玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)610.00.0-2.34-296.61-2440.0-2.00-66.67-492.16-3.01-349.25-4400.01.3354.65-70.8331.9911.8927.6-1.23-68.49-461.76-1.43-297.22-2483.33-107.23-156.29-5803.72-107.23-156.29-8477.34-4.76-316.31-358.33
23Q3 (19)610.00.0-0.59-336.0-192.19-1.20-650.0-421.74-0.67-737.5-2133.330.86-64.17-80.5428.592.1851.43-0.73-630.0-421.43-0.36-340.0-192.31-41.84-764.13-571.7-41.84-764.13-571.7-44.82-80.12-298.53
23Q2 (18)610.00.00.25175.76180.65-0.1652.9457.89-0.0875.7688.062.4-25.4756.8627.9839.8314.72-0.152.3854.550.15175.0178.956.30200.8152.026.30200.8150.77-27.43-127.12-56.86
23Q1 (17)610.00.0-0.33-430.08.33-0.34-166.6751.43-0.33-571.438.333.22-29.39177.5920.01-20.1898.51-0.21-161.7651.16-0.2-433.339.09-6.25-432.4566.83-6.25-588.2866.83-13.11-257.1977.54
22Q4 (16)610.00.00.10-84.38123.810.51321.74224.390.07333.33105.344.563.1789.2125.0732.7930.50.34342.86241.670.06-84.62123.081.88-78.8118.081.28-85.57111.9596.03111.03180.61
22Q3 (15)610.00.00.64306.45239.13-0.2339.4743.9-0.0395.5296.594.42188.8957.8618.88-22.5920.49-0.1436.3644.00.39305.26239.298.87173.25189.428.87171.47189.42110.39160.1742.59
22Q2 (14)610.00.0-0.3113.8931.11-0.3845.71-46.15-0.67-86.11-55.811.5331.9-29.8224.39141.96-1.22-0.2248.84-37.5-0.1913.6432.14-12.1135.724.72-12.4134.132.36-9.9814.09-12.51
22Q1 (13)610.00.0-0.3614.29-1300.0-0.70-70.73-180.0-0.3672.52-1300.01.16-51.87-61.5910.08-47.53-53.55-0.43-79.17-186.67-0.2215.38-1200.0-18.84-81.15-3525.45-18.84-75.91-3525.45-32.9011.49-35.37
21Q4 (12)610.00.0-0.428.714.29-0.410.0-1950.0-1.31-48.8647.392.41-13.93-19.6719.2122.59-12.52-0.244.0-2500.0-0.267.1413.33-10.40-4.84-9.59-10.71-7.96-8.47.263.24-28.84
21Q3 (11)610.00.0-0.46-2.2257.41-0.41-57.6932.79-0.88-104.6556.02.828.4493.115.67-36.53-21.88-0.25-56.2532.43-0.280.057.58-9.9221.9578.14-9.9221.9578.140.32-801.11-30.84
21Q2 (10)610.01.67-0.45-1600.027.42-0.26-4.0-360.0-0.43-1533.3353.262.18-27.81-31.6624.6913.78-7.74-0.16-6.67-420.0-0.28-1500.024.32-12.71-2410.91-5.04-12.71-2410.91-8.08-13.57-746.94-577.00
21Q1 (9)610.00.00.03106.12109.68-0.25-1150.048.980.03101.2109.683.020.6720.821.70-1.1816.54-0.15-1600.050.00.02106.67110.530.55105.8107.350.55105.57107.3553.7980.38-526.64
20Q4 (8)610.00.0-0.4954.63-157.89-0.0296.72-112.5-2.49-24.5-326.363.0106.9-32.5821.969.478.820.01102.7-75.0-0.354.55-172.73-9.4979.09-146.49-9.8878.23-288.9826.18-9.78-306.64
20Q3 (7)611.670.0-1.08-74.19-735.29-0.61-710.0-1320.0-2.00-117.39-255.041.45-54.55-60.720.06-25.04-20.08-0.37-840.0-628.57-0.66-78.38-760.0-45.39-275.12-1310.4-45.39-285.97-1756.57-13.47-87.09-294.80
20Q2 (6)60-1.64-1.64-0.62-100.0-201.640.10120.41-61.54-0.92-196.77-182.143.1927.6-47.5326.7643.7247.760.05116.67-68.75-0.37-94.74-200.0-12.10-61.76-299.01-11.76-57.22-293.42-8.11-81.58-142.92
20Q1 (5)610.00.0-0.31-63.16-160.78-0.49-406.25-194.23-0.31-128.18-160.782.5-43.82-66.1218.62-7.738.13-0.3-850.0-193.75-0.19-72.73-161.29-7.48-94.29-276.83-7.48-194.49-276.83--0.00
19Q4 (4)610.00.0-0.19-211.760.00.16220.00.01.10-14.730.04.4520.60.020.18-19.60.00.04-42.860.0-0.11-210.00.0-3.85-202.670.0-2.54-192.70.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)610.00.00.17-72.130.00.05-80.770.01.2915.180.03.69-39.310.025.1038.60.00.07-56.250.00.1-72.970.03.75-38.320.02.74-54.930.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)610.00.00.6119.610.00.26-50.00.01.12119.610.06.08-17.620.018.115.170.00.16-50.00.00.3719.350.06.0843.740.06.0843.740.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)610.00.00.510.00.00.520.00.00.510.00.07.380.00.017.220.00.00.320.00.00.310.00.04.230.00.04.230.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.06-78.01-95.031.16-64.081.16N/A客戶品管完成前暫緩出貨
2024/20.26-68.46-73.121.1-46.511.85N/A本月工作時數減少所致
2024/10.8310.68-22.220.83-22.221.96N/A-
2023/120.75104.16-50.367.82-32.971.330.95材料缺貨
2023/110.3774.47-82.27.06-30.370.851.49出貨減少
2023/100.21-21.62-78.066.69-17.040.761.68客戶訂單延後出貨
2023/90.27-1.25-77.746.48-8.750.860.68客戶訂單延後
2023/80.27-14.58-87.726.215.441.310.45客戶訂單延後出貨
2023/70.32-55.5-67.25.9462.091.890.31本期營收減少為客戶訂單延後出貨所致
2023/60.72-14.9103.15.62109.052.40.4疫情減緩
2023/50.851.0126.974.9109.952.850.34疫後陸續出貨
2023/40.84-28.1463.74.05143.092.980.32疫情及材料延遲交貨等狀況減緩,產品陸續完成出貨
2023/31.1718.99526.013.22178.23.220.58疫情及材料延遲交貨等狀況減緩,產品陸續完成出貨
2023/20.98-8.72950.522.05111.483.570.52疫情及材料延遲交貨等狀況減緩,產品陸續完成出貨
2023/11.07-29.3622.311.0722.314.670.4-
2022/121.52-26.82128.1811.6612.084.560.57疫情及材料延遲交貨等狀況減緩,產品陸續完成出貨
2022/112.08115.12100.6110.154.154.250.61疫情減緩
2022/100.96-20.4635.888.07-7.34.410.59-
2022/91.21-45.5577.487.11-11.144.420.7疫情減緩及材料延遲狀況減緩
2022/82.23128.2135.245.89-19.423.560.867月份船班影響延至8月份出貨及材料缺料減緩
2022/70.98175.56-16.273.66-42.432.01.54-
2022/60.35-46.8-54.352.69-48.31.531.99受到船班倉位不足影響出貨
2022/50.6730.23-21.632.33-47.231.362.24-
2022/40.51174.77-7.431.67-53.320.793.86因缺料持續影響所致
2022/30.1999.68-81.761.16-61.721.161.38因缺料所致
2022/20.09-89.37-90.790.97-51.491.640.97因缺料所致
2022/10.8831.76-11.260.88-11.262.580.62-
2021/120.67-35.66-36.1710.412.672.410.79因缺料致銷貨減少
2021/111.0345.7131.559.747.132.430.78-
2021/100.713.88-39.468.714.812.340.81-
2021/90.68-27.83210.388.012.12.80.87去年同期受新冠肺炎影響
2021/80.95-18.78103.367.315.782.890.84去年同期受新冠肺炎影響
2021/71.1750.2152.826.37-1.262.790.87去年同期受新冠肺炎影響
2021/60.78-8.6684.365.2-8.522.181.49去年同期受新冠肺炎影響
2021/50.8553.82-29.784.42-15.952.431.33-
2021/40.55-46.1-64.513.57-11.822.591.25原材料IC交期拉長,加上部分客戶受到新冠肺炎疫情影響,海運費漲價及船期不確定性,致出貨減少
2021/31.031.289.173.0221.043.030.92-
2021/21.012.4230.082.028.483.040.91客戶訂單陸續出貨
2021/10.99-5.23-20.950.99-20.952.820.99疫情影響,出貨減少所致
2020/121.0432.61-34.5210.13-53.083.00.82受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/110.79-32.95-60.389.09-54.562.181.13受疫情影響出貨減少
2020/101.17432.6835.068.31-53.921.861.32因疫情影響客戶延後交貨之訂單本月陸續出貨
2020/90.22-52.71-85.67.13-58.421.451.82受疫情影響出貨減少
2020/80.47-38.96-62.276.91-55.761.651.6本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/70.7681.22-17.576.45-55.212.391.1本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/60.42-65.21-76.065.68-57.793.190.57本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/51.21-22.25-48.185.26-55.053.710.49本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/41.5665.81-21.74.05-56.762.80.65本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/30.94206.21-72.082.5-66.22.50.72本期受疫情影響出貨減少所致
2020/20.31-75.47-56.421.56-61.283.150.57本期受疫情影響致工作天數減少影響出貨所致
2020/11.25-21.5-62.311.25-62.314.830.37本期工作天數減少以及客戶訂單減少所致
2019/121.59-19.76-36.5121.6-8.454.450.36-
2019/111.99128.5830.220.01-5.114.380.36-
2019/100.87-43.22-58.8918.03-7.873.630.43部份客戶訂單減少
2019/91.5323.91-47.9317.16-1.693.690.53-
2019/81.2333.34-37.1615.637.663.920.5-
2019/70.93-47.38-53.1714.3914.675.020.39受中美貿易戰影響客戶訂單減少
2019/61.76-24.67-9.5413.4727.366.080.33-
2019/52.3417.46-10.0211.7135.680.0N/A-
2019/41.99-40.8710.049.3755.340.0N/A本月客戶訂單持續出貨
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)610.0-3.010-3.7007.82-32.9325.4520.33-2.260-1.840-1.840
2022 (9)610.00.070-0.80011.6612.0121.155.07-0.4600.0700.040
2021 (8)610.0-1.310-1.34010.412.7620.13-10.05-0.810-0.790-0.80
2020 (7)610.0-2.490-1.00010.13-53.122.3815.18-0.610-1.520-1.520
2019 (6)610.01.1001.00021.6-8.1619.4336.350.5900.6500.670
2018 (5)610.0-0.460-1.16023.5214.1714.2511.07-0.690-0.260-0.280
2017 (4)610.0-2.820-2.38020.618.2512.83-37.81-1.470-1.740-1.720
2016 (3)610.0-0.080-0.95017.4213.9320.6312.92-0.650-0.120-0.050
2015 (2)611.67-0.440-1.20015.29-33.3818.2710.19-0.730-0.270-0.270
2014 (1)600.01.6710.60.16-83.6722.9522.9216.5800.34-61.81.265.01.0110.99

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