. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.52-20.54-0.811.54-17.461.54N/A-0.040.2-
2024/20.6575.6513.651.03-23.921.48N/A0.360.24-
2024/10.37-18.13-51.870.37-51.871.31N/A-0.11-0.11主係112年1月適逢農曆春節連續假期所致。
2023/120.45-5.26-24.787.65-8.51.440.08-0.080.82-
2023/110.48-5.07-17.577.19-7.231.520.07-0.070.9-
2023/100.51-5.88-31.086.71-6.391.910.06-0.030.97-
2023/90.54-37.83-31.246.21-3.582.360.05-0.031.0-
2023/80.86-10.46-24.465.670.232.580.050.241.02-
2023/70.9628.22-18.754.816.482.270.050.260.79-
2023/60.7535.2821.433.8415.481.970.060.150.53-
2023/50.56-16.4557.253.0914.121.740.070.00.38111年5月因疫情升溫，致使營收下降。
2023/40.6727.1511.672.547.651.760.070.10.37-
2023/30.52-8.94-5.581.876.291.870.070.090.27-
2023/20.57-25.62-2.341.3511.741.950.070.030.17-
2023/10.7727.9525.180.7725.181.960.070.140.14-
2022/120.63.81-7.798.3642.21.920.06-0.01.58-
2022/110.58-20.63-6.487.7648.472.10.050.021.58-
2022/100.73-6.093.487.1755.92.660.040.151.56110年7-9月疫情影響，營收銳減。
2022/90.78-31.743.086.4465.443.110.040.191.41110年7-9月疫情影響，營收銳減。
2022/81.14-3.69119.575.6669.092.950.040.511.22110年8月因疫情影響，營收銳減。
2022/71.1991.651151.164.5259.792.160.050.490.7110年7月因疫情影響，營收銳減。
2022/60.6275.181896.773.3321.881.570.070.10.22110年6月因疫情三級警戒，營收銳減。
2022/50.35-40.662.792.710.341.50.07-0.10.12-
2022/40.67.5-5.872.360.01.740.060.090.21-
2022/30.55-5.823.581.762.141.760.070.010.13-
2022/20.59-4.66-19.881.211.491.860.060.080.11-
2022/10.62-5.7536.130.6236.131.890.060.030.03-
2021/120.665.2834.965.88-20.191.990.060.090.16-
2021/110.62-12.1720.645.22-24.081.880.060.060.07-
2021/100.7129.83-9.844.6-27.711.770.070.160.01-
2021/90.554.79-19.153.89-30.231.160.090.09-0.15-
2021/80.52448.77-53.043.35-31.750.650.170.04-0.23因疫情三級警戒，致使營收減少。
2021/70.09205.86-90.482.83-25.530.470.23-0.1-0.27因疫情三級警戒，致使營收減少。
2021/60.03-90.98-95.172.73-2.391.010.11-0.24-0.17因疫情三級警戒，致使營收減少。
2021/50.34-45.67-19.172.725.271.510.07-0.10.07-
2021/40.6318.31134.122.3636.21.90.060.090.17109年因COVID-19影響收入減少
2021/30.54-27.1648.391.7218.061.720.06-0.020.08-
2021/20.7362.062.661.198.111.670.070.140.1主係109年及110年春節分別於1月及2月所致。
2021/10.45-6.56-29.940.45-29.941.450.08-0.03-0.03-
2020/120.49-5.881.057.37-2.171.790.060.020.89-
2020/110.52-34.37-3.546.88-2.391.980.06-0.020.87-
2020/100.7916.4223.736.37-2.32.570.040.180.89-
2020/90.67-39.1311.95.58-5.112.780.040.110.71-
2020/81.1111.2434.654.9-7.062.750.040.40.6-
2020/71.055.0612.623.8-14.772.070.060.310.2-
2020/60.6451.06-7.262.8-21.571.340.070.2-0.12-
2020/50.4357.37-27.212.16-25.021.060.09-0.05-0.32-
2020/40.27-25.01-55.091.73-24.461.080.09-0.15-0.27新冠病毒疫情影響所致
2020/30.36-20.15-33.071.46-13.541.460.07-0.12-0.12-
2020/20.45-30.23-31.591.1-4.381.580.06-0.060.0-
2020/10.6534.7932.330.6532.331.660.060.060.06-
2019/120.48-10.16-16.687.5312.341.650.070.010.33-
2019/110.53-15.816.877.0515.071.770.06-0.040.33-
2019/100.645.297.56.5215.82.060.050.030.37-
2019/90.6-26.766.585.8816.772.310.040.010.34-
2019/80.82-6.952.095.2818.062.40.040.150.33-
2019/70.8927.687.134.4521.582.160.050.210.18-
2019/60.6918.5617.733.5725.791.880.050.08-0.03-
2019/50.58-2.899.482.8827.90.0N/A0.02-0.11-
2019/40.611.755.52.2933.640.0N/A-0.01-0.13-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.372023/10.772022/10.622021/10.452020/10.65
2024/20.652023/20.572022/20.592021/20.732020/20.45
2024/30.522023/30.522022/30.552021/30.542020/30.36
N/AN/A2023/40.672022/40.62021/40.632020/40.27
N/AN/A2023/50.562022/50.352021/50.342020/50.43
N/AN/A2023/60.752022/60.622021/60.032020/60.64
N/AN/A2023/70.962022/71.192021/70.092020/71.0
N/AN/A2023/80.862022/81.142021/80.522020/81.11
N/AN/A2023/90.542022/90.782021/90.552020/90.67
N/AN/A2023/100.512022/100.732021/100.712020/100.79
N/AN/A2023/110.482022/110.582021/110.622020/110.52
N/AN/A2023/120.452022/120.62021/120.662020/120.49
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.36%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.8712.990.0
23Q3 (19)0.77-16.30.0
23Q2 (18)0.9215.00.0
23Q1 (17)0.8-8.05-8.05
22Q4 (16)0.8712.99-4.4
22Q3 (15)0.77-16.3-1.28
22Q2 (14)0.925.7515.0
22Q1 (13)0.87-4.48.75
21Q4 (12)0.9116.6713.75
21Q3 (11)0.78-2.52.63
21Q2 (10)0.80.0-6.98
21Q1 (9)0.80.014.29
20Q4 (8)0.85.26-3.61
20Q3 (7)0.76-11.630.0
20Q2 (6)0.8622.86-3.37
20Q1 (5)0.7-15.66-14.63
19Q4 (4)0.839.210.0
19Q3 (3)0.76-14.610.0
19Q2 (2)0.898.540.0
19Q1 (1)0.820.00.0

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