玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.714.1-55.015.22-48.175.22N/A去年同期因營建完工入帳,致本月差異達50%以上
2024/21.49-26.72-62.093.52-44.075.18N/A去年同期因營建完工入帳,致本月差異達50%以上
2024/12.0323.1-14.182.03-14.185.39N/A-
2023/121.65-3.11-60.1728.1624.655.461.66本月因無營建完工入帳,致本月變動達50%以上
2023/111.71-18.83-8.3126.5143.745.981.52-
2023/102.1-3.4814.2524.849.586.161.47-
2023/92.1815.497.5222.753.985.531.78因建案完工入帳,致累計變動達50%以上
2023/81.8828.76-2.7820.5261.384.812.05因建案完工入帳,致累計變動達50%以上
2023/71.460.210.6218.6472.925.491.79因建案完工入帳,致累計變動達50%以上
2023/61.46-43.1618.3517.1784.27.091.36因建案完工入帳,致累計變動達50%以上
2023/52.57-16.0760.9815.7194.259.411.03因建案完工入帳,致本月及累計變動達50%以上
2023/43.06-19.076.2513.14102.4310.770.9因建案完工入帳,致本月及累計變動達50%以上
2023/33.78-3.84129.0310.08111.9910.081.0因建案完工入帳,致本月及累計變動達50%以上
2023/23.9365.86226.76.3102.9210.450.96因建案完工入帳,致本月及累計變動達50%以上
2023/12.37-42.8624.612.3724.618.381.2-
2022/124.15123.0494.922.59-8.647.851.89本月因建案完工入帳,致本月變動達50%以上
2022/111.861.13-15.5518.44-18.395.722.59-
2022/101.84-9.165.7616.58-18.75.82.55-
2022/92.024.420.014.74-20.985.423.11-
2022/81.9433.282.8212.72-23.534.633.65-
2022/71.4517.87-17.6610.78-26.914.283.94-
2022/61.23-22.69-19.429.32-28.164.573.67-
2022/51.6-8.11-22.318.09-29.334.983.36-
2022/41.745.25-10.626.49-30.874.593.65-
2022/31.6537.14-41.44.76-36.154.763.45-
2022/21.2-36.72-40.443.11-32.975.233.13-
2022/11.9-10.63-27.181.9-27.186.232.63-
2021/122.13-3.36-16.1824.731.66.072.26-
2021/112.226.67-11.522.63.675.972.3-
2021/101.74-14.12-35.1620.395.635.652.43-
2021/92.027.37-25.0918.6612.215.682.32-
2021/81.896.72-13.7816.6319.455.182.54-
2021/71.7715.35-18.9914.7525.645.352.46-
2021/61.53-25.46-15.0912.9835.835.532.28-
2021/52.055.7213.211.4547.696.811.85-
2021/41.94-30.9986.259.3958.236.781.86國內餐飲市場消費活動漸活絡所致
2021/32.8239.3882.447.4552.257.451.57國內新冠病毒疫情相對穩定,餐飲市場消費漸活絡所致
2021/22.02-22.6335.034.6334.337.171.63-
2021/12.612.8641.012.6141.017.641.53-
2020/122.542.0316.8924.34-8.887.711.95-
2020/112.49-7.1873.7321.8-11.167.871.91主因去年同期肉品市場價格未達預期標準,管理階層調整銷售策略降低出貨,且本期對肉品庫存擬訂去化方針使銷量上升所致。
2020/102.68-0.7851.5219.31-16.437.571.98主因去年同期肉品市場價格未達預期標準,管理階層調整銷售策略降低出貨,且本期對肉品庫存擬訂去化方針使銷量上升所致。
2020/92.723.572.8116.63-22.067.072.9-
2020/82.190.27-11.9213.92-25.566.173.33-
2020/72.1820.91-7.3811.74-27.655.83.54-
2020/61.8-0.62-25.689.55-31.094.665.23-
2020/51.8173.94-35.497.75-32.244.45.54-
2020/41.04-32.41-54.735.94-31.184.085.98受新冠病毒疫情影響,國內餐飲市場消費活動降低所致。
2020/31.543.16-28.184.89-22.64.895.08-
2020/21.5-19.21-11.373.45-17.325.524.5-
2020/11.85-14.73-25.391.85-25.395.464.55-
2019/122.1751.6411.0926.71-1.525.374.66-
2019/111.43-19.05-41.1424.54-2.55.834.3-
2019/101.77-32.67-25.4423.11.636.883.64-
2019/92.635.8641.8821.334.787.473.09-
2019/82.485.4421.2218.711.077.273.18-
2019/72.35-2.9813.0316.22-1.437.63.04-
2019/62.43-13.7415.6713.87-3.527.552.81-
2019/52.8122.0729.3511.44-6.810.0N/A-
2019/42.317.22-3.228.63-14.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.032023/12.372022/11.92021/12.612020/11.85
2024/21.492023/23.932022/21.22021/22.022020/21.5
2024/31.72023/33.782022/31.652021/32.822020/31.54
N/AN/A2023/43.062022/41.742021/41.942020/41.04
N/AN/A2023/52.572022/51.62021/52.052020/51.81
N/AN/A2023/61.462022/61.232021/61.532020/61.8
N/AN/A2023/71.462022/71.452021/71.772020/72.18
N/AN/A2023/81.882022/81.942021/81.892020/82.19
N/AN/A2023/92.182022/92.022021/92.022020/92.7
N/AN/A2023/102.12022/101.842021/101.742020/102.68
N/AN/A2023/111.712022/111.862021/112.22020/112.49
N/AN/A2023/121.652022/124.152021/122.132020/122.54
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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