玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/61.32-8.9911.5110.736.924.36N/A-
2026/51.45-8.23-40.189.416.35.5N/A-
2026/41.58-35.727.997.9623.875.82N/A-
2026/32.4638.2724.886.3828.566.380.77-
2026/21.78-16.6321.733.9230.995.140.96-
2026/12.1473.7539.852.1439.854.341.13-
2025/121.2326.249.3218.64-18.584.071.18-
2025/110.97-47.76-21.0117.41-20.024.731.02-
2025/101.86-1.38-24.516.44-19.965.230.92-
2025/91.8928.32-26.2814.58-19.344.541.29-
2025/81.4724.95-56.0912.69-18.193.841.53去年同期缺櫃疏緩出貨累積加上本期關稅議題客戶延期拉貨所致
2025/71.18-0.55-62.9611.21-7.734.791.22外銷客戶調整市場需求延期出貨所致
2025/61.18-51.18-23.1410.0411.835.081.16-
2025/52.4365.7104.878.8519.095.861.01前期因海運缺櫃造成客戶延後拉貨所致
2025/41.46-25.67-12.416.422.824.91.2-
2025/31.9734.786.044.968.44.961.21-
2025/21.46-4.21-14.722.9910.014.111.45-
2025/11.5335.8252.341.5352.343.881.54市場需求暢旺拉升客戶提貨
2024/121.12-8.79-30.0122.96.784.821.09-
2024/111.23-50.07-14.9621.779.766.260.84-
2024/102.47-3.6944.6320.5411.718.380.63-
2024/92.56-23.57-18.8218.078.359.10.67-
2024/83.355.422.4815.5114.698.080.75-
2024/73.18106.334.812.1618.595.911.03-
2024/61.5430.1231.538.9724.394.41.55-
2024/51.18-29.1641.997.4323.04.721.44-
2024/41.67-10.0-7.746.2519.965.251.3-
2024/31.868.3874.564.5834.764.58N/A相較去年同期客戶庫存水位高減少拉貨,今年回穩客戶正常拉貨所致。
2024/21.7171.113.172.7216.574.32N/A-
2024/11.0-37.649.921.049.924.06N/A-
2023/121.6110.82-24.6821.44-36.564.76N/A-
2023/111.45-15.08-42.5419.83-37.366.31N/A-
2023/101.71-45.94-36.7418.39-36.918.14N/A-
2023/93.16-3.512.4116.68-36.939.46N/A-
2023/83.277.8-0.8613.52-42.127.48N/A-
2023/73.04158.9513.9710.25-48.915.04N/A-
2023/61.1740.47-62.197.21-58.533.82N/A配合客戶調節市場存貨調整出貨、排運時程,致營收下滑。
2023/50.83-53.97-69.816.04-57.743.71N/A配合客戶去化市場庫存及年度機種切換,調節出貨致營收下滑
2023/41.8170.28-30.155.21-54.854.54N/A配合客戶需求去化市場庫存,調節出貨致營收表現較前年下滑
2023/31.06-35.94-74.423.4-62.023.4N/A配合客戶需求去化市場庫存,調節出貨致營收表現較前期及同期下滑
2023/21.66148.66-14.812.33-51.24.46N/A去年初市場需求強勁,全球通膨衝擊今年市場需求相對趨緩,致出貨量減少營收下滑。
2023/10.67-68.65-76.340.67-76.345.32N/A去年初市場需求強勁,因逢國內春節假期,生產與交運天數減少,全球通膨衝擊今年1月市場需求相對趨緩,致出貨量減少營收下滑。
2022/122.13-15.45-44.4733.8-6.47.35N/A-
2022/112.52-6.51-21.7331.67-1.878.3N/A-
2022/102.7-12.48-5.1629.140.339.08N/A-
2022/93.08-6.6-29.2326.450.929.05N/A-
2022/83.323.94-5.6223.366.949.06N/A-
2022/72.66-14.1-8.3820.069.348.53N/A-
2022/63.112.1717.6917.412.678.46N/A-
2022/52.766.47-6.2514.311.649.52N/A-
2022/42.6-37.6414.0311.5416.998.71N/A-
2022/34.16113.3536.948.9417.888.94N/A-
2022/21.95-30.933.184.785.138.62N/A-
2022/12.83-26.426.522.836.529.89N/A-
2021/123.8419.1614.2336.1111.949.91N/A-
2021/113.2213.27-4.4332.2711.6810.42N/A-
2021/102.84-34.69-1.7829.0513.8110.7N/A-
2021/94.3624.55-19.0226.215.810.76N/A-
2021/83.520.32-5.0621.8526.670.0N/A-
2021/72.9110.3438.4818.3535.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/12.142025/11.532024/11.02023/10.672022/12.83
2026/21.782025/21.462024/21.712023/21.662022/21.95
2026/32.462025/31.972024/31.862023/31.062022/34.16
2026/41.582025/41.462024/41.672023/41.812022/42.6
2026/51.452025/52.432024/51.182023/50.832022/52.76
2026/61.322025/61.182024/61.542023/61.172022/63.1
N/AN/A2025/71.182024/73.182023/73.042022/72.66
N/AN/A2025/81.472024/83.352023/83.272022/83.3
N/AN/A2025/91.892024/92.562023/93.162022/93.08
N/AN/A2025/101.862024/102.472023/101.712022/102.7
N/AN/A2025/110.972024/111.232023/111.452022/112.52
N/AN/A2025/121.232024/121.122023/121.612022/122.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.85%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)0.531.5813.64
25Q4 (7)0.38-20.8390.0
25Q3 (6)0.48-23.81-62.5
25Q2 (5)0.6343.18-53.68
25Q1 (4)0.44120.00.0
24Q4 (3)0.2-84.380.0
24Q3 (2)1.28-5.880.0
24Q2 (1)1.360.00.0

每月營收相關資訊

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