玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)310.00.0-0.36-162.07-44.0-0.19-182.6100.58-38.3-66.280.91-28.35-15.7421.04-4.8415.1-0.07-200.00-0.11-161.11-37.5-12.48-187.83-72.85-12.48-187.83-72.85-12.96-56.67-69.43
23Q3 (19)310.00.00.5848.72-17.140.2343.7521.050.94154.05-52.281.272.42-30.622.112.4159.990.0716.6716.670.1850.0-18.1814.2136.517.9314.2145.317.939.701049.3621.88
23Q2 (18)310.00.00.392050.0-48.00.160-72.410.371950.0-70.871.2416.98-36.7321.590.2824.80.060-64.710.121300.0-50.010.411752.38-13.619.781652.38-18.847.571071.000.00
23Q1 (17)310.00.0-0.0292.0-103.920.000-100.0-0.02-101.16-103.921.06-1.85-48.5421.5317.7855.4500-100.0-0.0187.5-106.25-0.6391.27-108.08-0.6391.27-108.08-21.41-21.86-50.00
22Q4 (16)310.00.0-0.25-135.7100.00-100.0100.01.72-12.69760.01.08-40.98-38.6418.2832.2773.430-100.0100.0-0.08-136.360-7.22-159.92-10214.29-7.22-159.92-10214.29-23.80-71.19-83.62
22Q3 (15)310.00.00.70-6.67975.00.19-67.24733.331.9755.12885.01.83-6.6322.8213.82-20.1237.240.06-64.71400.00.22-8.331200.012.050.0817.2612.050.0817.26-5.7420.20-9.26
22Q2 (14)310.00.00.7547.061600.00.5848.72866.671.27149.02353.571.96-4.8547.3717.3024.9151.750.1741.67750.00.2450.01300.012.0554.491104.1712.0554.491104.176.1023.53724.36
22Q1 (13)310.00.00.51054.550.391400.069.570.51155.054.552.0617.0511.9613.8531.427.410.121300.050.00.16060.07.8011242.8638.37.8011242.8638.317.5950.00700.00
21Q4 (12)310.00.00.00100.0100.0-0.030.094.230.200.0122.471.7618.1285.2610.544.67498.86-0.0150.093.750100.0100.0-0.0795.8399.63-0.0795.8399.6315.0720.00-75.00
21Q3 (11)310.00.0-0.08-60.071.43-0.03-150.076.920.20-28.57162.51.4912.0327.3510.07-11.6727.47-0.02-200.033.33-0.020.077.78-1.68-40.077.78-1.68-40.077.78-7.84-87.58-111.95
21Q2 (10)310.00.0-0.05-115.15-600.00.06-73.9100.28-15.15800.01.33-27.7217.711.404.8811.330.02-75.00-0.02-120.00-1.20-121.28-392.68-1.20-121.28-392.6832.9821.3735.16
21Q1 (9)310.00.00.33157.89650.00.23144.23866.670.33137.08650.01.8493.6847.210.87517.614.120.08150.0900.00.1155.56600.05.64130.13508.75.64130.13508.737.4427.16-77.89
20Q4 (8)310.00.0-0.57-103.57-214.0-0.52-300.0-194.55-0.89-178.13-162.680.95-18.8-44.771.76-77.72-90.29-0.16-433.33-194.12-0.18-100.0-212.5-18.72-147.62-306.85-18.72-147.62-306.85-7.63-1501.79-150.00
20Q3 (7)310.00.0-0.28-2900.0-182.35-0.130-137.14-0.32-700.0-134.781.173.54-44.297.90-22.85-22.7-0.030-127.27-0.090-181.82-7.56-1943.9-247.08-7.56-1943.9-247.08-3.03-1391.6650.00
20Q2 (6)310.00.00.01116.67-95.00.00100.0-100.0-0.0433.33-106.91.13-9.6-11.0210.24-1.92-9.140100.0-100.00100.0-100.00.41129.71-91.750.41129.71-91.75-18.462.34-2.73
20Q1 (5)310.00.0-0.06-112.0-116.22-0.03-105.45-150.0-0.06-104.23-116.221.25-27.3360.2610.44-42.42-21.62-0.01-105.88-150.0-0.02-112.5-116.67-1.38-115.25-109.16-1.38-115.25-109.16--0.00
19Q4 (4)310.00.00.5047.060.00.5557.140.01.4254.350.01.72-18.10.018.1377.40.00.1754.550.00.1645.450.09.0576.070.09.0576.070.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)310.00.00.3470.00.00.35169.230.00.9258.620.02.165.350.010.22-9.320.00.11175.00.00.1183.330.05.143.420.05.143.420.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)310.00.00.20-45.950.00.13116.670.00.5856.760.01.2762.820.011.27-15.390.00.04100.00.00.06-50.00.04.97-67.00.04.97-67.00.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)310.00.00.370.00.00.060.00.00.370.00.00.780.00.013.320.00.00.020.00.00.120.00.015.060.00.015.060.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.26-21.9929.190.93-12.470.93N/A-
2024/20.33-5.38347.720.68-22.011.03N/A受上月延船影響,本月陸續出貨,使本月營收較去年同期增加
2024/10.35-1.13-56.210.35-56.210.86N/A受延船影響,部分出貨遞延至下個月,造成本月及累計營收較去年同期減少
2023/120.35116.5348.664.48-35.330.910.59-
2023/110.16-58.9616.714.13-38.290.990.54-
2023/100.4-9.44-43.633.97-39.461.020.53-
2023/90.44135.6-11.173.57-38.961.270.39-
2023/80.19-71.39-68.913.14-41.51.30.38受整體經濟不景氣因素影響導致客戶下單量減少,本期出貨金額較去年同期減少。
2023/70.6538.26-13.12.95-38.081.280.38-
2023/60.47179.14-35.062.3-42.71.240.46-
2023/50.17-72.17-57.541.83-44.380.970.59受客戶持續積極庫存調整影響,出貨量減少
2023/40.6204.05-28.361.67-42.580.870.65-
2023/30.2170.32-73.381.06-48.391.060.53受客戶持續積極庫存調整影響,出貨量減少
2023/20.07-90.74-89.440.87-34.261.10.51受客戶持續積極庫存調整影響,出貨量減少
2023/10.79235.7127.260.7927.261.170.48-
2022/120.2469.99-47.526.937.981.080.8-
2022/110.14-80.18-75.956.6912.161.330.65因部分訂單提前於上月出貨之故
2022/100.742.7-4.226.5521.611.790.48-
2022/90.49-17.540.095.8525.671.830.34-
2022/80.6-20.04-7.745.3628.682.060.31-
2022/70.743.32113.494.7635.361.860.34主因客戶訂單、需求成長所致
2022/60.7282.49206.264.0226.771.960.43主因客戶訂單、需求成長所致。
2022/50.4-53.0519.063.312.371.980.42-
2022/40.8412.9910.842.911.522.280.37-
2022/30.747.21144.322.0611.82.060.43因接單出貨量增加,致使本月營收較去年同期成長
2022/20.6911.526.331.32-14.431.770.5-
2022/10.6238.43-29.730.62-29.731.650.53-
2021/120.45-22.144.36.4142.461.760.56-
2021/110.58-21.07164.035.9642.321.80.54因去年同期受疫情影響造成出貨延遲;本年因疫情趨緩,出貨逐漸穩定下,較去年同期營收成長
2021/100.7349.1574.245.3935.621.870.52因遞延出貨及耶誕假期商品陸續交貨,致使本月營收增加
2021/90.49-24.03.314.6631.061.490.53-
2021/80.6585.0190.574.1735.341.230.64因全球性缺櫃、缺船、塞港問題,部分延遲交期訂單陸續出貨,致本期營收較去年同期成長
2021/70.3548.23-2.763.5228.510.920.86-
2021/60.24-29.05-18.823.1733.221.330.62-
2021/50.33-56.29-6.912.9440.441.40.59-
2021/40.76149.0556.582.650.181.720.48因進入後疫情時期,業績可望成長
2021/30.3-53.33-16.21.8447.71.840.43-
2021/20.65-26.3130.731.5473.971.850.43因船期延誤,部分出貨延至本年初;故累計營收較去年同期成長
2021/10.89184.31130.030.89130.031.420.56因船期延誤,部分出貨延至本月;故較去年同期大幅成長。
2020/120.3142.52-61.14.5-23.260.951.43受疫情影響接單量減少,故本月出貨量較去年同期下降
2020/110.22-47.91-61.044.19-17.281.111.22受疫情影響接單量減少,本月出貨量較去年同期下降。
2020/100.42-11.5618.013.97-11.821.231.1-
2020/90.4740.18-35.993.55-14.381.170.72-
2020/80.34-5.59-44.163.08-9.680.990.85-
2020/70.3623.74-52.432.74-2.21.010.84因受疫情影響,部分訂單交期延後致使本月營收下降
2020/60.29-18.64-22.752.3816.31.130.86-
2020/50.36-26.47-12.412.0925.081.20.8-
2020/40.4833.27-0.21.7337.151.350.72-
2020/30.36-27.1925.981.2560.481.250.62係因接單量及出貨量增加,致使營收較去年同期成長
2020/20.529.66273.290.8880.831.690.46因元月份適逢農曆假期,部分商品延遲至2月份出貨
2020/10.39-51.928.380.398.381.750.45-
2019/120.842.73102.735.87-2.811.720.47因本年度新開發客戶新一季訂單於12月份大量出貨,致使營收增加
2019/110.5657.8267.495.07-10.21.660.48因本年度新開發之客戶於11月起陸續出貨,致使本月營收增加
2019/100.36-52.04-33.854.51-15.111.70.47-
2019/90.7422.2933.694.15-13.02.10.4-
2019/80.61-19.57-8.553.41-19.141.740.49-
2019/70.75100.9617.252.8-21.121.540.55-
2019/60.38-7.76-23.562.05-29.621.270.43-
2019/50.41-16.239.551.67-30.850.0N/A-
2019/40.4968.26-29.411.26-38.190.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)310.00.58-66.280.19-83.194.48-35.3521.6139.330.07-80.00.19-64.810.18-66.67
2022 (9)310.01.72760.01.13391.36.938.1115.5144.950.35337.50.54800.00.54800.0
2021 (8)310.00.2000.2306.4142.4410.7035.440.0800.0600.060
2020 (7)310.0-0.890-0.6504.5-23.347.90-40.02-0.20-0.280-0.280
2019 (6)3124.01.4229.091.0637.665.87-2.8113.1727.620.3337.50.4457.140.4457.14
2018 (5)2513.641.1015.790.7718.466.0430.7410.32-8.510.2420.00.2833.330.2833.33
2017 (4)2215.790.9500.6504.62524.3211.28-59.510.200.2100.210
2016 (3)190.0-0.400-0.1900.74-2.6327.86-23.59-0.060-0.080-0.080
2015 (2)19-70.310.3600.0300.764.1136.46320.050.0100.0700.070
2014 (1)648.47-0.230-0.5800.7343.148.680-0.170-0.150-0.150

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