玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)54-8.4738.46-0.0688.080.650.11139.29184.62-1.07-2.886.961.0116.09-12.1720.8785.51149.940.05141.67155.56-0.0390.075.0-4.0587.065.94-3.3290.2268.52.89-37.5837.29
23Q3 (19)595.3651.28-0.50-163.16-194.12-0.28-64.71-7.69-1.04-103.92-22.350.87-10.310.011.25-2.5192.64-0.12-50.014.29-0.3-172.73-328.57-31.15-183.96-320.38-33.95-210.05-340.91-6.17-59.52-17.77
23Q2 (18)5643.5943.59-0.1944.1251.28-0.1729.1739.29-0.51-50.025.00.97-2.02-16.3811.54160.5243.45-0.0842.8655.56-0.1115.3826.67-10.9722.5826.96-10.9519.1316.09-7.9617.22-27.73
23Q1 (17)390.02.63-0.34-9.68-21.43-0.24-84.6241.46-0.3470.43-21.430.99-13.91-13.914.43-46.95592.19-0.14-55.5639.13-0.13-8.33-18.18-14.17-19.18-42.41-13.54-28.46-46.229.13-46.02-17.31
22Q4 (16)390.021.88-0.31-82.3522.5-0.1350.050.0-1.15-35.2940.11.1532.18-9.458.3542.9880.35-0.0935.7140.0-0.12-71.437.69-11.89-60.46-8.58-10.54-36.88-3.743.59-12.9728.57
22Q3 (15)390.018.18-0.1756.4159.52-0.267.14-8.33-0.85-25.044.440.87-25.0-18.695.8473.815.04-0.1422.226.67-0.0753.3350.0-7.4150.6748.15-7.7041.039.51-12.068.5619.43
22Q2 (14)392.6334.48-0.39-39.29-30.0-0.2831.71-211.11-0.68-142.8644.261.160.877.413.36425.0-68.86-0.1821.74-157.14-0.15-36.36-66.67-15.02-50.95-52.64-13.05-40.93-58.95-4.29-4.64-12.99
22Q1 (13)3818.7531.03-0.2830.069.57-0.41-57.694.65-0.2885.4269.571.15-9.45-10.850.64-86.18145.07-0.23-53.3314.81-0.1115.3859.26-9.959.1359.72-9.268.8655.954.6217.38-33.01
21Q4 (12)32-3.0310.34-0.404.76-1100.0-0.26-8.33-1400.0-1.92-25.49-900.01.2718.69-32.454.63-16.73-68.13-0.150.0-850.0-0.137.14-1400.0-10.9523.37-1290.22-10.1620.19-1947.278.88-17.62-87.50
21Q3 (11)3313.7913.79-0.42-40.0-244.83-0.24-166.67-318.18-1.53-25.41-828.571.07-0.93-31.415.56-48.47-72.72-0.15-114.29-287.5-0.14-55.56-275.0-14.29-45.22-312.02-12.73-55.05-334.87-8.6113.70-43.80
21Q2 (10)290.00.0-0.3067.39-350.0-0.0979.07-152.94-1.22-32.61-1425.01.08-16.28-29.8710.79859.86-38.62-0.0774.07-170.0-0.0966.67-400.0-9.8460.16-432.43-8.2160.94-461.67-23.83-1166.31-1085.46
21Q1 (9)290.00.0-0.92-2400.0-360.0-0.43-2250.0-377.78-0.92-483.33-360.01.29-31.3819.44-1.42-109.77-111.59-0.27-1450.0-440.0-0.27-2800.0-350.0-24.70-2784.78-418.91-21.02-3921.82-294.37-5.43-1243.11-1165.91
20Q4 (8)290.00.00.04-86.21133.330.02-81.8200.2414.29-66.671.8820.5149.2114.53-28.73.560.02-75.000.01-87.5133.330.92-86.35141.070.55-89.85120.5210.9127.73-58.55
20Q3 (7)290.00.00.29141.6781.250.11-35.29-42.110.21362.5-75.01.561.3-14.2920.3815.93-3.370.08-20.0-38.460.08166.6760.06.74127.754.595.42138.77114.2321.95150.83126.80
20Q2 (6)290.00.00.12160.0-66.670.17288.89-29.17-0.0860.0-111.761.5442.59-17.6517.5843.51-22.520.1300.0-41.180.03150.0-72.732.96162.18-62.772.27142.59-59.9614.1546.66144.44
20Q1 (5)290.00.0-0.20-66.67-162.5-0.090-169.23-0.20-127.78-162.51.08-14.29-28.4812.25-12.69-40.51-0.050-155.56-0.06-100.0-166.67-4.76-112.5-161.5-5.33-98.88-186.53--0.00
19Q4 (4)290.00.0-0.12-175.00.00.00-100.00.00.72-14.290.01.26-30.770.014.03-33.480.00-100.00.0-0.03-160.00.0-2.24-151.380.0-2.68-205.930.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)290.00.00.16-55.560.00.19-20.830.00.8423.530.01.82-2.670.021.09-7.050.00.13-23.530.00.05-54.550.04.36-45.160.02.53-55.380.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)290.00.00.3612.50.00.2484.620.00.68112.50.01.8723.840.022.6910.20.00.1788.890.00.1122.220.07.952.710.05.67-7.950.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)290.00.00.320.00.00.130.00.00.320.00.01.510.00.020.590.00.00.090.00.00.090.00.07.740.00.06.160.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.3427.9-7.161.011.871.01N/A母公司營收雖較去年成長,但漳州廠今年停業,致單月合併營收不如去年同期。惟今年第一季合併營收較去年同期增長。
2024/20.27-32.52-19.50.677.251.02N/A二月份因春節假期,工作天數較短,營收較去年同期衰退。惟一二月累計營收仍較去年同期成長。
2024/10.413.8838.270.438.271.09N/A台灣廠營收已逐步成長,且去年同期因春節假期因素,一月工作天數較短,基期較低,致營收成長幅度較高
2023/120.352.23-5.243.84-11.341.010.2中國經濟持續惡化,子公司已停業,合併營收較去年同期減少,但台灣母公司營運已漸好轉
2023/110.349.23-5.473.49-11.910.930.21中國市場持續惡化,子公司已停業,合併營收較去年同期減少,台灣母公司已轉虧為盈
2023/100.3113.26-25.083.15-12.560.90.22中國市場持續低迷,漳州子公司已停止營運,合併營收雖較去年同期減少,然而台灣母公司已轉虧為盈
2023/90.28-12.040.962.84-10.920.870.2中國經濟持續低迷,影響子公司營運,台灣母公司業績雖有起色,合併營收仍較去年下滑
2023/80.3112.7627.732.56-12.040.870.2中國經濟持續低迷,影響子公司營運,台灣母公司業績雖有起色,合併營收仍較去年下滑
2023/70.280.73-20.372.25-15.710.890.19中國經濟持續低迷,影響大陸子公司上半年業績,合併營收較去年下滑
2023/60.28-16.232.011.97-15.010.970.31因應原料成本逐步下滑,客戶訂單緩步回升,惟仍需時間以回到去年同期狀況
2023/50.33-9.8-4.531.69-17.271.070.28反映原料成本上漲,調高產品售價,致訂單量較去年同期減少。
2023/40.37-1.07-32.521.36-19.871.070.28反映原料成本上漲,調高產品售價,致訂單量較去年同期減少。
2023/30.3710.9-31.340.99-13.910.990.45原料仍處於高檔,客戶下單延遲,營收不如預期。
2023/20.3315.9125.840.621.40.990.45因應原料成本波動,調高客戶報價,致營收較去年成長
2023/10.29-21.95-17.230.29-17.231.020.44本月因逢農曆年工作天數較少,故營收較去年同期減少。
2022/120.371.99-16.334.34-7.861.150.46受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/110.36-13.42-0.853.97-6.981.050.5受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/100.4252.63-9.253.6-7.550.940.56受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/90.2711.27-12.583.19-7.330.870.32受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/80.25-29.7-41.342.91-6.80.870.32受疫情影響,導致貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕;原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲;因應原料上揚,調整價格,提高毛利,營收不如預期
2022/70.3529.053.912.67-1.430.970.29受新冠肺炎影響,導致 1.海運貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕 2.原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲 以致累計營收不如預期
2022/60.27-21.63.122.32-2.21.160.35受新冠肺炎影響,導致 1.海運貨櫃塞港,出貨延宕 2.原料價格波動劇烈,客戶下單延遲 以致累計營收不如預期
2022/50.35-36.25-26.652.04-2.861.430.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨,營收減少。
2022/40.540.6657.851.74.011.350.3美元匯率升值,營收較去年同期增加。
2022/30.54103.2723.541.15-10.371.150.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率影響,累計營收較去年度減少。
2022/20.27-23.7642.860.61-27.81.060.32受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2022/10.35-21.11-47.570.35-47.571.160.29受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/120.4420.87-26.724.71-22.231.270.3受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/110.37-20.76-40.624.26-21.741.140.33受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/100.4647.02-29.93.9-19.331.190.32受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值,導致營收較去年同期減少。
2021/90.31-25.33-41.643.44-17.671.070.57受新冠肺炎影響海運塞港延遲出貨及美金匯率貶值,營收減少。
2021/80.4224.54-4.533.12-14.131.020.6受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少。
2021/70.3428.07-41.642.7-15.451.070.57受新冠肺炎及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少
2021/60.26-44.24-52.262.37-9.671.080.59受新冠肺炎影響及美金匯率貶值導致營收減少。
2021/50.4737.190.442.11.671.250.51-
2021/40.34-21.21-33.691.632.030.970.66-
2021/30.44135.0518.81.2919.211.290.23-
2021/20.19-72.02-63.560.8519.421.450.21110年2月因農曆年關係,外銷客戶為避開農曆年前後港口塞港嚴重之現象,因而110年2月營收較少,惟本年仍較去年成長19.42%。
2021/10.6610.26229.080.66229.081.880.16訂單增加營收亦增加。
2020/120.6-2.0674.676.05-6.391.880.3109年12月訂單增加致本月營收增加,但因受美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/110.62-6.4523.85.45-10.961.810.31因受美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/100.6622.3957.574.83-14.041.640.34因原料豆粉價格看漲,客戶下單量增加,故本月營收成長。
2020/90.5422.143.084.18-19.781.560.26因受新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金對新台幣匯率下滑,致今年度營收較去年減少。
2020/80.44-23.87-35.443.64-22.331.570.26受到新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/70.584.77-6.463.2-20.091.60.26受到新冠肺炎全球大流行之影響,客戶下單趨保守,且美金兌新台幣匯率下滑,致本月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/60.5517.3-8.812.62-22.581.540.2-
2020/50.47-9.43-30.142.07-25.581.360.23-
2020/40.5241.15-12.721.6-24.121.40.22-
2020/30.37-27.9-28.751.08-28.611.080.28-
2020/20.51152.651.180.71-28.531.060.28-
2020/10.2-41.47-58.980.2-58.981.040.29本月淡季除外農曆年較早,主要銷售地區越南客戶為避開農曆年前1-2周港口塞港非常嚴重之現象.故避開農曆年前出貨
2019/120.35-30.58-32.566.473.811.260.31-
2019/110.519.062.756.127.061.440.27-
2019/100.42-19.93-25.15.627.461.620.24-
2019/90.52-23.53.495.2111.351.820.19-
2019/80.6810.2918.544.6912.291.90.18-
2019/70.622.1423.594.011.31.90.18-
2019/60.6-10.1220.863.399.311.870.1-
2019/50.6713.1527.82.787.090.0N/A-
2019/40.5915.239.412.111.820.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)5438.46-1.070-0.5703.84-11.5212.08170.85-0.30-0.560-0.570
2022 (9)3921.88-1.150-1.0704.34-7.864.46-3.04-0.620-0.490-0.450
2021 (8)3210.34-1.920-1.0004.71-22.154.60-71.95-0.640-0.720-0.620
2020 (7)290.00.24-66.670.20-61.546.05-6.4916.40-18.250.15-61.540.12-62.50.07-66.67
2019 (6)297.410.72-22.580.5220.936.473.8520.066.530.3925.810.32-5.880.21-16.0
2018 (5)273.850.93-14.680.43-24.566.2310.8518.83-12.660.31-24.390.34-10.530.25-10.71
2017 (4)268.331.09-60.650.57-54.765.62-22.721.56-6.260.41-50.60.38-54.220.28-58.82
2016 (3)244.352.774.141.26-5.267.27-9.6923.0012.410.83-3.490.837.790.689.68
2015 (2)234.552.6601.33209.38.050.3720.4667.160.86196.550.77120.00.62113.79
2014 (1)22-85.140.0000.4353.578.028.9712.2400.2952.630.35105.880.29123.08

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