海光 2038 - 每月營收

大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂

每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)

年/月	營收	月增率(%)	去年同期年增率(%)	累計營收	累計營收年增率(%)	近三月累計營收	存貨銷售比	備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/3	9.16	67.58	-9.79	22.8	-3.36	22.8	N/A	-
2024/2	5.47	-33.01	-33.17	13.63	1.5	22.22	N/A	-
2024/1	8.16	-4.94	55.58	8.16	55.58	25.72	N/A	因客戶訂單增加所致
2023/12	8.59	-4.23	6.97	93.65	-15.2	25.96	0.82	-
2023/11	8.97	6.77	1.12	85.06	-16.94	24.41	0.87	-
2023/10	8.4	19.29	-5.66	76.09	-18.66	23.02	0.93	-
2023/9	7.04	-7.11	-25.12	67.69	-20.02	21.45	1.21	-
2023/8	7.58	10.94	-31.75	60.65	-19.39	20.62	1.26	-
2023/7	6.83	10.03	-30.09	53.07	-17.25	21.25	1.22	-
2023/6	6.21	-24.32	-34.53	46.24	-14.94	22.65	0.99	-
2023/5	8.2	-0.39	-7.36	40.03	-10.8	26.6	0.84	-
2023/4	8.24	-18.92	-8.06	31.83	-11.64	26.58	0.84	-
2023/3	10.16	24.16	-0.91	23.59	-12.83	23.59	0.99	-
2023/2	8.18	55.96	10.23	13.43	-20.1	21.46	1.09	-
2023/1	5.25	-34.64	-44.1	5.25	-44.1	22.14	1.06	-
2022/12	8.03	-9.47	-24.96	110.45	8.01	25.8	0.8	-
2022/11	8.87	-0.39	-11.15	102.42	11.87	27.18	0.76	-
2022/10	8.9	-5.3	-8.31	93.55	14.69	29.41	0.7	-
2022/9	9.4	-15.34	-1.68	84.65	17.8	30.28	0.73	-
2022/8	11.11	13.64	48.27	75.25	20.79	30.36	0.73	-
2022/7	9.77	3.03	25.89	64.14	17.03	28.11	0.79	-
2022/6	9.48	7.08	17.98	54.37	15.57	27.3	0.84	-
2022/5	8.86	-1.15	10.26	44.88	15.07	28.07	0.82	-
2022/4	8.96	-12.62	11.18	36.02	16.32	26.64	0.86	-
2022/3	10.25	38.13	10.19	27.06	18.13	27.06	0.88	-
2022/2	7.42	-20.91	29.57	16.81	23.57	27.51	0.87	-
2022/1	9.39	-12.27	19.21	9.39	19.21	30.07	0.79	-
2021/12	10.7	7.18	32.49	102.25	34.53	30.39	0.66	-
2021/11	9.98	2.78	42.84	91.55	34.77	29.26	0.68	-
2021/10	9.71	1.54	74.35	81.57	33.84	26.77	0.75	因疫情減緩，客戶訂單增加所致
2021/9	9.56	27.68	94.28	71.86	29.77	24.82	0.78	因疫情減緩，客戶訂單增加所致
2021/8	7.49	-3.5	46.63	62.29	23.47	23.29	0.83	-
2021/7	7.76	-3.43	25.04	54.8	20.86	23.83	0.81	-
2021/6	8.04	0.08	33.01	47.04	20.2	24.13	0.83	-
2021/5	8.03	-0.32	22.16	39.0	17.86	25.4	0.79	-
2021/4	8.06	-13.4	3.93	30.97	16.8	23.09	0.86	-
2021/3	9.31	62.43	23.0	22.91	22.12	22.91	0.98	-
2021/2	5.73	-27.24	-11.37	13.6	21.52	21.68	1.03	-
2021/1	7.87	-2.49	66.48	7.87	66.48	22.94	0.97	因客戶訂單增加所致
2020/12	8.08	15.56	8.75	76.01	-4.43	20.63	1.2	-
2020/11	6.99	25.45	-3.44	67.93	-5.79	17.48	1.42	-
2020/10	5.57	13.15	-17.72	60.94	-6.06	15.6	1.59	-
2020/9	4.92	-3.63	-16.3	55.37	-4.7	16.24	1.36	-
2020/8	5.11	-17.71	3.4	50.45	-3.39	17.36	1.27	-
2020/7	6.21	2.71	15.0	45.34	-4.1	18.83	1.17	-
2020/6	6.04	-8.07	0.93	39.13	-6.56	20.37	0.88	-
2020/5	6.57	-15.2	-7.34	33.09	-7.81	21.89	0.82	-
2020/4	7.75	2.48	4.07	26.51	-7.93	21.78	0.82	-
2020/3	7.57	17.03	-4.62	18.76	-12.12	18.76	1.24	-
2020/2	6.46	36.68	15.85	11.19	-16.56	18.62	1.25	-
2020/1	4.73	-36.31	-39.64	4.73	-39.64	19.39	1.2	-
2019/12	7.43	2.6	-13.59	79.54	-2.31	21.43	0.89	-
2019/11	7.24	6.9	3.7	72.11	-0.98	19.89	0.96	-
2019/10	6.77	15.1	-10.73	64.87	-1.48	17.59	1.09	-
2019/9	5.88	19.06	1.82	58.1	-0.27	16.22	1.21	-
2019/8	4.94	-8.48	6.18	52.22	-0.5	16.33	1.21	-
2019/7	5.4	-9.84	-4.03	47.28	-1.15	18.48	1.06	-
2019/6	5.99	-15.61	1.8	41.88	-0.77	20.53	0.83	-
2019/5	7.1	-4.75	-9.68	35.89	-1.19	0.0	N/A	-
2019/4	7.45	-6.08	9.22	28.8	1.14	0.0	N/A	-

股價

長短期營收

營收年增率

存貨銷售比

由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況

年/月	營收	年/月	營收	年/月	營收	年/月	營收	年/月	營收
2024/1	8.16	2023/1	5.25	2022/1	9.39	2021/1	7.87	2020/1	4.73
2024/2	5.47	2023/2	8.18	2022/2	7.42	2021/2	5.73	2020/2	6.46
2024/3	9.16	2023/3	10.16	2022/3	10.25	2021/3	9.31	2020/3	7.57
N/A	N/A	2023/4	8.24	2022/4	8.96	2021/4	8.06	2020/4	7.75
N/A	N/A	2023/5	8.2	2022/5	8.86	2021/5	8.03	2020/5	6.57
N/A	N/A	2023/6	6.21	2022/6	9.48	2021/6	8.04	2020/6	6.04
N/A	N/A	2023/7	6.83	2022/7	9.77	2021/7	7.76	2020/7	6.21
N/A	N/A	2023/8	7.58	2022/8	11.11	2021/8	7.49	2020/8	5.11
N/A	N/A	2023/9	7.04	2022/9	9.4	2021/9	9.56	2020/9	4.92
N/A	N/A	2023/10	8.4	2022/10	8.9	2021/10	9.71	2020/10	5.57
N/A	N/A	2023/11	8.97	2022/11	8.87	2021/11	9.98	2020/11	6.99
N/A	N/A	2023/12	8.59	2022/12	8.03	2021/12	10.7	2020/12	8.08

每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收

合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.93%

	合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)	2.08	-4.15	12.43
23Q3 (19)	2.17	-6.47	9.6
23Q2 (18)	2.32	103.51	-31.36
23Q1 (17)	1.14	-38.38	-68.68
22Q4 (16)	1.85	-6.57	-48.32
22Q3 (15)	1.98	-41.42	-40.36
22Q2 (14)	3.38	-7.14	31.52
22Q1 (13)	3.64	1.68	-10.12
21Q4 (12)	3.58	7.83	68.87
21Q3 (11)	3.32	29.18	97.62
21Q2 (10)	2.57	-36.54	164.95
21Q1 (9)	4.05	91.04	252.17
20Q4 (8)	2.12	26.19	69.6
20Q3 (7)	1.68	73.2	17.48
20Q2 (6)	0.97	-15.65	-1.02
20Q1 (5)	1.15	-8.0	-2.54
19Q4 (4)	1.25	-12.59	0.0
19Q3 (3)	1.43	45.92	0.0
19Q2 (2)	0.98	-16.95	0.0
19Q1 (1)	1.18	0.0	0.0