玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
25Q2 (20)0.50-1.96-54.950.18-10.05.88182.142.0121.74515.3113.84-1.9783.80160.33142.69613.652.447.05
25Q1 (19)0.51-17.74-61.360.205.260.0178.5722.17158.27452.67-7.64-1.7532.19-5.38-22.73599.05-0.5422.7
24Q4 (18)0.62-11.43-51.180.195.5626.67146.1712.5103.35490.14-4.12-20.5934.0242.05-49.28602.29-2.41-3.17
24Q3 (17)0.70-36.9455.560.185.88100.0129.9358.18-35.57511.20-2.75-49.7523.95-30.64-79.22617.187.66-44.08
24Q2 (16)1.11-15.91164.290.17-15.0112.582.1418.8-61.99525.6514.09-55.8934.53-17.11-62.79573.2617.42-56.41
24Q1 (15)1.323.94288.240.2033.33122.2269.14-3.81-73.96460.75-25.35-56.541.66-37.89-26.98488.23-21.51-61.49
23Q4 (14)1.27182.22130.910.1566.677.1471.88-64.36-56.67617.22-39.32-8.1667.07-41.8233.15622.03-43.64-21.02
23Q3 (13)0.457.14-46.430.0912.5-43.75201.66-6.6985.31017.22-14.6474.85115.2824.2241.811103.61-16.0881.13
23Q2 (12)0.4223.53-63.160.08-11.11-60.0216.12-18.61169.641191.6812.5156.8692.8062.663.931315.003.73189.13
23Q1 (11)0.34-38.18-71.190.09-35.71-52.63265.5360.07242.971059.2457.62123.3857.0513.26-48.911267.7260.97188.15
22Q4 (10)0.55-34.52-60.710.14-12.5-36.36165.8852.42154.73672.0315.5260.150.37-38.04-55.15787.5329.25111.38
22Q3 (9)0.84-26.32-53.070.16-20.0-23.81108.8335.78114.53581.7625.3936.081.29-8.96-38.68609.2933.9776.14
22Q2 (8)1.14-3.39-56.820.205.26-47.3780.153.53132.39463.95-2.1693.7589.29-20.031.81454.813.38144.19
22Q1 (7)1.18-15.71-56.30.19-13.64-62.7577.4218.89129.87474.1912.97167.44111.66-0.58108.4439.9518.09179.51
21Q4 (6)1.40-21.792.190.224.76-37.1465.1228.37-2.1419.75-1.8763.56112.31-15.28107.1372.567.738.53
21Q3 (5)1.79-32.2-15.170.21-44.74-55.3250.7347.0917.62427.7578.63121.36132.5651.15235.51345.9285.7375.72
21Q2 (4)2.64-2.220.00.38-25.490.034.492.40.0239.4635.050.087.7063.680.0186.2518.330.0
21Q1 (3)2.7097.080.00.5145.710.033.68-49.370.0177.31-30.910.053.58-1.20.0157.40-41.470.0
20Q4 (2)1.37-35.070.00.35-25.530.066.5254.230.0256.6432.810.054.2337.260.0268.9336.610.0
20Q3 (1)2.110.00.00.470.00.043.130.00.0193.240.00.039.510.00.0196.860.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)3.7648.030.7685.3797.07-32.4483.01-46.3739.51-33.28540.57-45.12
2023 (9)2.54-45.260.41-44.59143.5982.68900.6682.5259.22-14.55985.0395.92
2022 (8)4.64-36.870.74-32.1178.6058.28493.4647.3269.30-19.3502.7668.29
2021 (7)7.35-2.261.09-19.8549.662.31334.9524.4885.8745.0298.7515.62
2020 (6)7.5218.991.3629.5248.54-15.9269.07-22.8159.22-3.88258.39-25.03
2019 (5)6.3211.661.05-15.3257.72-10.47348.5618.161.6135.79344.669.69
2018 (4)5.661.431.24-8.1564.47-1.47295.139.4245.37-19.27314.2212.64
2017 (3)5.5801.35065.430269.72056.200278.950

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