玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/40.14-54.89-5.340.68-19.610.56N/A-
2026/30.31205.68-20.680.54-22.70.541.27-
2026/20.1-13.63-46.450.22-25.380.371.85-
2026/10.12-18.513.010.1213.010.451.5-
2025/120.15-22.52-31.482.15-31.270.521.53-
2025/110.194.32-49.02.0-31.260.621.28-
2025/100.18-27.18-24.21.81-28.670.541.46-
2025/90.25123.18-33.721.63-29.130.491.7-
2025/80.11-14.26-33.631.38-28.240.431.95-
2025/70.13-29.75-51.381.27-27.730.431.94受幼生入學人數持續下降及興趣班於暑假期間開班率降低影響而造成營收衰退。人民幣貶值亦增加衰退幅度。
2025/60.1863.4-42.281.14-23.50.451.83-
2025/50.11-24.53-32.780.96-18.360.661.24-
2025/40.15-62.2-24.030.84-15.950.741.11-
2025/30.4106.37-23.730.69-13.970.691.79-
2025/20.1982.2817.290.33.710.512.43-
2025/10.11-50.59-14.360.11-14.360.691.8-
2024/120.21-42.33-21.63.12-21.120.821.92-
2024/110.3755.0624.612.91-21.080.981.61-
2024/100.24-36.33-23.972.54-25.080.782.02-
2024/90.37123.49-26.722.3-25.20.811.78-
2024/80.17-37.19-46.561.93-24.90.751.91-
2024/70.27-16.61-47.611.76-21.880.751.91-
2024/60.3290.32-23.11.49-14.350.691.47-
2024/50.17-14.71-26.291.17-11.60.881.14-
2024/40.2-62.06-25.671.0-8.550.881.15-
2024/30.52217.4227.670.81-3.090.81N/A-
2024/20.1633.08-39.810.29-32.550.56N/A-
2024/10.12-54.77-19.650.12-19.650.69N/A-
2023/120.27-8.34-13.53.96-28.830.88N/A-
2023/110.3-5.39-17.113.69-29.751.12N/A-
2023/100.31-38.63-28.053.39-30.681.14N/A-
2023/90.5162.99-31.673.08-30.931.33N/A-
2023/80.31-38.42-27.692.56-30.781.26N/A-
2023/70.5115.49-16.232.28-30.441.18N/A-
2023/60.4493.3-15.621.77-33.680.93N/A-
2023/50.23-13.99-20.841.33-38.090.9N/A-
2023/40.27-34.82-20.631.1-40.770.94N/A-
2023/30.4149.62-34.720.83-45.210.83N/A-
2023/20.2777.66-35.140.43-52.510.74N/A由於疫情管控政策放開,校園營運現仍處於恢復階段。幼教用品銷售因開園有所回升,顧問及軟體收入仍受影響。
2023/10.15-51.31-67.810.15-67.810.83N/A由於疫情管控政策放開,全部校園提前放假緊跟寒假,導致顧問收入及幼教用品銷售受到較大影響。
2022/120.31-12.17-56.985.56-2.611.11N/A由於疫情管控政策放開,導致校園大部分提前放假,顧問收入及幼教用品銷售受到較大影響。
2022/110.36-17.88-28.955.255.361.54N/A-
2022/100.44-41.73-16.394.899.221.62N/A-
2022/90.7572.54.774.4512.61.79N/A-
2022/80.43-28.66-8.613.7114.321.56N/A-
2022/70.6116.33-0.713.2718.261.42N/A-
2022/60.5281.3412.222.6623.651.15N/A-
2022/50.29-13.763.682.1426.811.25N/A-
2022/40.33-46.398.131.8531.371.38N/A-
2022/30.6248.6633.451.5237.891.52N/A-
2022/20.42-11.8346.290.941.171.63N/A-
2022/10.48-34.9136.930.4836.931.71N/A-
2021/120.7345.0472.595.7141.691.76N/A部分地區受疫情影響而持續有停課狀況,影響顧問收入,幼教用品銷售穩定。
2021/110.5-3.3639.154.9838.071.74N/A-
2021/100.52-26.9743.534.4837.951.71N/A-
2021/90.7150.4562.823.9637.241.8N/A部分地區受疫情影響顧問費還需折扣處理,幼教用品產品穩定銷售。
2021/80.47-22.4982.333.2432.651.55N/A受近期疫情零星影響,顧問折扣維持先前水準,幼教用品仍有學期性訂單貢獻
2021/70.6131.4951.912.7726.731.36N/A顧問服務折扣緩步降低,幼教用品學期訂單逐步恢復訂購,於7月正常發貨。
2021/60.4767.55184.332.1521.020.0N/A去年同期大部分幼兒園客戶仍全數停課,目前已正常上課,顧問費雖保持折扣但折扣幅度已有降低,幼教用品訂購恢復正常。
2021/50.28-10.07123.591.694.470.0N/A去年同期幼兒園大部分客戶仍全數停課。目前雖有折扣,但客戶已正常上課。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/10.122025/10.112024/10.122023/10.152022/10.48
2026/20.12025/20.192024/20.162023/20.272022/20.42
2026/30.312025/30.42024/30.522023/30.412022/30.62
2026/40.142025/40.152024/40.22023/40.272022/40.33
N/AN/A2025/50.112024/50.172023/50.232022/50.29
N/AN/A2025/60.182024/60.322023/60.442022/60.52
N/AN/A2025/70.132024/70.272023/70.512022/70.61
N/AN/A2025/80.112024/80.172023/80.312022/80.43
N/AN/A2025/90.252024/90.372023/90.512022/90.75
N/AN/A2025/100.182024/100.242023/100.312022/100.44
N/AN/A2025/110.192024/110.372023/110.32022/110.36
N/AN/A2025/120.152024/120.212023/120.272022/120.31
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)0.160.0-46.67
25Q4 (7)0.16-40.74-27.27
25Q3 (6)0.27-3.57-34.15
25Q2 (5)0.28-6.6727.27
25Q1 (4)0.336.360.0
24Q4 (3)0.22-46.340.0
24Q3 (2)0.4186.360.0
24Q2 (1)0.220.00.0

免責聲明

本網站所有資料僅供參考,如使用者依本資料交易發生交易損失需自行負責,本網站對資料內容錯誤﹑更新延誤不負任何責任。