玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/60.5533.6856.272.6713.821.52N/A受惠歐洲、美國客戶拉貨動能暢旺及船期安排因素等影響,帶動本月營收較去年同期上升。
2026/50.41-25.662.742.116.271.47N/A-
2026/40.5611.422.131.77.171.35N/A-
2026/30.568.0326.121.141.141.141.13-
2026/20.3-14.33-18.080.64-12.321.01.29-
2026/10.35-2.71-6.70.35-6.71.031.25-
2025/120.367.92-9.414.9321.261.190.95-
2025/110.33-34.64-20.294.5724.551.370.83-
2025/100.51-4.5832.974.2430.261.480.77-
2025/90.5320.558.413.7429.91.40.97歐美地區即將進入冬季致使產生鋪貨備料需求,受惠於歐美客戶今年度拉貨動能暢旺影響,致使本月銷售量較去年同期顯著提升。
2025/80.443.2870.553.2126.151.221.12受惠於歐美客戶拉貨動能暢旺影響,致使本月銷售量較去年同期顯著提升。
2025/70.4320.3421.972.7721.141.181.15-
2025/60.35-12.135.252.3420.991.211.2-
2025/50.4-11.637.181.9918.761.251.16-
2025/40.4615.0340.311.5922.111.211.19-
2025/30.49.1321.01.1316.051.131.17-
2025/20.36-2.4318.640.7313.541.131.17-
2025/10.37-5.548.960.378.961.181.12-
2024/120.39-5.041.274.0711.151.191.03-
2024/110.419.04-0.183.6712.331.131.09-
2024/100.3813.677.323.2614.150.971.26-
2024/90.3329.73-5.852.8815.120.941.51-
2024/80.26-26.13-14.962.5418.590.871.64-
2024/70.3533.4420.742.2924.120.991.44-
2024/60.26-30.34-4.781.9424.750.961.25-
2024/50.3815.6732.491.6731.111.031.17-
2024/40.32-0.7915.251.330.710.961.25-
2024/30.337.07.480.9736.830.97N/A-
2024/20.31-10.3925.450.6558.751.04N/A近年歐洲市場開發耕耘有成帶來效益,加上日本、美國客戶區間拉貨影響,致使本月營收增加。
2024/10.34-12.21108.270.34108.271.15N/A歐洲市場開發耕耘有成帶來效益,加上中國客戶因應春節停工年前拉貨影響,歐洲、中國客戶出貨較去年同期成長,致使本月營收增加。
2023/120.39-6.4190.563.662.751.16N/A歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年 基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/110.4217.25105.823.27-2.581.12N/A歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年 基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/100.35-0.2875.232.85-9.511.01N/A歐洲市場開發耕耘有成,並進入出貨旺季,另受到美國、中國客戶出貨較去年基期相較回穩,致使本月營收顯著增加
2023/90.3617.1737.712.5-15.320.95N/A-
2023/80.34.8918.732.14-20.40.87N/A-
2023/70.295.22-5.221.84-24.50.85N/A-
2023/60.27-3.07-15.821.55-27.250.84N/A-
2023/50.280.622.01.28-29.320.87N/A-
2023/40.28-7.47-25.440.99-35.010.83N/A-
2023/30.324.89-31.830.71-38.150.71N/A-
2023/20.2448.75-26.930.41-42.160.61N/A-
2023/10.16-19.68-55.840.16-55.840.57N/A受市場景氣及一月份工作天數影響生產及相關運輸調配,致使出貨及訂單趨緩,營運收入較去年同期下滑
2022/120.21.08-50.673.56-22.120.61N/A受市場景氣變化、全球通膨影響,致使出貨及訂單趨緩,營運收入較去年同期下滑
2022/110.2-0.17-50.393.36-19.280.66N/A
2022/100.2-21.63-49.823.15-15.90.72N/A-
2022/90.261.02-48.772.95-11.820.82N/A-
2022/80.26-16.27-45.792.69-5.270.89N/A-
2022/70.31-6.54-34.332.442.760.91N/A-
2022/60.3317.45-11.782.1311.790.98N/A-
2022/50.28-26.44-14.991.8117.471.1N/A-
2022/40.38-15.49.371.5326.231.16N/A-
2022/30.4533.8631.271.1532.951.15N/A-
2022/20.33-10.121.960.734.031.12N/A-
2022/10.37-10.2647.120.3747.121.19N/A-
2021/120.411.6630.594.5729.171.22N/A-
2021/110.410.9724.254.1629.031.31N/A-
2021/100.4-20.012.863.7529.581.38N/A-
2021/90.56.946.13.3531.931.44N/A-
2021/80.471.4240.082.8429.70.0N/A-
2021/70.4625.5552.682.3727.820.0N/A主要受惠於歐美地區逐步解封,帶動整體新車銷售市場。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/10.352025/10.372024/10.342023/10.162022/10.37
2026/20.32025/20.362024/20.312023/20.242022/20.33
2026/30.52025/30.42024/30.332023/30.32022/30.45
2026/40.562025/40.462024/40.322023/40.282022/40.38
2026/50.412025/50.42024/50.382023/50.282022/50.28
2026/60.552025/60.352024/60.262023/60.272022/60.33
N/AN/A2025/70.432024/70.352023/70.292022/70.31
N/AN/A2025/80.442024/80.262023/80.32022/80.26
N/AN/A2025/90.532024/90.332023/90.362022/90.26
N/AN/A2025/100.512024/100.382023/100.352022/100.2
N/AN/A2025/110.332024/110.412023/110.422022/110.2
N/AN/A2025/120.362024/120.392023/120.392022/120.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.14%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)0.03-40.0-66.67
25Q4 (7)0.0525.0-28.57
25Q3 (6)0.04100.0-60.0
25Q2 (5)0.02-77.78-80.0
25Q1 (4)0.0928.570.0
24Q4 (3)0.07-30.00.0
24Q3 (2)0.10.00.0
24Q2 (1)0.10.00.0

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