玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/42.29-53.28743.358.92795.929.99N/A本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2026/34.975.716.5456.63798.1956.6313.7本月累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2026/22.79-94.291220.0151.732366.8789.468.68本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2026/148.9429.682495.4848.942495.48198.313.91本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2025/1237.73-66.2407.91311.5339.08215.013.59本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2025/11111.6470.08501.46273.826.43191.054.04本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2025/1065.64376.27200.99162.16-18.09140.325.5本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2025/913.78-77.37-50.3696.53-45.2186.9710.0本月營收較去年同期減少,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/860.91395.82110.9582.75-44.2573.9511.75本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量增加所致
2025/712.281511.45-62.6921.84-81.7315.2656.95本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/60.76-65.61-95.119.56-88.963.25265.12本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/52.22716.11-88.748.79-87.626.7128.7本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係可交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋量減少所致
2025/40.27-93.54-98.546.58-87.184.69183.73本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/34.211890.04-84.766.31-80.716.31128.03本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/20.21-88.78-93.512.1-58.669.5384.74本月及截至本月累計營收較去年同期下滑,主要係交屋量較去年同期完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2025/11.89-74.624.141.894.1427.8828.96-
2024/127.43-59.97-88.71223.992.5447.815.8本月營收較去年同期下滑,主要係去年認列出售土地案及本月可交屋成屋量減少所致。
2024/1118.56-14.88-6.45216.5641.968.1311.09-
2024/1021.81-21.4545.96198.049.1278.449.63-
2024/927.76-3.8439.05176.1949.5289.568.03-
2024/828.87-12.3189.5148.4351.6677.49.3本月(年累計)營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致。
2024/732.93111.13127.63119.5644.6868.2210.55本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致
2024/615.6-20.83140.586.6327.0853.9413.0本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致
2024/519.75.642191.7271.0415.1665.9610.63本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係新成屋完工,交屋量較去年同期增加所致
2024/418.65-32.47567.6151.34-15.5949.5314.16本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係交屋量較去年同期增加所致
2024/327.62746.544.6232.69-43.6632.69N/A-
2024/23.2680.2-80.745.07-86.9770.89N/A本月營收較去年同期下滑,主要係已完工可交屋成屋量減少所致
2024/11.81-97.24-91.761.81-91.7687.47N/A本月營收較去年同期下滑主要係已完工可交屋成屋量減少所致。
2023/1265.82231.73176.58218.43-17.82100.6N/A本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係認列出售台中土地案
2023/1119.8432.81-16.49152.61-36.9454.75N/A-
2023/1014.94-25.17-55.06132.77-39.1650.14N/A本月成屋待售案量較去年同期減少
2023/919.9731.04-39.57117.83-36.3149.67N/A-
2023/815.245.32-15.2497.87-35.636.19N/A-
2023/714.46123.06-11.7482.63-38.3321.81N/A-
2023/66.48654.34-61.8668.17-42.0410.14N/A本月交屋量減少致營收較去年同期低
2023/50.86-69.22-94.1361.68-38.6822.75N/A本月交屋量減少致營收較去年同期低
2023/42.79-85.37-84.4460.82-29.2338.83N/A本月可交屋案量較去年同期減少,致營收較低
2023/319.0912.67-5.2758.03-14.6558.03N/A-
2023/216.95-22.92-17.8638.94-18.662.73N/A-
2023/121.99-7.59-19.1621.99-19.1669.55N/A-
2022/1223.80.15-49.06265.82-19.7880.8N/A-
2022/1123.76-28.52-49.2242.02-14.9790.04N/A-
2022/1033.240.6-40.89218.26-8.2584.26N/A-
2022/933.0483.8-15.39185.021.8567.41N/A-
2022/817.989.68-38.04151.986.5851.37N/A-
2022/716.39-3.62-29.78134.017.9848.05N/A-
2022/617.0116.07-3.99117.6130.3449.62N/A-
2022/514.65-18.41-12.21100.638.7352.77N/A-
2022/417.96-10.9111.5785.9553.9658.75N/A因本年交屋較去年增加,致本年累計營收較去年增加
2022/320.16-2.34.3967.9971.1467.99N/A因本年交屋較去年增加,致本年累計營收較去年增加
2022/220.63-24.1493.747.84134.2694.56N/A因1-2月交屋較去年增加,致本年累計營收較去年增加
2022/127.2-41.77178.527.2178.5120.7N/A因本月交屋較去年同期增加,致本月營收較去年增加
2021/1246.72-0.153.89331.3823.43149.74N/A本月因交屋較去年增加,致本月營收較去年增加
2021/1146.77-16.846.69284.6619.55142.07N/A-
2021/1056.2444.01136.61237.8922.45124.32N/A本⽉因交屋較去年增加,致營收較去年同期增加
2021/939.0634.5994.0181.646.5491.42N/A本⽉因交屋較去年增加,致營收較去年同期增加
2021/829.0224.3111.79142.59-5.1670.07N/A-
2021/723.3431.774.42113.57-8.757.75N/A-
2021/617.716.1332.290.23-11.580.0N/A-
2021/516.693.6838.3672.52-18.20.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/148.942025/11.892024/11.812023/121.992022/127.2
2026/22.792025/20.212024/23.262023/216.952022/220.63
2026/34.92025/34.212024/327.622023/319.092022/320.16
2026/42.292025/40.272024/418.652023/42.792022/417.96
N/AN/A2025/52.222024/519.72023/50.862022/514.65
N/AN/A2025/60.762024/615.62023/66.482022/617.01
N/AN/A2025/712.282024/732.932023/714.462022/716.39
N/AN/A2025/860.912024/828.872023/815.242022/817.98
N/AN/A2025/913.782024/927.762023/919.972022/933.04
N/AN/A2025/1065.642024/1021.812023/1014.942022/1033.24
N/AN/A2025/11111.642024/1118.562023/1119.842022/1123.76
N/AN/A2025/1237.732024/127.432023/1265.822022/1223.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 116.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)91.33-18.28-27.33
25Q4 (7)111.76-31.44-0.49
25Q3 (6)163.026.8137.65
25Q2 (5)152.6221.4529.92
25Q1 (4)125.6711.90.0
24Q4 (3)112.31-5.170.0
24Q3 (2)118.430.820.0
24Q2 (1)117.470.00.0

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