上海商銀 5876 - 目標價 - 合理價 - 個股融資使用率 - 財務分析

5876 上海商銀 (上市) - 金融

448.16億股本

2285.62億市值

51.0 收盤價 (08-19)

5013張 -20.05% 成交量 (08-19)

16.09 本益比 (河流圖)

14.32 預估本益比

54.8 52周高點 (2022-06-28)

41.05 52周低點 (2021-11-06)

0.02% 融資餘額佔股本

0.1% 融資使用率

0.91 本益成長比

1.34 總報酬本益比

15.39~18.81% 預估今年成長率

12.8~15.64% 預估5年年化成長率

0.0 本業收入比(5年平均)

1.45 淨值比

0.02% 單日周轉率(>10%留意)

0.05% 5日周轉率(>30%留意)

N/A 市值淨值比

N/A 每股清算價值

近8季毛利率 : 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 近8季營益率 : 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 近8季營收 : 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 近8季EPS↗ : 0.79, 0.7, 0.83, 0.8, 0.8, 0.75, 0.81, 0.0

近3年毛利率 : 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 近3年營益率 : 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 近3年營收 : 0, 0, 0 近3年EPS↘ : 3.5, 3.01, 3.19

股價相對強度

	5日	10日	20日	60日	120日	240日
上海商銀	-1.92%	-1.16%	3.45%	0.2%	7.26%	14.22%
加權指數	-0.06%	2.59%	3.16%	-5.27%	-13.91%	-11.03%

股價漲跌幅

	過去5年漲跌幅	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
上海商銀	28.05%	8.0%	14.0%	-21.0%	30.0%	9.0%
0050	102.36%	-16.97%	3.82%	50.48%	14.17%	-5.71%

現價	可能漲跌幅 1	合理價 1	一年後目標價	報酬率 1	可能漲跌幅 2	合理價 2	五年後目標價	報酬率 2	可能漲跌幅 3	合理價 3
51.0	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

本業收入比小於0.7, 不做估算
合理價 1: 本益比法, 從 "一年後目標價" 回推得到; 合理價 2: 本益比法, 從 "五年後目標價" 回推得到
可能漲跌幅 1: "合理價 1" 和 "現價" 的差距; 可能漲跌幅 2: "合理價 2" 和 "現價" 的差距
報酬率 1: 一年後可能的報酬率; 報酬率 2: 五年可能年化報酬率
合理價 3: ROE 法
可能漲跌幅 3: "合理價 3" 和 "現價" 的差距
本益比法估值不適用於景氣循環股
推估算法可參考:本益比法估算股票合理價格, ROE 法估算股票合理價格
推估價格是根據過往財報及預測未來的成長率, 存在太多不確定性故價格僅能做為參考

	本益比	股價(樂觀成長率)	現價差距(%)	股價(保守成長率)	現價差距(%)		殖利率	股價(樂觀成長率)	現價差距(%)	股價(保守成長率)	現價差距(%)		淨值比	股價	現價差距(%)
最高價本益比	15.39	54.8	7.45	52.95	3.82	最低殖利率	3.67%	54.8	7.45	52.95	3.82	最高淨值比	1.51	53.43	4.76
最低價本益比	11.45	40.77	-20.06	39.39	-22.76	最高殖利率	4.93%	40.77	-20.06	39.39	-22.76	最低淨值比	1.09	38.57	-24.37

最高價本益比是採用歷年最高價本益比的中位數, 最低價本益比是採用歷年最低價本益比的中位數
最高價殖利率是採用歷年最高價殖利率的中位數, 最低價殖利率是採用歷年最低價殖利率的中位數
最高價淨值比是採用歷年最高價淨值比的中位數, 最低價淨值比是採用歷年最低價淨值比的中位數
本益比估值, 殖利率估值不適用於景氣循環股及歷史本益比起伏太大的股票
淨值估值適用於營建股, 景氣循環股及虧損的公司
推估價格是根據過往財報及預測未來的成長率, 存在太多不確定性故價格僅能做為參考

歷史本益比, 殖利率, 淨值區間

年度	最高價	最低價	EPS	最高本益比	最低本益比	現金股利	最低殖利率	最高殖利率	最高淨值比	最低淨值比
111	54.8	44.5	3.56	15.39	12.49	2.01	3.67%	4.52%	1.55	1.29
110	48.15	37.4	3.19	15.09	11.72	1.8	3.74%	4.81%	1.37	1.09
109	53.2	34.45	3.01	17.67	11.45	1.7	3.2%	4.93%	1.51	1.03
108	58.3	39.7	3.5	16.66	11.34	2.05	3.52%	5.16%	N/A	N/A
107	41.0	34.5	3.37	12.17	10.24	2.0	4.88%	5.8%	N/A	N/A

今年的 EPS, 現金股利為預估值

上市滿三年	資本額10億以上	股本形成中現金增資比率低於50%	負債比率低於50%	董監持股設質低於10%	現金(含約當現金)占股本超過50%	過去4季累積正營運現金流量	過去4季ROE超過25%	過去6個月的營收維持正的年成長率	過去4季的EPS年增率是正數
✔	✔			✔		✔		✔
4年	448.16億	87.95%		0.0%		39745百萬	0%

沒通過財務健檢5指標	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
營業利益率	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
ROE	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
本業收入比	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
自由現金流量(億)	-113.58	-63.29	306.56	-323.15	267.71
利息保障倍數	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

ROE大於8%, 營業利益率為正數, 本業收入比重大於 80%
自由現金流量為正數, 利息保障倍數超過 10倍, 5年內3年達標

稅前淨利較去年同期

(億)	(億)	YoY(%)
0.0	0.0	N/A
2022Q1(億)	2021Q1(億)	YoY(%)
56.55	60.52	-6.56
2021Q4(億)	2020Q4(億)	YoY(%)
50.97	48.76	4.53

EPS較上季 - 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況

(元)	(元)	比率
0.0	0.0	0.0

技術線型 (支撐、壓力、短中長期均線糾結) 大股東持有率大戶籌碼資劵變化 (要留意融劵餘額突然大量增加) 董監持股明細財報 (5/15, 8/14, 11/14, 3/31. 年報十大股東持股變化) 法說會 (公司未來展望) 上海商銀公告上海商銀新聞資本適足率逾放比率,呆帳覆蓋率

經營理念會計師報告 (無保留意見，修正式保留意見為佳，保留意見出現在第4季財報可能有問題) 財經百科 - 營業項目,營收比重大陸地區投資股本形成 (注意近年現金增資的頻率，股本的膨脹率是否小於稅後淨利的成長率) 董監持股比例 (董監持股比例理想越高越好，但是股本越大的公司勢必會被稀釋) 股利政策 (現金股利有部份來自資本公積要注意，但是如果是只有很少比例是來自資本公積而且是有計劃性是可以的，因為這樣可以降低股東權益，提升ROE)

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融資使用率

日期	股價	成交量(張)	成交量日增率	融資使用率	融資使用率日增率	日周轉率	5日周轉率	20日周轉率
2022-08-19	51.0	5013	-20.05%	0.1%	0.0%	0.11%	0.66%	1.68%
2022-08-18	50.6	6271	-25.59%	0.1%	11.11%	0.14%	0.6%	1.62%
2022-08-17	52.7	8428	57.41%	0.09%	0.0%	0.19%	0.52%	1.56%
2022-08-16	51.9	5354	13.83%	0.09%	0.0%	0.12%	0.39%	1.45%
2022-08-15	52.0	4704	116.26%	0.09%	0.0%	0.1%	0.33%	1.39%
2022-08-12	52.7	2175	-10.54%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.3%	1.36%
2022-08-11	53.0	2431	-18.59%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.33%	1.4%
2022-08-10	52.8	2986	18.59%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.34%	1.46%
2022-08-09	52.1	2518	-22.67%	0.09%	-18.18%	0.06%	0.36%	1.51%
2022-08-08	51.6	3257	-11.22%	0.11%	10.0%	0.07%	0.4%	1.56%
2022-08-05	51.1	3668	34.89%	0.1%	-9.09%	0.08%	0.41%	1.54%
2022-08-04	49.9	2719	-27.41%	0.11%	22.22%	0.06%	0.41%	1.54%
2022-08-03	50.1	3746	-17.95%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.4%	1.63%
2022-08-02	49.9	4566	27.57%	0.09%	0.0%	0.1%	0.38%	1.69%
2022-08-01	50.5	3579	-10.19%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.34%	1.71%
2022-07-29	50.1	3985	107.12%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.09%	0.31%	1.72%
2022-07-28	49.95	1924	-34.92%	0.1%	0.0%	0.04%	0.27%	1.79%
2022-07-27	49.9	2956	11.23%	0.1%	0.0%	0.07%	0.31%	1.92%
2022-07-26	49.8	2658	21.88%	0.1%	11.11%	0.06%	0.32%	2.0%
2022-07-25	49.3	2181	-7.96%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.05%	0.32%	2.03%
2022-07-22	48.9	2369	-32.82%	0.1%	0.0%	0.05%	0.35%	2.1%
2022-07-21	48.55	3527	-4.81%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.38%	2.19%
2022-07-20	47.9	3705	35.08%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.42%	2.3%
2022-07-19	48.05	2743	-19.69%	0.1%	-9.09%	0.06%	0.46%	2.32%
2022-07-18	48.0	3415	-9.85%	0.11%	0.0%	0.08%	0.5%	2.37%
2022-07-15	47.45	3789	-24.45%	0.11%	0.0%	0.08%	0.47%	2.43%
2022-07-14	48.6	5015	-9.25%	0.11%	10.0%	0.11%	0.48%	2.5%
2022-07-13	48.85	5526	20.14%	0.1%	0.0%	0.12%	0.51%	2.51%
2022-07-12	48.8	4600	104.39%	0.1%	-23.08%	0.1%	0.53%	2.54%
2022-07-11	49.75	2250	-43.18%	0.13%	0.0%	0.05%	0.55%	2.55%
2022-07-08	49.8	3960	-39.08%	0.13%	0.0%	0.09%	0.59%	2.73%
2022-07-07	49.7	6501	2.97%	0.13%	8.33%	0.15%	0.67%	2.75%
2022-07-06	51.1	6313	15.41%	0.12%	0.0%	0.14%	0.69%	2.7%
2022-07-05	52.5	5470	24.49%	0.12%	9.09%	0.12%	0.69%	2.66%
2022-07-04	52.4	4394	-38.32%	0.11%	0.0%	0.1%	0.66%	2.73%
2022-07-01	52.0	7124	-5.98%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.16%	0.69%	2.79%
2022-06-30	53.1	7577	16.29%	0.12%	0.0%	0.17%	0.66%	2.8%
2022-06-29	54.5	6516	57.94%	0.12%	0.0%	0.15%	0.68%	2.87%
2022-06-28	54.4	4125	-23.18%	0.12%	0.0%	0.09%	0.64%	3.17%
2022-06-27	54.3	5370	-13.5%	0.12%	0.0%	0.12%	0.66%	3.37%
2022-06-24	53.9	6208	-26.46%	0.12%	20.0%	0.14%	0.68%	3.54%
2022-06-23	54.0	8442	82.86%	0.1%	11.11%	0.19%	0.7%	3.56%
2022-06-22	52.9	4616	-8.81%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.1%	0.63%	3.67%
2022-06-21	53.1	5062	-16.16%	0.1%	0.0%	0.11%	0.68%	3.8%
2022-06-20	51.8	6038	-15.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.13%	0.68%	3.95%
2022-06-17	52.2	7146	33.97%	0.1%	0.0%	0.16%	0.77%	3.99%
2022-06-16	52.5	5334	-22.23%	0.1%	0.0%	0.12%	0.72%	3.93%
2022-06-15	52.3	6859	38.08%	0.1%	-9.09%	0.15%	0.7%	3.89%
2022-06-14	51.4	4967	-51.3%	0.11%	10.0%	0.11%	0.65%	3.79%
2022-06-13	50.7	10199	111.37%	0.1%	25.0%	0.23%	0.73%	3.75%
2022-06-10	52.1	4825	8.37%	0.08%	0.0%	0.11%	0.66%	3.6%
2022-06-09	52.2	4452	-4.22%	0.08%	0.0%	0.1%	0.72%	3.55%
2022-06-08	52.8	4648	-45.18%	0.08%	0.0%	0.1%	0.86%	3.54%
2022-06-07	52.6	8480	19.04%	0.08%	-11.11%	0.19%	1.2%	3.53%
2022-06-06	52.5	7123	-4.7%	0.09%	0.0%	0.16%	1.3%	3.44%
2022-06-02	51.9	7474	-31.33%	0.09%	0.0%	0.17%	1.44%	3.4%
2022-06-01	51.7	10884	-44.86%	0.09%	-30.77%	0.24%	1.43%	3.3%
2022-05-31	50.6	19739	49.3%	0.13%	-7.14%	0.44%	1.48%	3.09%
2022-05-30	50.7	13221	1.27%	0.14%	-6.67%	0.3%	1.27%	2.67%
2022-05-27	50.9	13055	82.4%	0.15%	0.0%	0.29%	1.24%	2.44%
2022-05-26	50.1	7157	-46.05%	0.15%	-11.76%	0.16%	1.12%	2.27%
2022-05-25	49.3	13267	30.19%	0.17%	21.43%	0.3%	1.06%	2.18%
2022-05-24	50.0	10190	-15.86%	0.14%	7.69%	0.23%	0.84%	1.95%
2022-05-23	49.65	12112	59.33%	0.13%	8.33%	0.27%	0.68%	1.82%
2022-05-20	48.2	7601	70.51%	0.12%	0.0%	0.17%	0.48%	1.62%
2022-05-19	46.5	4458	31.37%	0.12%	0.0%	0.1%	0.38%	1.51%
2022-05-18	47.3	3393	26.2%	0.12%	0.0%	0.08%	0.34%	1.51%
2022-05-17	46.4	2689	-14.83%	0.12%	0.0%	0.06%	0.36%	1.5%
2022-05-16	46.25	3157	-10.34%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.39%	1.51%
2022-05-13	46.8	3521	34.39%	0.12%	9.09%	0.08%	0.42%	1.49%
2022-05-12	45.95	2620	-34.96%	0.11%	0.0%	0.06%	0.45%	1.48%
2022-05-11	46.85	4028	-2.84%	0.11%	0.0%	0.09%	0.47%	1.51%
2022-05-10	47.3	4146	-6.53%	0.11%	0.0%	0.09%	0.41%	1.49%
2022-05-09	47.0	4435	-11.98%	0.11%	0.0%	0.1%	0.33%	1.51%
2022-05-06	48.35	5039	54.89%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.11%	0.3%	1.46%
2022-05-05	48.6	3253	153.31%	0.12%	9.09%	0.07%	0.31%	1.46%
2022-05-04	48.1	1284	32.0%	0.11%	0.0%	0.03%	0.31%	1.56%
2022-05-03	48.6	973	-64.96%	0.11%	0.0%	0.02%	0.35%	1.62%
2022-04-29	49.0	2776	-50.81%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.06%	0.42%	1.69%
2022-04-28	48.75	5645	75.25%	0.12%	0.0%	0.13%	0.43%	1.78%
2022-04-27	48.15	3221	6.85%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.36%	1.72%
2022-04-26	49.4	3014	-25.12%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.39%	1.71%
2022-04-25	48.55	4026	27.47%	0.12%	0.0%	0.09%	0.39%	1.72%
2022-04-22	49.7	3158	19.56%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.37%	1.78%
2022-04-21	49.25	2641	-44.69%	0.12%	0.0%	0.06%	0.35%	1.86%
2022-04-20	49.55	4776	64.37%	0.12%	0.0%	0.11%	0.36%	1.87%
2022-04-19	48.9	2906	-3.85%	0.12%	9.09%	0.06%	0.34%	1.83%
2022-04-18	49.1	3022	31.45%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.07%	0.34%	1.93%
2022-04-15	49.55	2299	-24.61%	0.12%	0.0%	0.05%	0.39%	2.03%
2022-04-14	49.75	3049	-22.74%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.39%	2.06%
2022-04-13	51.0	3947	26.22%	0.12%	9.09%	0.09%	0.43%	2.05%
2022-04-12	50.3	3127	-38.82%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.07%	0.52%	2.02%
2022-04-11	50.5	5112	123.2%	0.12%	0.0%	0.11%	0.54%	1.99%
2022-04-08	50.1	2290	-51.4%	0.12%	0.0%	0.05%	0.52%	1.99%
2022-04-07	49.05	4712	-41.79%	0.12%	0.0%	0.11%	0.62%	2.0%
2022-04-06	51.0	8095	105.41%	0.12%	20.0%	0.18%	0.58%	2.0%
2022-04-01	49.95	3941	-5.42%	0.1%	0.0%	0.09%	0.45%	1.95%
2022-03-31	50.2	4167	-38.16%	0.1%	0.0%	0.09%	0.44%	1.92%
2022-03-30	50.3	6738	138.17%	0.1%	0.0%	0.15%	0.5%	1.88%
2022-03-29	49.9	2829	8.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.06%	0.5%	1.79%
2022-03-28	49.7	2602	-26.01%	0.1%	0.0%	0.06%	0.51%	1.86%
2022-03-25	49.55	3517	-49.33%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.52%	1.99%
2022-03-24	50.0	6942	7.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.15%	0.61%	2.02%
2022-03-23	49.85	6464	94.22%	0.1%	-9.09%	0.14%	0.61%	1.91%
2022-03-22	49.05	3328	9.48%	0.11%	0.0%	0.07%	0.55%	1.87%
2022-03-21	48.8	3040	-58.58%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.07%	0.53%	1.84%
2022-03-18	48.8	7340	0.41%	0.12%	0.0%	0.16%	0.53%	1.82%
2022-03-17	48.15	7310	97.88%	0.12%	0.0%	0.16%	0.41%	1.75%
2022-03-16	46.8	3694	45.63%	0.12%	0.0%	0.08%	0.36%	1.64%
2022-03-15	46.2	2536	-7.08%	0.12%	-7.69%	0.06%	0.33%	1.6%
2022-03-14	46.25	2729	40.53%	0.13%	0.0%	0.06%	0.38%	1.62%
2022-03-11	45.7	1942	-61.2%	0.13%	8.33%	0.04%	0.45%	1.61%
2022-03-10	46.8	5006	92.95%	0.12%	-7.69%	0.11%	0.46%	1.65%
2022-03-09	45.2	2594	-44.39%	0.13%	0.0%	0.06%	0.4%	1.66%
2022-03-08	44.8	4665	-23.31%	0.13%	0.0%	0.1%	0.41%	1.69%
2022-03-07	45.45	6083	164.14%	0.13%	0.0%	0.14%	0.44%	1.76%
2022-03-04	46.9	2303	-5.48%	0.13%	0.0%	0.05%	0.49%	1.87%
2022-03-03	47.5	2436	-20.37%	0.13%	0.0%	0.05%	0.55%	1.97%
2022-03-02	47.65	3060	-47.01%	0.13%	0.0%	0.07%	0.54%	1.98%
2022-03-01	47.55	5774	-32.47%	0.13%	0.0%	0.13%	0.58%	2.02%
2022-02-25	45.8	8551	81.58%	0.13%	-7.14%	0.19%	0.49%	1.99%
2022-02-24	46.25	4709	143.86%	0.14%	0.0%	0.11%	0.35%	1.89%
2022-02-23	47.45	1931	-60.74%	0.14%	0.0%	0.04%	0.33%	1.87%
2022-02-22	47.15	4919	179.97%	0.14%	0.0%	0.11%	0.34%	1.94%
2022-02-21	48.25	1757	-27.46%	0.14%	0.0%	0.04%	0.28%	2.02%
2022-02-18	48.0	2422	-36.89%	0.14%	0.0%	0.05%	0.31%	2.31%
2022-02-17	48.75	3837	59.81%	0.14%	0.0%	0.09%	0.31%	2.62%
2022-02-16	48.1	2401	13.2%	0.14%	7.69%	0.05%	0.31%	2.7%
2022-02-15	48.3	2121	-32.69%	0.13%	0.0%	0.05%	0.37%	2.71%
2022-02-14	49.15	3151	25.89%	0.13%	0.0%	0.07%	0.42%	2.77%
2022-02-11	49.3	2503	-34.87%	0.13%	0.0%	0.06%	0.52%	2.78%
2022-02-10	48.95	3844	-25.54%	0.13%	0.0%	0.09%	0.72%	2.77%
2022-02-09	48.9	5162	30.65%	0.13%	0.0%	0.12%	0.78%	2.71%
2022-02-08	48.8	3951	-50.81%	0.13%	0.0%	0.09%	0.73%	2.63%
2022-02-07	47.95	8032	-27.71%	0.13%	-7.14%	0.18%	0.74%	2.59%
2022-01-26	46.25	11111	69.27%	0.14%	16.67%	0.25%	0.67%	2.48%
2022-01-25	47.15	6564	113.29%	0.12%	0.0%	0.15%	0.51%	2.29%
2022-01-24	47.65	3077	-32.06%	0.12%	0.0%	0.07%	0.45%	2.17%
2022-01-21	47.55	4530	-2.63%	0.12%	0.0%	0.1%	0.49%	2.13%
2022-01-20	48.45	4652	15.23%	0.12%	0.0%	0.1%	0.58%	2.08%
2022-01-19	48.5	4038	6.68%	0.12%	-7.69%	0.09%	0.8%	2.02%
2022-01-18	48.5	3785	-25.6%	0.13%	8.33%	0.08%	1.08%	1.99%
2022-01-17	48.45	5087	-40.74%	0.12%	-7.69%	0.11%	1.16%	1.96%
2022-01-14	48.6	8585	-40.99%	0.13%	-13.33%	0.19%	1.11%	1.92%
2022-01-13	49.65	14549	-11.77%	0.15%	7.14%	0.32%	1.03%	1.78%
2022-01-12	50.0	16491	123.69%	0.14%	7.69%	0.37%	0.78%	1.52%
2022-01-11	48.7	7372	178.02%	0.13%	44.44%	0.16%	0.46%	1.22%
2022-01-10	48.25	2651	-48.19%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.33%	1.11%
2022-01-07	48.2	5117	53.76%	0.09%	0.0%	0.11%	0.3%	1.09%
2022-01-06	47.85	3328	53.08%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.24%	1.02%
2022-01-05	47.55	2174	62.34%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.23%	1.03%
2022-01-04	47.5	1339	-6.17%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.24%	1.07%
2022-01-03	47.15	1427	-39.43%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.23%	1.09%
2021-12-30	47.25	2356	-23.03%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.23%	1.11%
2021-12-29	47.55	3061	16.03%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.23%	1.13%
2021-12-28	47.3	2638	154.45%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.21%	1.12%
2021-12-27	47.4	1036	-9.61%	0.09%	0.0%	0.02%	0.2%	1.28%
2021-12-24	47.4	1147	-55.09%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.24%	1.34%
2021-12-23	47.4	2554	33.87%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.29%	1.43%
2021-12-22	47.0	1908	-21.0%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.28%	1.42%
2021-12-21	46.85	2415	-11.33%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.3%	1.46%
2021-12-20	46.8	2724	-15.32%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.32%	1.47%
2021-12-17	47.35	3217	34.94%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.31%	1.48%
2021-12-16	47.0	2384	-17.83%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.28%	1.47%
2021-12-15	46.85	2901	-5.04%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.27%	1.59%
2021-12-14	47.0	3055	31.12%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.28%	1.58%
2021-12-13	47.1	2330	33.88%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.31%	1.57%
2021-12-10	47.05	1740	-15.63%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.31%	1.58%
2021-12-09	47.7	2063	-42.28%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.32%	1.78%
2021-12-08	47.8	3575	-14.36%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.34%	1.79%
2021-12-07	47.5	4174	79.76%	0.09%	0.0%	0.09%	0.32%	1.74%
2021-12-06	46.8	2322	5.71%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.45%	1.68%
2021-12-03	46.95	2196	-27.92%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.48%	1.67%
2021-12-02	47.0	3047	15.48%	0.09%	0.0%	0.07%	0.54%	1.65%
2021-12-01	46.55	2639	-73.36%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.53%	1.67%
2021-11-30	46.35	9907	161.63%	0.09%	0.0%	0.22%	0.55%	1.65%
2021-11-29	45.75	3786	-23.33%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.39%	1.46%
2021-11-26	45.75	4938	106.16%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.11%	0.38%	1.41%
2021-11-25	47.2	2395	-32.19%	0.1%	0.0%	0.05%	0.33%	1.35%
2021-11-24	47.55	3532	18.47%	0.1%	11.11%	0.08%	0.45%	1.33%
2021-11-23	46.95	2981	-6.18%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.07%	0.42%	1.29%
2021-11-22	47.0	3178	24.04%	0.1%	11.11%	0.07%	0.42%	1.31%
2021-11-19	46.75	2562	-68.14%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.06%	0.41%	1.27%
2021-11-18	46.7	8044	265.47%	0.1%	11.11%	0.18%	0.59%	1.26%
2021-11-17	45.6	2201	-22.91%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.47%	1.18%
2021-11-16	45.9	2855	3.99%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.45%	1.17%
2021-11-15	45.6	2745	-73.81%	0.09%	N/A	0.06%	0.42%	1.12%
2021-11-13	44.3	10483	298.69%	N/A	N/A	0.23%	0.39%	1.16%
2021-11-12	45.2	2629	107.5%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.19%	0.97%
2021-11-11	44.9	1267	-14.73%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.23%	0.96%
2021-11-10	44.7	1486	-17.99%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.23%	0.97%
2021-11-09	44.95	1812	22.31%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.23%	0.99%
2021-11-08	44.55	1481	-63.48%	0.09%	N/A	0.03%	0.23%	0.98%
2021-11-06	41.85	4056	155.98%	N/A	N/A	0.09%	0.25%	0.98%
2021-11-05	44.6	1584	29.41%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.19%	1.0%
2021-11-04	44.15	1224	-35.11%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.19%	1.0%
2021-11-03	44.0	1887	-15.59%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.25%	1.05%
2021-11-02	44.4	2235	49.24%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.23%	1.08%
2021-11-01	44.3	1497	-12.75%	0.09%	N/A	0.03%	0.24%	1.06%
2021-10-30	44.45	1716	-54.01%	N/A	N/A	0.04%	0.3%	1.08%
2021-10-29	44.0	3733	212.67%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.3%	1.13%
2021-10-28	44.4	1194	-52.37%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.23%	1.13%
2021-10-27	44.9	2506	-42.29%	0.09%	0.0%	0.06%	0.3%	1.19%
2021-10-26	44.9	4343	168.3%	0.09%	0.0%	0.1%	0.3%	1.22%
2021-10-25	44.6	1618	115.82%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.25%	1.2%
2021-10-22	44.4	750	-82.69%	0.09%	0.0%	0.02%	0.25%	1.2%
2021-10-21	44.8	4333	97.15%	0.09%	0.0%	0.1%	0.29%	1.24%
2021-10-20	44.95	2198	0.75%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.22%	1.28%
2021-10-19	44.55	2181	27.08%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.2%	1.37%
2021-10-18	44.45	1716	-28.2%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.26%	1.45%
2021-10-15	44.45	2391	89.99%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.26%	1.52%
2021-10-14	43.7	1258	-2.33%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.28%	1.53%
2021-10-13	43.9	1288	-73.97%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.33%	1.52%
2021-10-12	43.8	4951	211.23%	0.09%	0.0%	0.11%	0.33%	1.56%
2021-10-08	43.5	1590	-53.9%	0.09%	0.0%	0.04%	0.27%	1.54%
2021-10-07	44.2	3450	-1.32%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.33%	1.58%
2021-10-06	43.3	3497	147.25%	0.09%	0.0%	0.08%	0.33%	1.58%
2021-10-05	43.1	1414	-31.3%	0.09%	0.0%	0.03%	0.35%	1.61%
2021-10-04	43.5	2058	-52.7%	0.09%	0.0%	0.05%	0.39%	1.65%
2021-10-01	43.3	4352	25.1%	0.09%	0.0%	0.1%	0.42%	1.66%
2021-09-30	44.4	3479	-16.54%	0.09%	-10.0%	0.08%	0.37%	1.68%
2021-09-29	44.05	4168	18.86%	0.1%	0.0%	0.09%	0.35%	1.78%
2021-09-28	44.45	3507	2.33%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.39%	1.92%
2021-09-27	44.8	3427	83.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.45%	2.18%
2021-09-24	44.6	1865	-27.36%	0.1%	0.0%	0.04%	0.5%	2.23%
2021-09-23	44.55	2568	-57.61%	0.1%	0.0%	0.06%	0.57%	2.23%
2021-09-22	43.6	6059	-3.95%	0.1%	0.0%	0.14%	0.57%	2.22%
2021-09-17	45.35	6309	16.17%	0.1%	0.0%	0.14%	0.46%	2.15%
2021-09-16	46.0	5430	7.75%	0.1%	0.0%	0.12%	0.39%	2.07%
2021-09-15	45.75	5040	90.53%	0.1%	0.0%	0.11%	0.35%	2.05%
2021-09-14	45.65	2645	131.02%	0.1%	0.0%	0.06%	0.32%	1.98%
2021-09-13	45.55	1145	-62.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.03%	0.34%	2.02%
2021-09-10	45.75	3086	-21.92%	0.1%	0.0%	0.07%	0.42%	2.04%
2021-09-09	45.75	3952	12.85%	0.1%	0.0%	0.09%	0.42%	2.02%
2021-09-08	45.6	3502	0.62%	0.1%	0.0%	0.08%	0.39%	1.99%
2021-09-07	45.2	3481	-23.95%	0.1%	-9.09%	0.08%	0.42%	1.98%
2021-09-06	45.05	4577	39.73%	0.11%	0.0%	0.1%	0.52%	1.93%
2021-09-03	44.7	3275	24.94%	0.11%	-8.33%	0.07%	0.66%	1.89%
2021-09-02	43.75	2621	-48.21%	0.12%	-7.69%	0.06%	0.93%	1.9%
2021-09-01	44.65	5062	N/A	0.13%	N/A	0.11%	0.99%	1.9%

漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率大幅減少

每月營收

年/月	營收(億)	月增率(%)	去年同期年增率(%)	累計營收年增率(%)
2022/7	47.31	34.66	25.09	7.93
2022/6	35.13	5.04	4.93	4.57
2022/5	33.45	-0.86	15.12	4.5
2022/4	33.74	-14.78	14.31	2.15
2022/3	39.59	30.27	4.37	-1.37
2022/2	30.39	0.42	3.06	-4.8
2022/1	30.26	3.15	-11.57	-11.57
2021/12	29.33	0.85	-2.87	1.1
2021/11	29.08	-2.83	-1.46	1.45
2021/10	29.93	-1.8	8.67	1.72
2021/9	30.49	-1.86	3.88	1.06
2021/8	31.06	-17.86	-3.66	0.74
2021/7	37.82	12.96	-4.28	1.37
2021/6	33.48	15.23	11.98	2.55
2021/5	29.05	-1.56	-2.39	0.78
2021/4	29.51	-22.19	-3.31	1.51
2021/3	37.93	28.64	24.83	3.0
2021/2	29.49	-13.83	-13.19	-6.7
2021/1	34.22	13.3	-0.28	-0.28
2020/12	30.2	2.32	-1.47	-7.68
2020/11	29.52	7.15	-7.25	-8.18
2020/10	27.55	-6.13	-19.04	-8.27
2020/9	29.35	-8.99	-5.79	-7.09
2020/8	32.25	-18.38	-16.11	-7.24
2020/7	39.51	32.16	6.61	-5.83
2020/6	29.9	0.44	-24.14	-8.07
2020/5	29.76	-2.49	-18.96	-4.26
2020/4	30.53	0.45	-10.43	-0.09
2020/3	30.39	-10.54	-7.4	3.6
2020/2	33.97	-1.01	12.85	9.39
2020/1	34.32	11.95	6.16	6.16
2019/12	30.66	-3.67	-14.41	10.8
2019/11	31.83	-6.46	15.93	13.52
2019/10	34.03	9.23	7.65	13.3
2019/9	31.15	-18.97	3.48	13.96
2019/8	38.44	3.72	21.03	15.25
2019/7	37.06	-5.95	13.86	14.38
2019/6	39.41	7.3	7.82	14.48
2019/5	36.73	7.77	14.05	16.18
2019/4	34.08	3.85	24.13	16.8
2019/3	32.82	9.02	14.34	14.38
2019/2	30.1	-6.88	18.78	14.4
2019/1	32.33	-9.75	10.61	10.61
2018/12	35.82	30.48	26.0	6.57
2018/11	27.45	-13.14	-5.08	4.83
2018/10	31.61	5.0	8.66	5.82
2018/9	30.1	-5.22	9.59	5.51
2018/8	31.76	-2.41	4.91	5.02
2018/7	32.55	-10.95	19.27	5.04
2018/6	36.55	13.5	0.53	2.81

近1年股價

近1年營收年增率

由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況

年/月	營收	年/月	營收	年/月	營收
2021/1	34.22	2020/1	34.32	2019/1	32.33
2021/2	29.49	2020/2	33.97	2019/2	30.1
2021/3	37.93	2020/3	30.39	2019/3	32.82
2021/4	29.51	2020/4	30.53	2019/4	34.08
2021/5	29.05	2020/5	29.76	2019/5	36.73
2021/6	33.48	2020/6	29.9	2019/6	39.41
2021/7	37.82	2020/7	39.51	2019/7	37.06
2021/8	31.06	2020/8	32.25	2019/8	38.44
2021/9	30.49	2020/9	29.35	2019/9	31.15
2021/10	29.93	2020/10	27.55	2019/10	34.03
2021/11	29.08	2020/11	29.52	2019/11	31.83
2021/12	29.33	2020/12	30.2	2019/12	30.66

僅顯示部份重要科目, 完整財報可參考這裡

避開自由現金流量近3年都小於0的公司
營運現金流量要大於稅後淨利，除非受到應收帳款和存貨影響
營運現金流量不應該都是流出
其它調整項如果佔太大比例可能有問題
資本支出關係到公司未來的成長性，但不當的資本支出可能會造成該產業的產能過剩

現金流量-近10年

	營運現金流量	其他營業調整項	自由現金流量	稅後淨利	其他投資調整項	折舊	攤提
2021	-66.95	-3.25	-113.58	142.56	-33.2	14.45	2.15
2020	-36.14	-3.51	-63.29	134.63	-14.17	15.0	2.13
2019	314.55	2.38	306.56	146.61	-0.3	15.9	2.14
2018	-293.38	-3.46	-323.15	137.12	-6.73	6.11	2.15
2017	264.1	6.47	267.71	123.85	5.42	6.61	2.61
2016	-283.11	3.36	-298.06	117.48	-5.82	6.46	2.74
2015	-39.75	-0.77	-85.53	118.98	-0.31	5.6	2.58
2014	137.09	7.46	124.37	109.05	-2.29	4.58	2.8
2013	-762.45	5.61	-768.08	101.44	9.76	4.76	2.52
2012	780.08	11.65	740.42	95.07	-10.54	3.8	1.83

現金流量-近20季

	營運現金流量	其他營業調整項	自由現金流量	稅後淨利	資本支出	其他投資調整項	資本支出佔股本(%)	折舊	攤提

僅顯示部份重要科目, 完整財報可參考這裡

現金是否充足, 是否沒有債務壓力
應收帳款或存貨是否突然大幅增加, 留意應收帳款超過營收
如果未分配盈餘為負, 就算當年有獲利也沒法配息
營收和獲利增加的速度要大於存貨和應收帳款的速度; 營收衰退, 應收帳款正常也要跟著減少
最容易被操弄的資產是應收帳款, 存貨和長期投資
如果有資金貸予他人要注意
圖表中的值是加一取對數, 目的是為了看趨勢

資產負債表-近20季

	現金及約當現金	資金貸予他人	營收	淨利	應收帳款及票據	應收帳款佔營收比(%)	存貨	長期投資	長期負債	一年內到期長期負債	商譽及無形資產	股本	法定盈餘公積	特別盈餘公積	未分配盈餘	保留盈餘

資產負債表-近10年

	現金及約當現金	淨利	長期投資	股本	法定盈餘公積	特別盈餘公積	未分配盈餘	保留盈餘
2021	703.82	142.56	79.03	448.16	602.25	76.69	275.86	954.8
2020	805.72	134.63	76.86	448.16	563.45	76.69	249.13	889.27
2019	576.68	146.61	75.02	448.16	519.47	76.69	255.66	851.82
2018	604.96	137.12	74.0	410.16	478.33	76.01	234.99	789.33
2017	746.83	123.85	67.65	407.91	441.17	75.39	210.67	727.23
2016	667.76	117.48	71.83	407.91	405.93	74.8	184.65	665.39
2015	969.24	118.98	55.87	399.91	370.24	74.8	171.72	616.75
2014	645.79	109.05	11.77	380.87	337.51	74.8	162.02	574.33
2013	580.55	101.44	13.35	371.58	307.08	74.8	149.14	531.02
2012	814.21	95.07	14.24	371.58	278.5	62.23	144.73	485.46

僅顯示部份重要科目, 完整財報可參考這裡

股本如果持續膨脹, 就會影響到EPS, 接著就會影響股價
匯回海外所得, 有可能使得所得稅率提高

損益表-近20季

	營收	利息收入	利息支出(不含租賃負債)	利息支出－租賃負債	租金收入	股利收入	其他收入	處分不動產、廠房及設備	處分投資	外幣兌換	營業外收入及支出	稅前淨利	所得稅費用	所得稅率 (%)	每股盈餘	加權平均股數

損益表-近10年

	利息收入	稅前淨利	所得稅費用	所得稅率 (%)	每股盈餘	加權平均股數
2021	355.19	221.39	34.69	15.67	3.19	4470
2020	419.87	215.54	37.39	17.35	3.01	4470
2019	509.15	246.31	49.06	19.92	3.50	4188
2018	420.33	229.37	45.75	19.95	3.37	4072
2017	345.24	212.09	45.9	21.64	3.04	4068
2016	317.75	192.19	41.07	21.37	2.89	4068
2015	326.05	188.73	36.77	19.48	2.98	3988
2014	316.0	176.48	35.98	20.39	2.87	3798
2013	274.27	161.72	31.3	19.35	2.74	3705
2012	251.01	149.84	28.1	18.75	2.57	3705

成長能力-近20季

	稅後淨利(億)	EPS	去年同期稅後淨利成長率(%)	兩季平均(YOY)稅後淨利成長率(%)	兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)	去年同期EPS成長率(%)	較上季稅後淨利成長率(%)	較上季EPS成長率(%)
22Q2	0	0.00	-100.00	-51.09	-51.20	-100.00	-100.00	-100.00
22Q1	36.41	0.81	-2.18	2.33	2.36	-2.41	8.46	8.00
21Q4	33.57	0.75	6.84	4.08	4.21	7.14	-6.62	-6.25
21Q3	35.95	0.80	1.32	7.11	6.97	1.27	0.36	0.00
21Q2	35.82	0.80	12.89	8.14	7.58	12.68	-3.76	-3.61
21Q1	37.22	0.83	3.39	-1.43	-5.01	2.47	18.46	18.57
20Q4	31.42	0.70	-6.26	-5.50	-12.84	-12.50	-11.44	-11.39
20Q3	35.48	0.79	-4.75	-12.70	-20.37	-13.19	11.82	11.27
20Q2	31.73	0.71	-20.64	-10.12	-17.75	-27.55	-11.86	-12.35
20Q1	36.0	0.81	0.39	-1.83	-7.46	-7.95	7.40	1.25
19Q4	33.52	0.80	-4.06	0.17	-1.79	-6.98	-10.01	-12.09
19Q3	37.25	0.91	4.40	6.07	5.55	3.41	-6.83	-7.14
19Q2	39.98	0.98	7.73	14.87	14.96	7.69	11.49	11.36
19Q1	35.86	0.88	22.01	18.19	18.45	22.22	2.63	2.33
18Q4	34.94	0.86	14.37	7.18	7.33	14.67	-2.07	-2.27
18Q3	35.68	0.88	0.00	-	-	0.00	-3.85	-3.30
18Q2	37.11	0.91	-	-	-	-	26.27	26.39
18Q1	29.39	0.72	-	-	-	-	-3.80	-4.00
17Q4	30.55	0.75	-	-	-	-	0.00	0.00

成長能力-近10年

	稅後淨利(億)	EPS	稅後淨利成長率(%)	EPS成長率(%)
2021	142.56	3.19	5.89	5.98
2020	134.63	3.01	-8.17	-14.00
2019	146.61	3.50	6.92	3.86
2018	137.12	3.37	10.71	10.86
2017	123.85	3.04	5.42	5.19
2016	117.48	2.89	-1.26	-3.02
2015	118.98	2.98	9.11	3.83
2014	109.05	2.87	7.50	4.74
2013	101.44	2.74	6.70	N/A
2012	95.07	0.00	N/A	N/A

資本適足率,放款覆蓋率,資本報酬率,股東權益報酬率-近10年

	資本適足率	放款覆蓋率	資產報酬率	股東權益報酬率

金融負債: 需要支付利息, 會造成財務負擔
營業活動負債: 因營業活動而產生, 如應付帳款, 應付票據, 合約負債等, 通常不需要支付利息. 此類型負債上升, 通常代表業績增加, 議價能力變好
償債能力良好的公司 - 利息保障倍數大於5倍和長期銀行借款占稅後淨利比小於2
要注意負債比增加的原因

股息配發率

	EPS	現金股利	股票股利	現金配發率	股票配發率	全部配發率
2021	3.19	1.80	0.00	56.43	0.00	56.43
2020	3.01	1.70	0.00	56.48	0.00	56.48
2019	3.50	2.05	0.00	58.57	0.00	58.57
2018	3.37	2.00	0.00	59.35	0.00	59.35
2017	3.04	1.80	0.00	59.21	0.00	59.21
2016	2.89	1.50	0.00	51.90	0.00	51.90
2015	2.98	1.50	0.20	50.34	6.71	57.05
2014	2.87	1.50	0.50	52.26	17.42	69.69

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