玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/424.248.7112.977.7-6.1659.74N/A
2026/322.368.943.9853.46-12.8453.460.31註:本月營收較上月增加68.9%主因產品銷量及單價較上月增加所致。
2026/213.2-26.51-38.7531.16-21.8847.550.35
2026/117.969.58-2.0617.96-2.0649.820.33
2025/1216.395.94-23.34222.54-6.4349.170.25
2025/1115.47-10.61-21.18206.15-4.7650.170.25
2025/1017.31-0.4915.57190.68-3.1253.980.23
2025/917.39-9.77-16.07173.37-4.6653.870.24
2025/819.2812.05-8.69155.98-3.254.990.24
2025/717.2-7.02-26.81136.7-2.3753.90.24
2025/618.51.73-15.57119.52.5558.160.2
2025/518.19-15.29-18.38100.996.7561.10.19
2025/421.470.123.482.814.564.460.18
2025/321.44-0.4847.5661.3318.9761.330.23
2025/221.5517.4935.4639.897.7561.270.23
2025/118.34-14.22-13.1218.34-13.1259.350.24
2024/1221.388.9219.34237.8514.2555.990.24
2024/1119.6331.0810.88216.4613.7755.330.24
2024/1014.97-27.74-1.74196.8414.0756.810.24
2024/920.72-1.8317.42181.8615.665.340.25
2024/821.11-10.1818.17161.1415.3766.540.24
2024/723.517.2536.86140.0214.9667.710.24
2024/621.92-1.6543.79116.5211.3664.970.23
2024/522.297.3219.1994.65.8357.580.26
2024/420.7642.8812.6272.312.351.20.29
2024/314.53-8.64-18.3451.55-1.3351.55N/A
2024/215.91-24.64-16.2937.027.4554.93N/A
2024/121.1117.8336.6921.1136.6956.73N/A
2023/1217.921.213.26208.17-5.7250.86N/A
2023/1117.716.140.1190.25-7.1950.59N/A
2023/1015.24-13.64-13.91172.55-7.8750.75N/A
2023/917.65-1.2-9.15157.31-7.2452.69N/A
2023/817.874.01-3.54139.66-7.050.28N/A
2023/717.1712.6853.19121.8-7.4851.11N/A因去年同期揚州子公司歲修銷量減少,同比基期較低,致使2023年7月合併公司主要產品乙二醇銷量較去年同期增加57%
2023/615.24-18.483.36104.62-13.1352.38N/A
2023/518.71.415.2389.38-15.4354.93N/A
2023/418.443.58-18.7170.68-19.6155.24N/A
2023/317.8-6.34-18.3352.25-19.9352.25N/A
2023/219.023.05-18.6434.45-20.7350.27N/A
2023/115.44-2.36-23.1515.44-23.1548.94N/A
2022/1215.82-10.54-21.93220.81-19.6551.21N/A
2022/1117.68-0.12-15.5204.99-19.4654.82N/A
2022/1017.71-8.86-29.99187.31-19.8255.65N/A
2022/919.434.89-10.61169.61-18.5949.16N/A
2022/818.5265.2-21.87150.18-19.5144.48N/A主要係揚州子公司2022年7月底結束歲修致合併公司主要產品乙二醇之8月銷量較7月增加69%。
2022/711.21-23.96-54.03131.66-19.1743.72N/A主要係揚州子公司2022年7月歲修致主要產品乙二醇之銷量減少55%。
2022/614.74-17.01-32.91120.45-13.0355.19N/A
2022/517.77-21.66-28.25105.7-9.2862.24N/A
2022/422.684.07-12.887.93-4.1767.84N/A
2022/321.79-6.7-19.565.25-0.7565.25N/A
2022/223.3616.2325.8443.4612.3763.72N/A
2022/120.1-0.81-0.0720.1-0.0761.29N/A
2021/1220.26-3.1719.12274.8246.4666.48N/A
2021/1120.93-17.2614.1254.5549.1967.95N/A
2021/1025.2916.3742.1233.6353.4170.73N/A主要係2021年1~10月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加49%所致。
2021/921.73-8.3232.54208.3454.9169.83N/A2021年1~9月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加48%所致。
2021/823.71-2.882.35186.658.0270.08N/A2021年8月及1~8月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價分別增加57%及48%所致。
2021/724.3910.9886.72162.8955.0171.13N/A2021年7月及1~7月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價分別增加67%及48%所致。
2021/621.98-11.2436.15138.550.50.0N/A2021年1~6月合併公司主要產品之單價上漲45%所致
2021/524.76-4.837.76116.5253.560.0N/A2021年1~5月合併公司主要產品乙二醇之單價增加43%所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/117.962025/118.342024/121.112023/115.442022/120.1
2026/213.22025/221.552024/215.912023/219.02022/223.36
2026/322.32025/321.442024/314.532023/317.82022/321.79
2026/424.242025/421.472024/420.762023/418.442022/422.68
N/AN/A2025/518.192024/522.292023/518.72022/517.77
N/AN/A2025/618.52024/621.922023/615.242022/614.74
N/AN/A2025/717.22024/723.512023/717.172022/711.21
N/AN/A2025/819.282024/821.112023/817.872022/818.52
N/AN/A2025/917.392024/920.722023/917.652022/919.43
N/AN/A2025/1017.312024/1014.972023/1015.242022/1017.71
N/AN/A2025/1115.472024/1119.632023/1117.72022/1117.68
N/AN/A2025/1216.392024/1221.382023/1217.922022/1215.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.86%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)2.5321.05-5.24
25Q4 (7)2.09-36.670.97
25Q3 (6)3.348.6538.66
25Q2 (5)2.22-16.85-29.07
25Q1 (4)2.6728.990.0
24Q4 (3)2.07-13.030.0
24Q3 (2)2.38-23.960.0
24Q2 (1)3.130.00.0

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