玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)310.00.00.08124.24110.390.13125.0117.57-1.215.47-245.710.75-22.68-39.0233.12-10.8241.42-0.23-21.0520.690.02120.0108.33-33.11-146.17-39.293.26131.41116.8-9.1975.4562.50
23Q3 (19)310.00.0-0.3326.67-232.0-0.520.0-300.0-1.28-33.33-404.760.974.3-46.1137.1411.1631.14-0.19-11.760-0.128.57-225.0-13.4513.11-314.86-10.3831.58-352.55-3.5619.210.00
23Q2 (18)310.00.0-0.4511.76-2350.0-0.520.0-766.67-0.96-88.24-633.330.93-11.43-51.5633.412.362.74-0.17-21.430-0.1412.5-1500.0-15.48-17.36-1358.54-15.17-1.88-25383.33-13.0322.7714.87
23Q1 (17)310.00.0-0.5133.77-440.0-0.5229.73-1633.33-0.51-45.71-440.01.05-14.63-45.3132.6439.374.92-0.1451.72-566.67-0.1633.33-420.0-13.1944.51-389.89-14.8923.29-767.71-23.15-187.12-219.75
22Q4 (16)310.00.0-0.77-408.0-352.94-0.74-469.23-640.0-0.35-183.33-245.831.23-31.67-46.5223.42-17.3-20.85-0.290-1350.0-0.24-400.0-380.0-23.77-479.71-1227.93-19.41-572.26-698.77-18.96371.00-292.95
22Q3 (15)310.00.00.251150.0-59.68-0.13-116.67-122.410.42133.332.441.8-6.25-30.528.32-12.92-12.4800-100.00.08700.0-57.896.26408.94-48.094.116750.0-44.68-3.12531.66-108.34
22Q2 (14)310.00.00.02-86.67-60.0-0.06-100.0-160.00.1820.0185.711.920.0-3.5232.524.534.570-100.0-100.00.01-80.00.01.23-72.97-59.00.06-97.31-86.96-8.2650.79-15.00
22Q1 (13)310.00.00.15188.24157.69-0.0370.089.660.15-37.5157.691.92-16.5216.3631.115.144.780.03250.0137.50.05200.0162.54.55354.19205.082.23191.77146.07-13.8630.41-23.62
21Q4 (12)310.00.0-0.17-127.42-173.91-0.10-117.24-138.460.24-41.46-53.852.3-11.2-0.8629.59-8.56-4.89-0.02-106.45-113.33-0.05-126.32-171.43-1.79-114.84-130.44-2.43-132.71-169.639.47506.29181.38
21Q3 (11)310.00.00.621140.012.730.58480.081.250.41295.2441.382.5930.158.3732.364.0514.630.31287.582.350.191800.011.7612.06302.019.527.431515.221.0925.38629.62307.24
21Q2 (10)310.06.90.05119.23-44.440.10134.48233.33-0.2119.2316.01.9920.6111.1731.104.7511.830.08200.000.01112.5-66.673.00169.28147.930.46109.5-70.51-4.13-46.90-38.53
21Q1 (9)310.0-3.12-0.26-213.0421.21-0.29-211.5425.64-0.26-150.021.211.65-28.889.2729.69-4.56-4.84-0.08-153.33-33.33-0.08-214.2927.27-4.33-173.64-20.95-4.84-238.6830.96-15.90-135.61-115.14
20Q4 (8)310.0-3.120.23-58.18138.330.26-18.75161.90.5279.31143.332.32-2.9347.7731.1110.211.110.15-11.76215.380.07-58.82136.845.88-41.72149.043.49-52.52128.4715.30226.47473.96
20Q3 (7)316.9-3.120.55511.11219.570.32966.67166.670.29216.0148.332.3933.5281.0628.231.51-4.240.170206.250.17466.67221.4310.09733.88184.867.35371.15169.2126.03319.19537.18
20Q2 (6)29-9.38-9.380.09127.27160.00.03107.69123.08-0.2524.24-78.571.7918.549.8227.81-10.87-6.680100.0100.00.03127.27160.01.21133.8132.011.56122.25155.327.3686.1357.41
20Q1 (5)320.00.0-0.3345.0-3400.0-0.397.14-490.0-0.3372.5-3400.01.51-3.82-13.7131.2011.43-8.75-0.0653.85-175.0-0.1142.110-3.5870.14-219.33-7.0142.82-731.53--0.00
19Q4 (4)320.00.0-0.60-30.430.0-0.4212.50.0-1.20-100.00.01.5718.940.028.00-5.020.0-0.1318.750.0-0.19-35.710.0-11.99-0.840.0-12.26-15.440.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)320.00.0-0.46-206.670.0-0.48-269.230.0-0.60-328.570.01.32-19.020.029.48-1.070.0-0.16-220.00.0-0.14-180.00.0-11.89-214.550.0-10.62-276.60.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)320.00.0-0.15-1600.00.0-0.13-230.00.0-0.14-1500.00.01.63-6.860.029.80-12.840.0-0.05-162.50.0-0.0500.0-3.78-226.00.0-2.82-354.050.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)320.00.00.010.00.00.100.00.00.010.00.01.750.00.034.190.00.00.080.00.000.00.03.000.00.01.110.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.155.85-44.20.5-51.890.5N/A終端客戶需求減緩
2024/20.14-32.12-66.170.35-54.570.57N/A終端客戶需求減緩
2024/10.21-5.31-40.790.21-40.790.65N/A-
2023/120.22-0.13-26.443.7-46.040.752.25-
2023/110.22-28.13-54.133.48-46.940.911.86歐洲客戶依銷售狀況調整訂單
2023/100.31-18.16-30.13.26-46.371.011.67-
2023/90.3815.3-39.352.95-47.650.971.85-
2023/80.3321.1-48.732.57-48.680.892.01-
2023/70.27-9.13-49.732.25-48.670.892.03-
2023/60.3-6.99-48.561.98-48.520.932.07-
2023/50.321.25-49.811.68-48.510.912.13-
2023/40.3216.88-55.461.36-48.191.011.92客戶庫存調整,本月出貨減緩
2023/30.27-35.82-62.71.05-45.511.052.1客戶庫存調整,本月出貨減緩
2023/20.4218.7912.90.78-35.091.082.04-
2023/10.3517.63-56.870.35-56.871.141.92客戶庫存去化,本期出貨需求減緩
2022/120.3-37.73-65.286.87-19.571.231.82歐洲業績受烏俄戰爭影響,既有訂單遞延出貨。
2022/110.489.52-38.516.56-14.391.551.44-
2022/100.44-28.99-31.566.08-11.641.71.31-
2022/90.62-2.52-38.765.64-9.581.81.32-
2022/80.6418.74-25.755.02-3.91.751.35-
2022/70.54-7.03-25.254.380.391.751.35-
2022/60.58-9.25-7.483.845.461.921.27-
2022/50.64-10.12-16.113.268.132.071.18-
2022/40.71-2.1116.812.6316.291.811.36-
2022/30.7294.2643.651.9216.11.921.27-
2022/20.37-54.62-26.231.194.02.061.18-
2022/10.82-5.2927.770.8227.772.480.98-
2021/120.8710.2749.548.546.632.31.0-
2021/110.7921.9-10.437.673.272.450.94-
2021/100.65-36.46-25.146.885.112.520.92-
2021/91.0218.1622.386.249.72.590.8-
2021/80.8619.544.065.227.542.20.94-
2021/70.7215.07-1.764.368.252.10.99-
2021/60.62-17.72-19.843.6410.471.991.03-
2021/50.7625.1644.93.0219.861.871.1-
2021/40.6120.3724.62.2613.281.621.27-
2021/30.5-0.24-12.481.659.621.651.16-
2021/20.51-21.4120.711.1523.31.731.11-
2021/10.6410.8425.410.6425.412.10.91-
2020/120.58-33.9524.858.027.742.320.76-
2020/110.881.8751.997.4227.982.570.69印度客戶出貨增加
2020/100.863.8862.416.5525.322.520.7印度客戶出貨增加
2020/90.830.47110.275.6821.132.390.7印度客戶出貨增加
2020/80.8312.8635.664.8512.942.340.71-
2020/70.73-6.11133.854.039.192.040.82印度客戶出貨增加
2020/60.7848.7340.93.3-2.351.790.85-
2020/50.527.625.922.52-10.821.590.96-
2020/40.49-15.45-15.91.99-14.381.481.03-
2020/30.5837.6-8.981.51-13.881.510.72-
2020/20.42-18.35-17.620.93-16.651.40.78-
2020/10.5110.34-15.840.51-15.841.550.7-
2019/120.46-19.59-28.996.27-10.021.570.67-
2019/110.588.853.995.8-8.051.50.7-
2019/100.5334.49-1.355.22-9.221.530.68-
2019/90.39-35.17-24.354.69-10.031.320.82-
2019/80.6194.5318.254.3-8.441.470.73-
2019/70.31-43.42-37.133.69-11.721.360.79-
2019/60.5511.813.823.38-8.291.630.68-
2019/50.49-14.55-12.162.82-11.650.0N/A-
2019/40.58-8.510.262.33-11.540.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)310.0-1.210-1.3903.7-46.1434.1116.02-0.730-0.660-0.370
2022 (9)310.0-0.350-1.0006.87-19.5629.40-4.55-0.270-0.070-0.110
2021 (8)310.00.24-53.850.3223.088.546.7530.804.30.2911.540.26-23.530.07-56.25
2020 (7)31-3.120.5200.2608.027.5929.53-3.210.2600.3400.160
2019 (6)320.0-1.200-0.9406.27-9.9130.51-14.71-0.260-0.350-0.380
2018 (5)32-3.030.32-53.620.58-33.336.965.9435.77-7.020.38-26.920.3-36.170.11-52.17
2017 (4)336.450.69-68.920.87-59.726.57-23.5238.4710.290.52-43.480.47-51.040.23-67.14
2016 (3)316.92.22-29.972.16-20.38.592.5134.886.180.92-17.860.96-20.660.7-23.91
2015 (2)2916.03.17-12.432.71-2.178.3811.8832.85-9.651.12-3.451.210.00.921.1
2014 (1)254.173.6279.212.7795.077.4938.4536.3601.1678.461.2175.360.9185.71

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