- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/3 | 1.86 | 8.38 | 74.56 | 4.58 | 34.76 | 4.58 | N/A | 相較去年同期客戶庫存水位高減少拉貨，今年回穩客戶正常拉貨所致。 | ||
| 2024/2 | 1.71 | 71.11 | 3.17 | 2.72 | 16.57 | 4.32 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 1.0 | -37.6 | 49.92 | 1.0 | 49.92 | 4.06 | N/A | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 1.61 | 10.82 | -24.68 | 21.44 | -36.56 | 4.76 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 1.45 | -15.08 | -42.54 | 19.83 | -37.36 | 6.31 | 0.67 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 1.71 | -45.94 | -36.74 | 18.39 | -36.91 | 8.14 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 3.16 | -3.51 | 2.41 | 16.68 | -36.93 | 9.46 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 3.27 | 7.8 | -0.86 | 13.52 | -42.12 | 7.48 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 3.04 | 158.95 | 13.97 | 10.25 | -48.91 | 5.04 | 0.98 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 1.17 | 40.47 | -62.19 | 7.21 | -58.53 | 3.82 | 1.7 | 配合客戶調節市場存貨調整出貨、排運時程，致營收下滑。 | ||
| 2023/5 | 0.83 | -53.97 | -69.81 | 6.04 | -57.74 | 3.71 | 1.75 | 配合客戶去化市場庫存及年度機種切換，調節出貨致營收下滑 | ||
| 2023/4 | 1.81 | 70.28 | -30.15 | 5.21 | -54.85 | 4.54 | 1.43 | 配合客戶需求去化市場庫存，調節出貨致營收表現較前年下滑 | ||
| 2023/3 | 1.06 | -35.94 | -74.42 | 3.4 | -62.02 | 3.4 | 1.73 | 配合客戶需求去化市場庫存，調節出貨致營收表現較前期及同期下滑 | ||
| 2023/2 | 1.66 | 148.66 | -14.81 | 2.33 | -51.2 | 4.46 | 1.32 | 去年初市場需求強勁，全球通膨衝擊今年市場需求相對趨緩，致出貨量減少營收下滑。 | ||
| 2023/1 | 0.67 | -68.65 | -76.34 | 0.67 | -76.34 | 5.32 | 1.1 | 去年初市場需求強勁，因逢國內春節假期，生產與交運天數減少，全球通膨衝擊今年1月市場需求相對趨緩，致出貨量減少營收下滑。 | ||
| 2022/12 | 2.13 | -15.45 | -44.47 | 33.8 | -6.4 | 7.35 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 2.52 | -6.51 | -21.73 | 31.67 | -1.87 | 8.3 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 2.7 | -12.48 | -5.16 | 29.14 | 0.33 | 9.08 | 0.55 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 3.08 | -6.6 | -29.23 | 26.45 | 0.92 | 9.05 | 0.69 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 3.3 | 23.94 | -5.62 | 23.36 | 6.94 | 9.06 | 0.69 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 2.66 | -14.1 | -8.38 | 20.06 | 9.34 | 8.53 | 0.73 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 3.1 | 12.17 | 17.69 | 17.4 | 12.67 | 8.46 | 0.66 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 2.76 | 6.47 | -6.25 | 14.3 | 11.64 | 9.52 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 2.6 | -37.64 | 14.03 | 11.54 | 16.99 | 8.71 | 0.65 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 4.16 | 113.35 | 36.94 | 8.94 | 17.88 | 8.94 | 0.53 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 1.95 | -30.93 | 3.18 | 4.78 | 5.13 | 8.62 | 0.55 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 2.83 | -26.42 | 6.52 | 2.83 | 6.52 | 9.89 | 0.48 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 3.84 | 19.16 | 14.23 | 36.11 | 11.94 | 9.91 | 0.45 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 3.22 | 13.27 | -4.43 | 32.27 | 11.68 | 10.42 | 0.43 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 2.84 | -34.69 | -1.78 | 29.05 | 13.81 | 10.7 | 0.42 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 4.36 | 24.55 | -19.02 | 26.2 | 15.8 | 10.76 | 0.44 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 3.5 | 20.32 | -5.06 | 21.85 | 26.67 | 9.04 | 0.53 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 2.91 | 10.34 | 38.48 | 18.35 | 35.29 | 8.49 | 0.56 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 2.63 | -10.64 | 87.92 | 15.44 | 34.7 | 7.86 | 0.62 | 去年同期受全球疫情影響客戶拉貨銳減，本期客戶拉貨回穩至同期營收上漲幅較大。 | ||
| 2021/5 | 2.95 | 29.51 | 37.97 | 12.81 | 27.29 | 8.26 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 2.28 | -25.12 | -12.56 | 9.86 | 24.41 | 7.21 | 0.68 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 3.04 | 60.75 | 48.53 | 7.58 | 42.5 | 7.58 | 0.61 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 1.89 | -28.7 | 6.37 | 4.54 | 38.73 | 7.9 | 0.59 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 2.65 | -21.1 | 77.16 | 2.65 | 77.16 | 9.39 | 0.5 | 外銷客戶需求仍佳帶動下營收相較去年同期成長 | ||
| 2020/12 | 3.36 | -0.31 | 96.81 | 32.26 | 34.44 | 9.63 | 0.37 | 外銷客戶追單客戶備貨需求訂單消化不及加上國內電動機車銷售持續暢旺所致 | ||
| 2020/11 | 3.37 | 16.41 | 135.07 | 28.89 | 29.66 | 11.65 | 0.31 | 外銷客戶追單客戶備貨需求訂單消化不及加上國內電動機車銷售持續暢旺所致 | ||
| 2020/10 | 2.9 | -46.15 | -6.68 | 25.52 | 22.41 | 11.96 | 0.3 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 5.38 | 46.02 | 161.49 | 22.63 | 27.5 | 11.16 | 0.41 | 1.外銷市場求需持續提升加上Q4歐美節慶客戶備貨致客戶追加拉貨。2.內銷推出新款機車產品致消費者購買力提升 | ||
| 2020/8 | 3.68 | 75.52 | 54.49 | 17.25 | 9.93 | 7.19 | 0.64 | 1.外銷應是消費者捨去室內運動走出室外沙灘車等需求增加，致客戶追加拉貨。2.內銷推出新款電動機車產品致消費者購買力提升 | ||
| 2020/7 | 2.1 | 49.73 | 47.59 | 13.56 | 1.94 | 5.64 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 1.4 | -34.39 | 27.15 | 11.46 | -3.51 | 6.14 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 2.14 | -17.92 | -7.69 | 10.06 | -6.65 | 6.79 | 0.77 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 2.6 | 27.19 | -6.27 | 7.92 | -6.36 | 6.43 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 2.05 | 15.13 | 8.32 | 5.32 | -6.41 | 5.32 | 0.8 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 1.78 | 18.75 | 42.1 | 3.27 | -13.75 | 4.98 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 1.5 | -12.35 | -41.2 | 1.5 | -41.2 | 4.64 | 0.91 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 1.71 | 19.07 | 172.96 | 23.99 | -7.69 | 6.25 | 0.42 | 相較去年同期營收顯著成長主要為國內電動機車需求增加所致 | ||
| 2019/11 | 1.43 | -53.78 | -28.0 | 22.28 | -12.15 | 6.6 | 0.4 | - | ||
| 2019/10 | 3.1 | 50.88 | 27.41 | 20.85 | -10.8 | 7.55 | 0.35 | - | ||
| 2019/9 | 2.06 | -13.73 | -50.99 | 17.74 | -15.25 | 5.86 | 0.64 | 因外銷客戶已提前備貨致本月減少拉貨力度；且配合電車上市調整產線出貨下降 | ||
| 2019/8 | 2.38 | 67.69 | -32.36 | 15.69 | -6.29 | 4.91 | 0.76 | - | ||
| 2019/7 | 1.42 | 28.99 | -59.04 | 13.3 | 0.66 | 4.84 | 0.77 | 客戶集中於上半年提前出貨，客戶消化庫存以至本月營收表現較去年同期衰退 | ||
| 2019/6 | 1.1 | -52.37 | -41.42 | 11.88 | 21.94 | 6.19 | 0.51 | - | ||
| 2019/5 | 2.31 | -16.65 | -4.79 | 10.78 | 37.12 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/4 | 2.78 | 47.0 | 48.29 | 8.46 | 55.89 | 0.0 | N/A | 工作天數較前期增加，且配合客戶需求提前排產出貨，以致營收表現較前期及同期成長 |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 1.0 | 2023/1 | 0.67 | 2022/1 | 2.83 | 2021/1 | 2.65 | 2020/1 | 1.5 |
| 2024/2 | 1.71 | 2023/2 | 1.66 | 2022/2 | 1.95 | 2021/2 | 1.89 | 2020/2 | 1.78 |
| 2024/3 | 1.86 | 2023/3 | 1.06 | 2022/3 | 4.16 | 2021/3 | 3.04 | 2020/3 | 2.05 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/4 | 1.81 | 2022/4 | 2.6 | 2021/4 | 2.28 | 2020/4 | 2.6 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/5 | 0.83 | 2022/5 | 2.76 | 2021/5 | 2.95 | 2020/5 | 2.14 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/6 | 1.17 | 2022/6 | 3.1 | 2021/6 | 2.63 | 2020/6 | 1.4 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/7 | 3.04 | 2022/7 | 2.66 | 2021/7 | 2.91 | 2020/7 | 2.1 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/8 | 3.27 | 2022/8 | 3.3 | 2021/8 | 3.5 | 2020/8 | 3.68 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/9 | 3.16 | 2022/9 | 3.08 | 2021/9 | 4.36 | 2020/9 | 5.38 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/10 | 1.71 | 2022/10 | 2.7 | 2021/10 | 2.84 | 2020/10 | 2.9 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 1.45 | 2022/11 | 2.52 | 2021/11 | 3.22 | 2020/11 | 3.37 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 1.61 | 2022/12 | 2.13 | 2021/12 | 3.84 | 2020/12 | 3.36 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 23Q4 (20) | 0.84 | 18.31 | 42.37 |
| 23Q3 (19) | 0.71 | 9.23 | -36.61 |
| 23Q2 (18) | 0.65 | 4.84 | -30.85 |
| 23Q1 (17) | 0.62 | 5.08 | -10.14 |
| 22Q4 (16) | 0.59 | -47.32 | 9.26 |
| 22Q3 (15) | 1.12 | 19.15 | 60.0 |
| 22Q2 (14) | 0.94 | 36.23 | 46.88 |
| 22Q1 (13) | 0.69 | 27.78 | 2.99 |
| 21Q4 (12) | 0.54 | -22.86 | -6.9 |
| 21Q3 (11) | 0.7 | 9.38 | 25.0 |
| 21Q2 (10) | 0.64 | -4.48 | 4.92 |
| 21Q1 (9) | 0.67 | 15.52 | 34.0 |
| 20Q4 (8) | 0.58 | 3.57 | 163.64 |
| 20Q3 (7) | 0.56 | -8.2 | 69.7 |
| 20Q2 (6) | 0.61 | 22.0 | 369.23 |
| 20Q1 (5) | 0.5 | 127.27 | 31.58 |
| 19Q4 (4) | 0.22 | -33.33 | 0.0 |
| 19Q3 (3) | 0.33 | 153.85 | 0.0 |
| 19Q2 (2) | 0.13 | -65.79 | 0.0 |
| 19Q1 (1) | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
