玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.32-43.92-14.861.26-20.01.26N/A-
2024/20.5757.3227.410.94-21.621.38N/A-
2024/10.36-18.25-51.180.36-51.181.23N/A本月營收較去年同期衰退51.19%,主係去年1月適逢春節連續假日,帶動旅遊人次增加。
2023/120.457.34-19.036.5623.111.380.03-
2023/110.42-20.43-12.156.1227.961.380.03-
2023/100.5219.07-3.65.732.371.830.02-
2023/90.44-49.76-17.315.1837.542.150.03-
2023/80.873.85-3.344.7446.542.270.03-
2023/70.8450.5423.23.8765.861.780.03本月營收較去年同期增加65.87%,主係疫情趨緩帶動東部旅遊人次增加所致
2023/60.5648.02106.913.0383.51.450.04本月營收較去年同期增加106.91%,主係去年同期受疫情影響,團體旅遊人數減少所致
2023/50.38-27.02305.812.4778.931.270.05本月營收較去年同期增加305.81%,主係去年同期受疫情影響,團體旅遊人數減少所致
2023/40.5236.79106.822.0962.541.340.04本月營收較去年同期增加106.82%,主係疫情趨緩帶動東部旅遊人次增加所致
2023/30.38-16.0678.51.5751.871.570.04本月營收較去年同期增加78.50%,主係疫情趨緩帶動東部旅遊人次增加所致
2023/20.45-39.726.761.245.041.750.03-
2023/10.7535.685.030.7585.031.770.03本月營收較去年同期成長85.04%,主係春節連假,帶動東部旅遊。
2022/120.5516.4677.115.3351.841.570.03本月營收較去年同期成長77.12%,主係地方推動旅遊活動,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2022/110.47-12.6948.084.7849.391.540.03-
2022/100.542.1461.14.3149.531.970.02本月營收較去年同期增加61.11%,主係疫情趨緩影響所致
2022/90.53-41.27137.123.7648.02.120.02本月營收較去年同期增加137.13%,主係地方推動旅遊活動,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2022/80.932.38174.233.2339.411.850.02本月營收較去年同期成長68.73%,主係觀光政策釋放利多,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2022/70.68152.821002.182.3317.121.040.04本月營收較去年同期成長1002.18%,主係觀光政策釋放利多,帶動東部旅遊人次增加。
2022/60.27190.311199.421.65-14.480.610.03本月營收較去年同期增加1199.42%,主係疫情趨緩,帶動東部旅遊人次增加。
2022/50.09-62.8-50.931.38-27.690.550.04本月營收較去年同期減少50.94%,主係疫情影響所致
2022/40.2518.06-38.431.29-25.130.880.02-
2022/30.21-49.8-33.931.04-21.011.040.03-
2022/20.424.46-25.050.83-16.841.140.03-
2022/10.429.79-6.10.4-6.11.030.03-
2021/120.31-2.62-26.643.51-38.760.970.02-
2021/110.32-5.01-41.73.2-39.720.880.02-
2021/100.3450.34-47.32.88-39.50.890.02-
2021/90.22-32.08-60.382.54-38.290.610.03本月營收較去年同期減少60.39%,主係疫情影響所致
2021/80.33432.06-61.232.32-34.780.410.05本月營收較去年同期減少61.24%,主係疫情影響所致
2021/70.06198.07-91.661.99-26.490.270.07本月營收較去年同期減少91.67%,主係疫情所致
2021/60.02-89.03-95.741.93-1.850.620.05本月營收較去年同期減少95.74%,主係疫情所致
2021/50.19-53.33-43.841.9129.120.920.03-
2021/40.4126.71114.641.7250.711.290.02本月營收較去年同期成長50.72%,主係去年因受疫情影響營收下降,今年因東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2021/30.32-43.0682.621.3138.01.310.02本月營收較去年同期成長82.62%,主係地方推動旅遊活動,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2021/20.5630.8881.90.9927.911.420.02本月營收較去年同期成長81.9%,主係2月遇春節連假,帶動東部旅遊人次增加所致。
2021/10.431.4-7.860.43-7.861.40.02-
2020/120.42-22.6168.725.7334.771.610.02本月營收較去年同期成長68.73%,主係地方推動旅遊活動,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致
2020/110.55-14.1586.585.3132.641.750.02本月營收較去年同期成長86.59%,主係地方推動旅遊活動,帶動東部旅遊人次增加,刺激消費情況下所致。
2020/100.6413.0266.214.7628.372.050.01本月營收較去年同期成長66.22%,主係疫情緩和又政府推出暖心旅遊專案及振興,刺激消費情況下所致
2020/90.56-33.5459.414.1224.02.160.02本月營收較去年同期成長59.42%,主係疫情緩和又政府推出暖心旅遊專案及振興,刺激消費情況下所致
2020/80.8514.3456.633.5619.772.080.02本月營收較去年同期成長56.63%,主係暑假疫情緩和又政府推出暖心旅遊專案及振興劵刺激消費情況下所致
2020/70.7452.3429.632.7111.541.570.03-
2020/60.4944.5417.731.975.951.010.03-
2020/50.3478.3914.281.482.570.70.04-
2020/40.197.8-32.491.14-0.440.670.04-
2020/30.18-43.28-21.740.959.920.950.02-
2020/20.31-33.7-20.260.7821.01.030.02-
2020/10.4785.784.190.4784.191.010.02本期較去年同期成長84.19%主係因農曆春節出遊人數較高,去年春節落在2月份,而本期落在1月份所致。
2019/120.25-14.41-22.644.2514.790.930.02-
2019/110.29-23.5247.324.018.391.030.02-
2019/100.388.422.93.7116.571.280.02-
2019/90.35-34.7-0.853.3215.891.470.01-
2019/80.54-5.36-3.32.9718.271.530.01-
2019/70.5738.3514.262.4324.471.280.02-
2019/60.4140.318.61.8528.010.990.03-
2019/50.35.387.931.4434.940.0N/A-
2019/40.2824.96-13.231.1544.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.362023/10.752022/10.42021/10.432020/10.47
2024/20.572023/20.452022/20.422021/20.562020/20.31
2024/30.322023/30.382022/30.212021/30.322020/30.18
N/AN/A2023/40.522022/40.252021/40.412020/40.19
N/AN/A2023/50.382022/50.092021/50.192020/50.34
N/AN/A2023/60.562022/60.272021/60.022020/60.49
N/AN/A2023/70.842022/70.682021/70.062020/70.74
N/AN/A2023/80.872022/80.92021/80.332020/80.85
N/AN/A2023/90.442022/90.532021/90.222020/90.56
N/AN/A2023/100.522022/100.542021/100.342020/100.64
N/AN/A2023/110.422022/110.472021/110.322020/110.55
N/AN/A2023/120.452022/120.552021/120.312020/120.42
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.14%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.969.09-9.43
23Q3 (19)0.88-18.52-1.12
23Q2 (18)1.0818.6814.89
23Q1 (17)0.91-14.1510.98
22Q4 (16)1.0619.110.42
22Q3 (15)0.89-5.3218.67
22Q2 (14)0.9414.6327.03
22Q1 (13)0.82-14.58-3.53
21Q4 (12)0.9628.03.23
21Q3 (11)0.751.35-7.41
21Q2 (10)0.74-12.94-9.76
21Q1 (9)0.85-8.626.87
20Q4 (8)0.9314.8130.99
20Q3 (7)0.81-1.2215.71
20Q2 (6)0.8222.399.33
20Q1 (5)0.67-5.63-2.9
19Q4 (4)0.711.430.0
19Q3 (3)0.7-6.670.0
19Q2 (2)0.758.70.0
19Q1 (1)0.690.00.0

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