玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/35.5617.2313.2115.6117.0815.61N/A-
2024/24.75-10.498.1910.0519.3315.29N/A-
2024/15.31.1631.455.331.4515.54N/A-
2023/125.244.819.6957.8239.015.560.6-
2023/115.0-5.8925.7252.5841.2715.350.61-
2023/105.315.4139.6947.5843.1315.310.61-
2023/95.041.735.3342.2743.5814.490.63-
2023/84.9610.2839.3637.2344.7714.290.64-
2023/74.49-7.1223.032.2745.6414.050.65-
2023/64.842.638.5827.7850.1214.440.58主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2023/54.72-3.552.2922.9452.814.520.58主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2023/44.89-0.5483.2118.2252.9314.190.59主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2023/34.9112.0343.7713.3344.1913.330.59-
2023/24.398.7455.728.4244.4412.80.61主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2023/14.03-7.8833.94.0333.912.390.63-
2022/124.3810.0838.3341.647.3712.160.66-
2022/113.984.5638.2137.2248.5111.510.7-
2022/103.82.1246.2133.2449.8511.080.72-
2022/93.724.7264.9329.4450.3310.930.6主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2022/83.56-2.6670.3325.7148.4310.70.61主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2022/73.654.6462.8922.1645.4210.240.64主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2022/63.4912.7557.418.542.419.260.75主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2022/53.116.0834.0715.0139.329.180.75-
2022/42.67-21.9527.3311.9140.758.90.78-
2022/33.4221.3485.369.2545.179.250.71主要係新機種量產出貨,且客戶需求增加導致營收成長。
2022/22.82-6.4932.955.8328.798.990.73-
2022/13.01-4.8325.133.0125.139.060.72-
2021/123.179.9823.9328.2341.458.640.78-
2021/112.8810.6234.8525.0644.027.740.87-
2021/102.615.231.2122.1845.316.950.97-
2021/92.268.1520.3519.5847.416.590.88-
2021/82.09-6.9126.9217.3251.866.550.89主要係因去年累計受新型冠狀病毒影響造成低基期所致。
2021/72.241.1153.7315.2356.066.770.86主要係因去年同期及去年累計受新型冠狀病毒影響造成低基期所致。
2021/62.22-3.9566.9312.9956.476.620.75主要係因去年同期及去年累計受新型冠狀病毒影響造成低基期所致。
2021/52.3110.2491.5210.7754.486.250.79主要係因去年同期及去年累計受新型冠狀病毒影響造成低基期所致。
2021/42.113.6264.918.4646.746.060.82主要係因去年同期受新型冠狀病毒影響造成低基期所致。
2021/31.84-12.9513.436.3741.616.370.72-
2021/22.12-11.9984.224.5357.557.080.65主要係去年同期因受新型冠狀病毒影響延遲復工所致。
2021/12.41-5.7439.752.4139.757.10.65-
2020/122.5519.6731.1219.95-9.056.670.58-
2020/112.137.6323.817.4-12.965.990.65-
2020/101.985.6616.0415.27-16.435.50.71-
2020/91.8814.063.7813.28-19.784.980.59-
2020/81.6412.74-1.311.41-22.674.430.67-
2020/71.469.79-5.059.76-25.393.990.74-
2020/61.3310.1862.188.3-28.13.810.63因108年會計師第2季核閱調整數併計入去年同期合併營收,致今年增幅較大。
2020/51.21-5.07-9.646.97-35.04.10.58-
2020/41.27-21.84-25.295.77-38.64.050.59-
2020/31.6341.35-37.884.5-41.544.50.53-
2020/21.15-33.23-50.762.87-43.434.820.49主要係因受新型冠狀病毒影響延遲復工所致。
2020/11.72-11.57-37.181.72-37.185.390.44-
2019/121.9512.99-34.8721.94-42.525.380.51-
2019/111.720.89-44.6919.99-43.175.240.52-
2019/101.71-5.5-54.418.27-43.035.180.53主要係因昆山廠尚無法復工所致。
2019/91.818.47-52.3416.56-41.525.010.55主要係因子公司昆山漢鼎尚無法復工所致。
2019/81.678.46-54.2114.75-39.854.020.69主要係因子公司昆山漢鼎尚無法復工所致。
2019/71.5487.55-57.3113.09-37.343.690.75主要係因子公司昆山漢鼎設備產能受政府管制,尚無法復工所致。
2019/60.82-38.61-72.5811.55-33.193.850.73主要係因子公司昆山漢鼎設備產能受政府管制,尚無法復工所致。
2019/51.33-21.51-55.5710.73-24.950.0N/A主要係因子公司昆山漢鼎設備產能受政府管制,尚無法復工所致。
2019/41.7-35.02-43.379.39-16.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.32023/14.032022/13.012021/12.412020/11.72
2024/24.752023/24.392022/22.822021/22.122020/21.15
2024/35.562023/34.912022/33.422021/31.842020/31.63
N/AN/A2023/44.892022/42.672021/42.12020/41.27
N/AN/A2023/54.722022/53.12021/52.312020/51.21
N/AN/A2023/64.842022/63.492021/62.222020/61.33
N/AN/A2023/74.492022/73.652021/72.242020/71.46
N/AN/A2023/84.962022/83.562021/82.092020/81.64
N/AN/A2023/95.042022/93.722021/92.262020/91.88
N/AN/A2023/105.312022/103.82021/102.62020/101.98
N/AN/A2023/115.02022/113.982021/112.882020/112.13
N/AN/A2023/125.242022/124.382021/123.172020/122.55
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.45%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)1.4427.4311.63
23Q3 (19)1.13-3.42-25.66
23Q2 (18)1.17-0.85-9.3
23Q1 (17)1.18-8.5319.19
22Q4 (16)1.29-15.1324.04
22Q3 (15)1.5217.8372.73
22Q2 (14)1.2930.395.45
22Q1 (13)0.99-4.81102.04
21Q4 (12)1.0418.1870.49
21Q3 (11)0.8833.33120.0
21Q2 (10)0.6634.690
21Q1 (9)0.49-19.676.52
20Q4 (8)0.6152.5-6.15
20Q3 (7)0.40-47.37

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