行,2月份合併營收為28.3億元.
2022/134.3117.1-7.6434.31-7.6495.551.03受農曆新年假期前提前拉貨以及NB、伺服器、記憶儲存設備穩健的需求影響,華新科技1月份全球合併淨營收為新台幣 34.3億。
2021/1229.3-8.25-11.37420.8818.4189.791.08除了耶誕節假期和年終庫存盤點影響之外,因中國大陸疫情影響,進出口運輸均有所延遲,12月份營收為29.3億。
2021/1131.9311.83-8.39391.5821.4694.861.02自11月起,將雙信電機全球合併營收納入,伺服器、車用及工控等各項需求均保持穩定正向,11月合併營收新台幣31.9億.
2021/1028.55-16.92-12.92359.6425.0899.890.97受中國黃金周工作日減少、晶片供應、貨櫃短缺及中國局部區域限電措施影響,10月份全球合併營收為新台幣 28.6 億。
2021/934.37-7.03-3.53331.0929.98109.970.78受晶片供應、貨櫃短缺及中國大陸局部區域限電措施影響客戶下單與出貨,華新科技 9 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 34.4 億。
2021/836.97-4.298.46296.7235.43112.870.76儘管巿場整體需求仍在,考量晶片供應因素,客戶延遲出貨,華新科技 8 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 36.97 億。
2021/738.633.6314.96259.7540.39115.640.74受整體需求強勁,產能利用率持續提升影響,華新科技 7 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 38.6 億。
2021/637.27-6.1917.75221.1246.04116.490.62受年中盤點及疫情影響,以致對下游客戶訂單的出貨減少,華新科技 6 月份全球合併營收為新台幣 37.3 億。
2021/539.740.6337.94183.8553.51116.80.62五月雲端、遊戲及居家辦公設備需求持續強勁,唯因時值長假期間工作天數減少影響,5月份全球合併淨營收為新台幣 39.7億。
2021/439.495.0745.11144.1158.44106.960.684月合併營收39.5億,較 3月增5.1%,與去年4月比增45.1%,累計較去年增58.5%,受5G應用、雲端及筆電遊戲機需求影響。
2021/337.5825.6953.66104.6364.13104.630.623月合併營收37.6億,較2月增25.7%,與去年3月比增53.7%,累計較去年增64.1%,因宅經濟.雲端需求.電動車市場,及年後復工良好.
2021/229.9-19.5256.3467.0570.65100.110.642月合併營收29.9億,較1月減19.5%,與去年2月比增56.3%,累計較去年增 70.7%,雖終端需求仍強,但因農曆春節期間工作天數減少.
2021/137.1512.3784.2237.1584.22105.070.611月合併營收37.2億,較去年12月增12.4%,與去年1月比增84.2%,累計較去年增 84.2%,因客戶提前為筆電、遊戲機及5G等需求備料.
2020/1233.06-5.1753.63355.4318.69100.710.5912月合併營收33.1億,較11月減5.2%,與去年12月比增53.6%,累計較去年增18.7%,因耶誕假期及年終盤點及宅經濟需求、5G及電動車成長.
2020/1134.866.3154.28322.3815.99103.280.5811月合併營收34.9億,較10月增6.3%,與去年11月比增54.3%,累計較去年增16%.因5G應用及電動車市場成長,耶誕節及農曆新年前提前備貨.
2020/1032.79-7.9655.89287.5112.6102.50.5810月合併營收32.8億,較9月減8%,與去年10月比增55.9%,累計較去年增12.6%,因受中國黃金周工作日減和歐洲地區疫情加劇的影響.
2020/935.634.5350.29254.728.71103.310.559月合併營收35.6億,較8月增4.5%,與去年9月比增50.3%,累計較去年增8.7%,茲因5G新機陸續發表及中國地區十一長假提前拉貨.
2020/834.081.4439.68219.094.0399.340.578月合併營收34.1億,較7月增1.4%,與去年8月比增 39.7%,累計較去年增4%,茲因中國加速擴大內需巿場及5G相關需求持續增長.
2020/733.66.1539.27185.01-0.6394.060.617月合併營收33.6億,較6月增6.2%,與去年7月比增39.3%,累計較去年減0.6%,受居家防疫的宅經濟影響,促進5G建置和雲端設備需求.
2020/631.659.8833.53151.41-6.5787.670.586月合併營收31.7億(自6月起併入佳邦科技),較5月增9.9%,較去年6月增 33.5%,累計較去年同期減 6.6%,因歐美陸續復工,出貨增加.
2020/528.85.867.31119.76-13.4480.470.635月合併營收28.8億,較4月增5.9%,與去年 5月比增7.3%,整體較去年同期減13.5%.因大陸城市陸續開放,經濟活動重啓,需求增溫.
2020/427.2111.26-3.9490.95-18.4470.790.724月合併營收27.2億,較3月增11.3%,與去年4月比減3.9%,累計較去年同期減18.5%,因電腦及網通需求增,中國廠區產能恢復,供貨未受影響.
2020/324.4627.88-12.9263.74-23.3863.740.73月合併營收24.5億,較2月增27.9%,與去年3月比減12.9%,累計較去年同期減23.4%,因大陸陸續復工、出貨恢復、PC需求增加。
2020/219.12-5.17-13.439.29-28.7160.810.732月合併營收19.1億,較1月減5.2%,與去年 2月比減 13.4% ,累計較去年同期減 28.7%,因人力短缺及營運日減少所致。
2020/120.17-6.28-38.9420.17-38.9464.280.691月合併營收20.2億,較去年12月減6.3%,與去年1月比減38.9%,累計營收較去年同期減38.9%,茲因受農曆春節期間工作天數減少影響。
2019/1221.52-4.77-29.04299.45-37.3865.150.6612月合併營收21.5億,較11月減4.8%,與去年12月比減29%,累計較去年同期減 37.4%.因盤點及耶誕工作日减;低庫存後續需求仍強.
2019/1122.67.43-43.94277.93-37.9567.340.6411月合併營收22.6億,較10月增7.5%,與去年11月比減44%,累計較去年同期減38%.因通路庫存已消化,價格趨穩定,各類客戶均積極拉貨.
2019/1021.03-11.27-55.92255.33-37.3669.140.6210月合併營收21億,較9月減11.3%,與去年10月比減55.9%,累計較去年同期減37.4%,因中國黃金周工作天數減少和人力不足,致供貨短缺。
2019/923.71-2.84-62.33234.3-34.8972.230.659月合併營收23.7億,較8月減2.8%,較去年同期減62.3%,累計較去年同期減34.9.%,因本公司庫存控制及平均單價自歷史高點回落。
2019/824.41.14-60.35210.59-29.0872.230.658月合併營收24.4億,較7月增1.1%,因受產業傳統旺季需求增加影響。累計較去年同期少29.1%。
2019/724.121.78-56.19186.19-20.974.670.637月合併營收24.1億,較6月增1.8%,與去年同期比減56.2%,累計較去年同期減20.9%,因時值產業傳統旺季需求增加,但價格回落影響。
2019/623.7-11.68-44.56162.07-10.1378.870.696月合併營收23.7億,較5月減 11.7%,與去年6月減 44.6%,累計較去年同期減10.1%,因年中庫存調節與盤點及中美貿易戰不確定性影響。
2019/526.84-5.24-31.5138.360.560.0N/A5月合併營收26.8億,較4月減5.2%,與去年5月比減31.5%,累計較去年同期增0.6%,茲因中美貿易戰加劇,終端需求減緩。
2019/428.330.85-9.47111.5213.330.0N/A4月份合併營收28.3億,較3月增0.8%,與去年4月比減9.5%,累計較去年同期增13.3%,因全球經濟前景不明朗,終端客戶保守下單。
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4850.04.0019.40.6169.44327.98-7.0817.80-0.2817.95-12.9134.85-1.519.8520.23
2022 (9)4850.03.35-78.690.36-96.93352.97-16.1817.85-39.9220.61-75.4635.38-66.7816.51-79.19
2021 (8)485-0.2115.7216.9611.723.17421.0918.2929.71-5.9284.06.14106.517.8779.3219.6
2020 (7)4860.2113.44-1.8311.362.53355.9918.1431.58-8.0979.142.8690.350.7666.32-0.26
2019 (6)4850.2113.69-66.1711.08-72.15301.34-36.934.36-43.1176.94-69.4789.67-64.9866.49-66.26
2018 (5)484-4.3540.47687.3539.79732.43477.55120.6360.40132.58252.01665.29256.08614.71197.05655.27
2017 (4)506-7.165.1430.794.7828.15216.4517.0625.979.932.9343.2435.8335.7226.0921.24
2016 (3)545-15.773.93111.293.73133.12184.9115.3623.6330.8422.99121.2726.479.9621.5278.44
2015 (2)647-4.851.86129.631.60190.91160.2910.6718.0620.8810.39150.3614.67109.5712.06118.87
2014 (1)680-0.730.8100.550144.8310.9314.9404.1507.005.510

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