玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
25Q1 (20)0.92-15.6-18.580.98-9.26-4.8598.9919.0822.5193.2310.315.57127.0913.5222.0465.1416.950.26
24Q4 (19)1.099.05.831.089.09-1.8283.13-8.68-5.6484.52-7.851.87111.95-3.865.1855.70-16.01-13.82
24Q3 (18)1.00-11.5-9.090.99-3.88-16.8191.0313.3910.0391.723.6919.47116.448.727.866.327.5928.8
24Q2 (17)1.130.0-9.61.030.0-20.7780.28-0.6410.3188.460.1726.7107.102.845.8161.64-5.1348.96
24Q1 (16)1.139.7110.781.03-6.36-16.2680.80-8.29-9.3888.316.4418.89104.14-2.16-5.9364.970.5323.19
23Q4 (15)1.03-6.36-14.881.10-7.56-23.0888.106.4917.5582.978.0830.52106.44-1.4511.5564.6325.5249.92
23Q3 (14)1.10-12.0-5.171.19-8.46-4.0382.7313.675.8276.779.954.68108.016.715.6751.4924.434.42
23Q2 (13)1.2522.558.71.305.6911.1172.78-18.37-7.7169.82-6.0-10.57101.22-8.567.4941.38-21.54-34.07
23Q1 (12)1.02-15.7-6.421.23-13.9914.9589.1618.966.8274.2816.85-12.7110.7016.0113.6652.7422.34-25.89
22Q4 (11)1.214.3112.041.4315.3223.2874.95-4.13-10.7763.57-13.32-18.9295.42-6.642.8543.11-12.57-38.08
22Q3 (10)1.160.8710.481.245.981.6478.18-0.86-9.4173.34-6.06-1.69102.218.5418.3349.31-21.43-33.83
22Q2 (9)1.155.58.491.179.35-10.6978.86-5.52-7.9578.07-8.2512.6194.17-3.3224.0762.76-11.8-20.66
22Q1 (8)1.090.93-8.41.07-7.76-16.4183.47-0.639.1885.098.5319.2297.404.9841.9671.162.21-10.16
21Q4 (7)1.082.86-5.261.16-4.925.4584.00-2.675.3678.405.09-5.0692.787.4136.4869.62-6.58-26.2
21Q3 (6)1.05-0.946.061.22-6.8729.7986.300.74-6.1574.607.6-23.0386.3813.8124.4174.52-5.79-37.62
21Q2 (5)1.06-10.92-6.191.312.3439.3685.6712.066.0169.33-2.86-28.2475.9010.6325.5679.10-0.14-32.38
21Q1 (4)1.194.390.01.2816.360.076.45-4.110.071.37-13.570.068.610.930.079.21-16.030.0
20Q4 (3)1.1415.150.01.1017.020.079.73-13.30.082.58-14.80.067.98-2.090.094.33-21.040.0
20Q3 (2)0.99-12.390.00.940.00.091.9613.80.096.920.310.069.4314.860.0119.462.120.0
20Q2 (1)1.130.00.00.940.00.080.810.00.096.620.00.060.450.00.0116.980.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)4.450.454.32-12.0282.11-0.3584.5513.81109.327.7557.343.84
2023 (9)4.431.144.91-8.9182.40-1.0274.299.64101.469.5955.22-5.49
2022 (8)4.38-4.375.3915.1783.254.3567.76-13.0592.5811.7758.43-21.97
2021 (7)4.5810.14.6830.3679.78-9.1877.93-23.3182.8327.9274.88-39.96
2020 (6)4.1613.663.59-5.7787.84-11.82101.625.9664.75-10.21124.711.06
2019 (5)3.66-16.443.81-40.9399.6119.5295.9069.472.114.84123.4073.36
2018 (4)4.38-1.576.450.9483.341.556.61-0.8468.7814.9671.18-10.31
2017 (3)4.45-8.066.3932.0282.118.957.09-24.3159.8321.6379.36-21.92
2016 (2)4.8412.564.848.0475.40-11.1875.43-7.549.19-3.09101.64-12.14
2015 (1)4.30-8.94.48-27.9784.899.7281.5538.9550.76-0.63115.6836.11

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