玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)44-18.5241.94-0.0690.00-0.50-100.0-117.39-0.64-1.5927.270.36-28.0-56.63-4.99-231.32-150.97-0.21-90.91-90.91-0.0390.620-6.7689.57-7411.11-7.8187.95-8577.78-19.36-120.38-54.35
23Q3 (19)54-28.9558.82-0.60-330.77-275.0-0.25-8.7-78.57-0.63-625.030.770.5-10.71-41.183.80-77.87-77.62-0.11-10.0-120.0-0.32-260.0-433.33-64.80-284.09-886.3-64.80-284.09-886.3-2.53-79.277.31
23Q2 (18)76117.14153.330.26172.22-10.34-0.2323.33-15.00.12133.33115.580.565.660.017.1720.4114.85-0.123.08-11.110.2253.85122.2235.20246.73125.3535.20246.73125.35-15.2486.11-3.55
23Q1 (17)3512.934.62-0.36068.97-0.30-30.436.25-0.3659.0968.970.53-36.14-13.1114.2645.66-25.26-0.13-18.180.0-0.13058.06-23.99-26555.5651.75-23.99-26555.5651.75-19.2550.00-47.36
22Q4 (16)31-8.8219.230.00100.0100.0-0.23-64.2928.12-0.883.382.850.83-2.3515.289.79-42.34-20.02-0.11-120.021.430100.0100.0-0.0998.6399.93-0.0998.6399.9324.72-27.58-17.15
22Q3 (15)3413.3330.77-0.16-155.1776.12-0.1430.068.89-0.91-18.1849.720.8551.7939.3416.9813.5859.74-0.0544.4475.0-0.06-166.6766.67-6.57-142.0677.53-6.57-142.0677.5321.80-15.0833.75
22Q2 (14)3015.3815.380.29125.0158.0-0.2037.548.72-0.7733.6232.460.56-8.2-22.2214.95-21.6534.81-0.0930.7750.00.09129.03169.2315.62131.42184.0215.62131.42184.02-11.7495.0318.75
22Q1 (13)260.00.0-1.1665.06-81.25-0.320.028.89-1.1677.39-81.250.61-15.280.019.0855.8862.8-0.137.1431.58-0.3164.77-82.35-49.7259.25-81.53-49.7259.25-81.531.38-165.2314.45
21Q4 (12)260.018.18-3.32-395.52-38.91-0.3228.8933.33-5.13-183.43-800.00.7218.03-7.6912.2415.1526.97-0.1430.030.0-0.88-388.89-69.23-122.00-317.24-83.9-122.00-317.24-83.91.38-214.766.75
21Q3 (11)260.023.81-0.67-34.057.32-0.45-15.38-4.65-1.81-58.77-198.370.61-15.28-8.9610.63-4.15-28.99-0.2-11.11-5.26-0.18-38.4647.06-29.24-57.2941.31-29.24-57.2941.311.38-6.06-1.03
21Q2 (10)260.0-51.85-0.5021.88-257.14-0.3913.339.3-1.14-78.12-187.690.7218.03-4.011.09-5.38-28.59-0.185.260.0-0.1323.53-62.5-18.5932.13-114.17-18.5932.13-83.7-1.8847.559.79
21Q1 (9)2618.18-53.57-0.6473.22-144.76-0.456.2526.23-0.64-12.28-144.760.61-21.7910.9111.7221.5827.39-0.195.029.63-0.1767.31-120.99-27.3958.71-118.84-27.3958.71-118.84-2.6810.50-2.69
20Q4 (8)224.76-60.71-2.39-52.23-57.24-0.48-11.6349.47-0.57-130.9878.330.7816.42-9.39.64-35.6-35.43-0.2-5.2642.86-0.52-52.9438.82-66.34-33.1627.53-66.34-33.1632.942.88-536.83-5.82
20Q3 (7)21-61.11-62.5-1.57-1021.43-1021.43-0.430.014.01.8441.54265.770.67-10.67-33.6614.97-3.6135.97-0.19-5.5613.64-0.34-325.0-325.0-49.82-473.96-527.46-49.82-392.29-527.4612.84-565.6114.76
20Q2 (6)54-3.57-3.57-0.14-109.790.0-0.4329.51-26.471.30-9.09234.020.7536.36-23.4715.5368.80.26-0.1833.33-28.57-0.08-109.880.0-8.68-105.97-11.42-10.12-106.96-29.910.1642.1532.65
20Q1 (5)560.00.01.43194.08272.29-0.6135.797.581.43154.37272.290.55-36.05-29.499.20-38.38-1.71-0.2722.863.570.81195.29272.34145.38258.82341.54145.38246.97341.54--0.00
19Q4 (4)560.00.0-1.52-985.710.0-0.95-90.00.0-2.63-136.940.00.86-14.850.014.9335.60.0-0.35-59.090.0-0.85-962.50.0-91.54-1052.90.0-98.92-1145.840.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)560.00.0-0.140.00.0-0.50-47.060.0-1.11-14.430.01.013.060.011.01-28.920.0-0.22-57.140.0-0.080.00.0-7.94-1.930.0-7.94-1.930.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)560.00.0-0.1483.130.0-0.3448.480.0-0.97-16.870.00.9825.640.015.4965.490.0-0.1450.00.0-0.0882.980.0-7.7987.060.0-7.7987.060.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)560.00.0-0.830.00.0-0.660.00.0-0.830.00.00.780.00.09.360.00.0-0.280.00.0-0.470.00.0-60.190.00.0-60.190.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.09297.65-55.190.18-65.070.18N/A減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2024/20.02-68.7-86.880.09-71.110.19N/A客戶訂單減少且適逢春節假期,產能及出貨減少
2024/10.07-20.0-53.690.07-53.690.3N/A減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/120.09-32.64-58.531.95-31.830.361.03減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/110.13-1.08-49.141.86-29.630.420.88-
2023/100.14-8.95-61.011.73-27.460.450.83減少低毛利接單,部份客戶訂單減少
2023/90.15-7.39-39.611.59-21.720.51.06-
2023/80.16-16.0-50.521.44-19.250.51.06調整低毛利接單,部分客戶遞延下單;去年同期因訂單量,部份遞延至當月出貨
2023/70.1927.85-31.791.28-12.290.531.0-
2023/60.15-21.25-47.611.09-7.640.561.13-
2023/50.19-13.3922.250.945.140.611.03-
2023/40.229.3892.490.751.530.591.06大陸子公司去年同期因疫情影響,本月無產量及出貨
2023/30.216.370.10.53-15.10.531.38-
2023/20.1710.529.860.33-22.30.551.34-
2023/10.16-28.36-46.190.16-46.190.641.14-
2022/120.22-17.39-26.572.867.880.830.96-
2022/110.26-24.15-6.862.6412.220.860.93-
2022/100.3541.0151.652.3814.820.920.87訂單增加於本月生產完成出貨.
2022/90.25-24.126.222.035.050.851.27-
2022/80.3315.7894.811.794.890.891.21客戶增加、訂單增加及部份遞延至本月生產完成出貨.
2022/70.28-1.7935.161.46-4.880.721.49-
2022/60.2983.7617.661.18-11.150.561.8-
2022/50.1636.36-45.60.89-17.610.472.13-
2022/40.11-43.11-38.530.74-7.580.452.23-
2022/30.250.98-30.730.621.790.621.25-
2022/20.13-54.21-12.50.4230.950.721.08-
2022/10.29-2.2369.490.2969.490.870.9因疫情影響,致船期延遲,部份出貨延至本月出貨,及缺料情況持續,部份出貨也延至本月出貨
2021/120.34.7717.062.65-3.620.720.97-
2021/110.28104.92-0.672.36-5.720.651.07-
2021/100.14-40.47-42.032.07-6.380.541.3-
2021/90.2339.1647.751.93-2.070.611.04-
2021/80.17-19.66-35.111.7-6.380.621.02-
2021/70.21-14.5-19.311.54-1.640.740.85-
2021/60.24-15.04-2.681.331.830.710.84-
2021/50.2954.0730.111.082.910.760.79-
2021/40.19-35.89-33.580.8-4.260.630.96-
2021/30.2990.7143.470.6110.530.610.95-
2021/20.15-11.3128.850.32-8.330.581.01-
2021/10.17-32.47-27.020.17-27.020.710.82-
2020/120.25-11.1-27.352.75-22.630.780.64-
2020/110.2919.67.592.5-22.110.680.73-
2020/100.2451.71-4.622.21-24.790.650.77-
2020/90.16-38.89-54.971.98-26.660.670.88由於疫情尚未趨於穩定,海外接單仍受當地疫情狀況,呈現不穩定狀態,至於九月營收衰退部分,應有望於第四季回補出貨
2020/80.26-0.1-16.081.82-22.440.760.77-
2020/70.263.11-26.431.56-23.40.730.81-
2020/60.2513.58-31.71.3-22.770.750.93-
2020/50.22-21.35-34.151.05-20.30.71.0-
2020/40.2838.535.950.83-15.620.61.17-
2020/30.271.27-31.320.55-29.170.551.3-
2020/20.12-49.76-35.920.35-27.880.71.03-
2020/10.23-32.77-23.030.23-23.030.850.85-
2019/120.3531.65-8.583.56-16.110.860.88-
2019/110.276.01-30.513.21-16.850.860.88-
2019/100.25-28.38-14.382.94-15.360.910.84-
2019/90.3513.89-0.632.69-15.451.010.78-
2019/80.31-12.41-8.592.34-17.281.020.76-
2019/70.35-4.2736.432.04-18.451.050.74-
2019/60.379.5123.311.69-24.730.911.09-
2019/50.3362.38-11.991.32-32.050.0N/A-
2019/40.21-30.04-43.430.99-36.910.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4441.94-0.640-1.2501.94-31.938.87-40.63-0.550-0.280-0.280
2022 (9)3119.23-0.880-0.8602.857.1414.9430.59-0.380-0.270-0.270
2021 (8)2618.18-5.130-1.6102.66-3.6211.44-8.19-0.710-1.360-1.360
2020 (7)22-60.71-0.570-1.9302.76-23.9712.46-2.66-0.840-0.110-0.120
2019 (6)560.0-2.630-2.4303.63-14.1812.80-8.31-1.00-1.410-1.480
2018 (5)56-32.53-1.770-2.1404.23-34.3213.96-17.35-0.940-0.990-0.990
2017 (4)830.0-1.850-1.5206.44-5.4316.89-3.26-0.670-1.540-1.540
2016 (3)830.0-1.280-1.9306.81-10.1617.4616.79-0.820-1.050-1.070
2015 (2)830.0-0.650-1.7007.58-12.4714.957.94-0.750-0.540-0.540
2014 (1)83-49.39-0.640-2.0208.6611.613.850-0.890-0.530-0.530

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