玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)815.195.19-0.47-123.2724.19-0.5133.77-4.081.44-27.64580.03.02-9.04-20.1130.0853.735.01-0.1860.0-12.5-0.37-123.7222.92-4.66-108.9826.5-12.42-126.541.66-10.371331.22-353.95
23Q3 (19)770.00.02.022785.713266.67-0.77-741.67-3950.01.996733.33521.883.32-11.7-16.5819.57-37.66-28.81-0.45-336.84-1000.01.563020.03800.051.901361.973184.8146.803172.734154.5511.291477.86-370.83
23Q2 (18)770.00.00.07170.0-74.070.120-52.0-0.0370.0-111.113.7634.29-10.6931.39-4.512.750.19216.67-13.640.05162.5-76.193.55586.3-36.381.43151.44-71.174.18126.9450.00
23Q1 (17)770.00.0-0.1083.87-900.00.00100.0100.0-0.1066.67-900.02.8-25.93-32.3732.8747.5346.090.06137.550.0-0.0883.330-0.7388.49-143.71-2.7877.99-2216.67-15.48-524.73-1225.00
22Q4 (16)770.00.0-0.62-1133.33-321.43-0.49-2550.0-545.45-0.30-193.75-168.183.78-5.03-11.8922.28-18.95-14.96-0.16-420.0-200.0-0.48-1300.0-318.18-6.34-501.27-195.05-12.63-1248.18-351.59-5.25-605.55-1321.00
22Q3 (15)770.00.00.06-77.7800.02-92.000.3218.52100.03.98-5.46-5.2427.49-1.2623.050.05-77.2766.670.04-80.9501.58-71.68132.351.10-77.822100.0-1.891361.11316.50
22Q2 (14)770.00.00.272800.0350.00.25725.0127.270.272800.068.754.211.692.9327.8423.7321.360.22450.069.230.210320.05.58234.13173.534.964233.33342.86-0.911348.21294.32
22Q1 (13)770.00.0-0.01-103.57-110.0-0.04-136.36-133.33-0.01-102.27-110.04.14-3.518.2922.50-14.12-11.90.04-75.0-71.430-100.0-100.01.67-74.96-53.22-0.12-102.39-105.53-0.68-51.78-68.18
21Q4 (12)770.00.00.280250.00.110120.00.44175.0186.274.292.1415.9526.2017.280.960.16433.33300.00.220266.676.67880.88314.295.029940.0211.82.42-50.00-50.00
21Q3 (11)770.00.00.00-100.0100.00.00-100.0100.00.160.0127.594.22.6941.4122.34-2.6210.430.03-76.92150.00-100.0100.00.68-66.67151.130.05-95.54102.949.78-70.00-54.16
21Q2 (10)770.01.320.06-40.0135.290.11-8.33157.890.1660.0130.774.0916.8649.8222.94-10.1818.060.13-7.14176.470.05-37.5138.462.04-42.86138.421.12-48.39123.685.72-7.5065.83
21Q1 (9)770.00.00.1025.0128.570.12140.0152.170.10119.61128.573.5-5.4196.6325.54-1.58-3.70.14250.0173.680.0833.33129.633.57121.74123.22.1734.78114.339.58119.64147.78
20Q4 (8)770.00.00.08214.2914.290.05155.56600.0-0.5112.07-218.753.724.58-3.925.9528.27-11.280.04166.67-33.330.06220.020.01.61221.05-47.041.61194.7117.5216.68136.56104.09
20Q3 (7)771.320.0-0.0758.8250.0-0.0952.63-28.57-0.58-11.54-152.172.978.79-7.1920.234.12-22.28-0.0664.710.0-0.0561.5454.55-1.3374.9558.95-1.7064.0650.5831.0855.1235.01
20Q2 (6)76-1.3-1.3-0.1751.43-213.33-0.1917.39-211.76-0.52-48.57-477.782.7353.37-29.0919.43-26.73-29.11-0.1710.53-213.33-0.1351.85-208.33-5.3165.5-251.71-4.7368.76-256.62-0.20-274.29-1091.31
20Q1 (5)770.00.0-0.35-600.0-45.83-0.23-2200.0-35.29-0.35-118.75-45.831.78-53.77-37.7626.52-9.333.39-0.19-416.67-35.71-0.27-640.0-50.0-15.39-606.25-154.38-15.14-1205.11-135.46--0.00
19Q4 (4)770.00.00.07150.00.0-0.0185.710.0-0.1630.430.03.8520.310.029.2512.370.00.06200.00.00.05145.450.03.04193.830.01.37139.830.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)770.00.0-0.14-193.330.0-0.07-141.180.0-0.23-155.560.03.2-16.880.026.03-5.030.0-0.06-140.00.0-0.11-191.670.0-3.24-192.570.0-3.44-213.910.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)770.00.00.15162.50.00.17200.00.0-0.0962.50.03.8534.620.027.416.860.00.15207.140.00.12166.670.03.50157.850.03.02146.970.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)770.00.0-0.240.00.0-0.170.00.0-0.240.00.02.860.00.025.650.00.0-0.140.00.0-0.180.00.0-6.050.00.0-6.430.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.5372.834.673.1311.713.13N/A-
2024/20.8924.0213.981.6-3.952.67N/A-
2024/10.71-32.87-19.640.71-19.642.88N/A-
2023/121.06-3.09-23.9512.95-19.593.063.3-
2023/111.122.595.5111.89-19.173.113.25-
2023/100.9-19.75-34.6310.79-21.063.093.28-
2023/91.124.15-20.939.89-19.543.322.69-
2023/81.07-5.46-16.698.78-19.363.452.59-
2023/71.13-8.6-9.367.7-19.723.712.41-
2023/61.24-7.16-20.026.57-21.273.762.45-
2023/51.3412.616.635.33-21.563.662.52-
2023/41.194.36-15.043.99-27.943.12.98-
2023/31.1446.25-30.442.8-32.292.83.43-
2023/20.78-12.56-30.731.67-33.513.073.14-
2023/10.89-36.47-35.760.89-35.763.332.89-
2022/121.434.45-11.116.110.043.812.56-
2022/111.04-24.05-22.2214.711.253.822.55-
2022/101.37-2.93-2.3613.673.644.072.4-
2022/91.419.74-6.0512.34.353.952.57-
2022/81.292.846.610.885.884.092.48-
2022/71.25-19.35-15.679.65.784.062.5-
2022/61.5523.7720.268.349.984.22.42-
2022/51.25-10.27-24.096.797.874.292.37-
2022/41.4-14.5421.985.5419.244.162.45-
2022/31.6445.63-8.814.1418.344.142.48-
2022/21.12-18.920.922.5146.884.082.52-
2022/11.38-12.0877.831.3877.834.32.39接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/121.5717.62-4.1116.144.124.322.34-
2021/111.34-4.6422.6314.5352.444.252.38接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/101.4-6.6146.1213.1956.294.112.46接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/91.524.5312.4411.7857.64.192.3接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/81.21-18.6457.910.2867.443.982.43接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/71.4815.0170.549.0768.794.432.18接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/61.29-21.8839.97.5968.464.092.19接單回溫,機械產業景氣復甦
2021/51.6544.1955.226.375.814.591.95接單回溫,機械產業景氣持續復甦
2021/41.15-36.1254.914.6584.513.872.32接單回溫,機械產業景氣持續復甦
2021/31.7993.14157.183.596.823.52.55接單回溫,機械產業景氣逐步復甦
2021/20.9319.26201.761.7157.893.352.67去年因新冠肺炎疫情影響訂單而延後出貨所致。
2021/10.78-52.590.650.780.653.512.55-
2020/121.6450.43-1.7411.17-19.093.692.28-
2020/111.0913.613.469.53-21.473.392.49-
2020/100.96-28.13-17.198.44-23.853.062.75-
2020/91.3474.8826.917.48-24.632.973.03-
2020/80.76-12.13-26.786.14-30.752.563.52-
2020/70.87-5.64-21.05.37-31.282.863.15-
2020/60.92-13.33-32.874.5-32.972.733.35-
2020/51.0643.91-12.383.58-33.02.53.66-
2020/40.746.04-41.782.52-39.061.745.24-
2020/30.7126.62-42.851.78-37.851.785.3-
2020/20.31-60.21-63.731.08-34.132.753.42工具機產業先前面臨美中貿易戰的衝擊,現在又有新冠肺炎疫情影響訂單而延後出貨所致。
2020/10.77-53.72-2.450.77-2.453.52.69-
2019/121.6758.3910.2813.81-32.913.892.39-
2019/111.06-9.07-25.8312.13-36.343.272.84-
2019/101.1610.15-19.0711.08-37.193.262.85-
2019/91.050.88-18.759.92-38.793.23.17-
2019/81.04-5.19-43.378.87-40.533.522.88-
2019/71.1-19.82-45.167.82-40.133.692.75-
2019/61.3713.12-45.856.72-39.223.862.79-
2019/51.21-4.37-56.585.35-37.250.0N/A中美貿易戰影響,客戶下訂觀望,訂單減少
2019/41.274.08-21.834.13-27.80.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)815.191.430-1.14012.91-19.8628.3613.08-0.3801.71207.691.160
2022 (9)770.0-0.300-0.25016.110.2525.083.550.15-67.390.13-75.0-0.230
2021 (8)770.00.4400.35016.0743.8724.225.630.4600.5200.340
2020 (7)770.0-0.510-0.46011.17-18.8222.93-15.82-0.380-0.40-0.390
2019 (6)770.0-0.160-0.11013.76-33.0727.243.420.02-98.21-0.030-0.130
2018 (5)770.01.26366.671.16346.1520.568.7826.3416.961.12314.811.15325.930.97361.9
2017 (4)770.00.2700.26018.923.8522.52-12.00.2700.2700.210
2016 (3)770.0-0.920-0.56015.26-31.0725.594.45-0.310-0.560-0.70
2015 (2)770.01.62376.47-0.32022.14-10.4724.501.2-0.0901.42102.861.25380.77
2014 (1)770.00.3400.27024.737.4824.2100.6600.700.260

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