玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2026/40.3625.23-24.121.22-31.070.85N/A-
2026/30.2831.44-40.610.86-33.580.862.62中東戰爭造成歐洲出口延遲
2026/20.22-40.56-24.490.58-30.140.872.59歐洲衰退
2026/10.3623.77-32.150.36-32.151.042.17-
2025/120.29-23.6954.784.95-0.530.912.7大陸及美國巿場成長
2025/110.3868.044.924.66-2.720.892.75-
2025/100.23-17.8929.074.28-3.351.032.39-
2025/90.28-46.3-4.864.05-4.71.142.15-
2025/80.5249.3431.653.77-4.691.491.65印度大型機台成長
2025/70.35-44.725.933.25-8.711.481.66大陸市場成長
2025/60.6323.38-38.642.9-11.621.611.79美國市場衰退
2025/50.518.76-11.522.280.61.451.98比1404月成長原因,大陸市場成長
2025/40.47-1.9911.831.774.741.232.34大陸市場大型機台成長
2025/30.4867.1410.781.32.41.32.36本月營收較上個月成長67%,較同期營收成長11%,主要為大陸市場大幅成長,累計營收較同期成長2.4%
2025/20.29-46.5916.690.83-0.981.12.78大陸市場成長
2025/10.5388.21-9.610.53-9.611.192.59印度大型機台成長,上月份113年12月營收28,425仟元,本月53,499成長88%,同期小幅衰退1%,本月遇9天連假,表現優
2024/120.28-22.39-55.615.08-11.830.833.52因歐美年假,公司客製高,單價高,易因客戶安機排程遞延認列,公開資訊觀測站已公告財報113Q3.EPS:1.62元已超112Q4之1.3元
2024/110.37106.71-31.654.79-6.350.843.48-
2024/100.18-39.48-78.134.43-3.390.863.37美國市場衰退
2024/90.29-25.689.124.2512.660.962.81-
2024/80.3942.8623.663.9612.941.691.59-
2024/70.28-73.06-51.173.5611.861.871.44大陸市場衰退
2024/61.0277.92380.343.2925.462.021.14亞洲市場成長
2024/50.5837.47-9.922.26-5.971.431.62-
2024/40.42-2.9-28.081.69-4.551.092.11-
2024/30.4376.0540.061.277.011.27N/A-
2024/20.24-58.6317.640.84-4.581.48N/A-
2024/10.59-7.56-11.50.59-11.51.77N/A-
2023/120.6419.49155.515.7621.631.99N/A美國成長
2023/110.54-33.8657.235.1214.151.61N/A美國成長
2023/100.81202.031.534.5810.61.4N/A-
2023/90.27-15.782.143.776.941.15N/A-
2023/80.32-43.58-39.643.57.331.1N/A美國市場衰退
2023/70.56164.9915.943.1816.41.42N/A-
2023/60.21-66.6363.232.6216.51.43N/A歐洲市場成長
2023/50.649.7533.132.4113.621.53N/A美國及大陸市場成長
2023/40.5889.1-2.631.777.91.1N/A-
2023/30.3147.87-29.531.1813.961.18N/A-
2023/20.21-68.8828.990.8845.481.13N/A-
2023/10.67166.8751.510.6751.511.26N/A美國.大陸.法國成長
2022/120.25-26.4670.144.7331.181.21N/A美國市場成長
2022/110.34-44.67-28.234.4829.521.22N/A歐洲市場衰退
2022/100.62134.53415.424.1438.71.41N/A中東市場成長
2022/90.26-50.24150.283.5322.991.28N/A美國市場成長
2022/80.538.37145.993.2618.161.15N/A美國市場成長
2022/70.49273.05127.522.737.391.1N/A美國.歐洲市場成長
2022/60.13-72.78-63.372.25-3.631.21N/A歐洲市場衰退及美國9月機展
2022/50.48-19.7330.172.127.141.51N/A-
2022/40.636.8641.841.641.851.2N/A-
2022/30.44170.698.01.04-12.351.04N/A會計師調去年營收32437仟元於本月入帳
2022/20.16-63.44-50.960.6-22.880.75N/A營業天數較少
2022/10.44199.68-2.460.44-2.461.06N/A-
2021/120.15-68.98-72.153.6115.970.74N/A船舶離港時間延誤
2021/110.47297.3369.063.4634.020.7N/A大型機台出貨
2021/100.1213.88-68.382.9929.750.44N/A電腦控制器延交(缺晶片)
2021/90.1-51.09-45.992.8749.040.53N/A大陸長假及美國海運延遲
2021/80.210.23-2.732.7659.730.79N/A美國歐洲回温
2021/70.21-39.941.822.5568.860.94N/A大陸市場成長
2021/60.36-3.28135.482.3379.730.0N/A東歐市場回溫
2021/50.37-12.54301.991.9872.360.0N/A出口回升
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2026/10.362025/10.532024/10.592023/10.672022/10.44
2026/20.222025/20.292024/20.242023/20.212022/20.16
2026/30.282025/30.482024/30.432023/30.312022/30.44
2026/40.362025/40.472024/40.422023/40.582022/40.6
N/AN/A2025/50.512024/50.582023/50.642022/50.48
N/AN/A2025/60.632024/61.022023/60.212022/60.13
N/AN/A2025/70.352024/70.282023/70.562022/70.49
N/AN/A2025/80.522024/80.392023/80.322022/80.53
N/AN/A2025/90.282024/90.292023/90.272022/90.26
N/AN/A2025/100.232024/100.182023/100.812022/100.62
N/AN/A2025/110.382024/110.372023/110.542022/110.34
N/AN/A2025/120.292024/120.282023/120.642022/120.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近8季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
26Q1 (8)0.9593.88-34.03
25Q4 (7)0.49-15.52-69.94
25Q3 (6)0.58-17.14-66.67
25Q2 (5)0.7-51.39-50.0
25Q1 (4)1.44-11.660.0
24Q4 (3)1.63-6.320.0
24Q3 (2)1.7424.290.0
24Q2 (1)1.40.00.0

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