玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)350.02.94-0.48-54.84-237.14-0.43-38.71-184.31-1.43-48.96-156.970.19-24.0-84.03-31.49-139.29-210.34-0.18-50.0-185.71-0.16-45.45-233.33-101.65-109.93-904.19-87.72-104.29-968.5194.25-54.92-14.95
23Q3 (19)352.942.94-0.31-55.0-132.98-0.318.82-144.93-0.96-47.69-144.440.25212.5-86.26-13.1686.92-148.83-0.1225.0-134.29-0.11-57.14-134.38-48.4261.76-305.78-42.9446.5-343.1576.250.2811.91
23Q2 (18)340.03.03-0.2055.56-140.82-0.3415.0-185.0-0.65-44.44-150.780.08-60.0-96.06-100.58-234.6-703.0-0.1611.11-180.0-0.0753.33-143.75-126.61-33.3-1251.0-80.26-1.69-1121.12-71.59-86.50-81.72
23Q1 (17)340.06.25-0.45-228.57-156.25-0.40-178.43-156.34-0.45-117.93-156.250.2-83.19-88.76-30.06-205.33-211.58-0.18-185.71-152.94-0.15-225.0-157.69-94.98-851.42-583.85-78.93-881.49-643.97-58.91-145.67-102.26
22Q4 (16)340.03.030.35-62.7775.00.51-26.09466.672.5116.265.131.19-34.6213.3328.545.946.660.21-40.0133.330.12-62.571.4312.64-46.281.7710.10-42.8158.06-22.4814.5423.20
22Q3 (15)343.033.030.9491.841780.00.6972.51050.02.1668.7563.641.82-10.34119.2826.9561.5779.430.3575.01650.00.32100.01500.023.53113.911036.7117.66124.68744.981.8526.5514.42
22Q2 (14)333.120.00.49-38.75-37.180.40-43.66-33.331.2860.00.792.0314.0414.0416.68-38.08-36.340.2-41.18-33.330.16-38.46-36.011.00-43.96-43.127.86-45.83-44.841.78130.62322.62
22Q1 (13)32-3.03-3.030.80300.063.270.71688.8977.50.80-47.3763.271.7869.52-14.0126.9438.4442.540.34277.7870.00.26271.4362.519.6358.0585.3614.51127.0788.248.02300.00369.44
21Q4 (12)330.00.00.20300.0-23.080.0950.0-55.01.5215.15-4.41.0526.51-38.619.4629.5678.040.09350.0800.00.07250.0-22.2212.42500.0671.436.39205.7427.8-13.43103.20-20.00
21Q3 (11)330.00.00.05-93.59-96.090.06-90.0-33.331.323.94-1.490.83-53.37-50.015.02-42.67-0.460.02-93.33-80.00.02-92.0-95.242.07-89.3-93.082.09-85.32-91.76-33.69-17.21-20.00
21Q2 (10)330.00.00.7859.18358.820.6050.0328.571.27159.182016.671.78-14.0116.3426.2038.6294.940.350.0328.570.2556.25316.6719.3482.63296.3114.2484.7293.373.5273.8275.00
21Q1 (9)330.00.00.4988.46590.00.40100.0385.710.49-69.18590.02.0721.0569.6718.9072.92100.850.21900.0500.00.1677.78633.3310.59557.76637.567.7154.2375.3612.034.38111.11
20Q4 (8)330.00.00.26-79.69165.00.20122.22168.971.5918.66562.51.713.0154.0510.93-27.576731.250.01-90.0105.560.09-78.57169.231.61-94.62108.55.00-80.28141.845.75286.6243.25
20Q3 (7)330.00.01.28652.941063.640.09-35.71118.371.342133.33109.381.668.537.1915.0912.28144.570.142.86225.00.42600.0950.029.92513.11180.4125.35600.28739.416.95461.4782.14
20Q2 (6)330.00.00.17270.0-15.00.14200.0-17.650.06160.0-88.681.5325.41-12.5713.4442.83-6.730.07240.0-30.00.06300.00.04.88347.72-12.73.62229.29-2.1617.66172.50125.86
20Q1 (5)330.00.0-0.1075.0-129.41-0.1451.72-333.33-0.10-141.67-129.411.229.91-35.799.415781.25-29.35-0.0572.22-171.43-0.0376.92-127.27-1.9789.6-123.97-2.8076.57-147.46--0.00
19Q4 (4)330.00.0-0.40-463.640.0-0.2940.820.00.24-62.50.01.11-8.260.00.16-97.410.0-0.18-125.00.0-0.13-425.00.0-18.94-277.510.0-11.95-495.70.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)330.00.00.11-45.00.0-0.49-388.240.00.6420.750.01.21-30.860.06.17-57.180.0-0.08-180.00.00.04-33.330.010.6790.880.03.02-18.380.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)330.00.00.20-41.180.00.17183.330.00.5355.880.01.75-7.890.014.418.180.00.142.860.00.06-45.450.05.59-32.00.03.70-37.290.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)330.00.00.340.00.00.060.00.00.340.00.01.90.00.013.320.00.00.070.00.00.110.00.08.220.00.05.900.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.2130.45143.080.3790.850.37N/A本期出貨量增加所致
2024/20.09-4.6349.620.1853.70.23N/A本期出貨量增加所致。
2024/10.0955.3257.80.0957.80.21N/A去年同期受美國通膨、升息及氣候異常等因素影響,造成屋業建築施工延宕,故出貨較少。
2023/120.06-12.6357.680.72-89.470.194.74美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故今年營收較去年減少。
2023/110.074.65-83.350.66-90.270.224.13美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/100.06-26.08-91.590.59-90.70.243.66美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/90.09-8.53-87.590.53-90.580.254.17美國受到通膨衝擊及原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少。
2023/80.0933.89-79.560.44-91.00.195.55因原物料持續波動不穩,導致客戶下單謹慎,故營收較去年同期減少
2023/70.07197.32-89.530.35-92.170.137.85因上游煤鐵原物料持續下跌,國際鋼價不穩,歐、美、亞洲等地區下跌至新低點,
2023/60.02-39.53-96.160.28-92.640.0811.59全球景氣復甦慢、國際通膨及升息壓抑端終需求,導致客戶下單謹慎
2023/50.0476.48-94.320.26-91.910.146.88美金持續升息及鐵礦砂價格持續下跌,客戶預期鋼價下調未到底及不想積壓太多庫存,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少.
2023/40.02-72.88-96.870.22-91.250.166.09全球經濟仍持續受到通膨、升息之影響,除終端需求低迷外,又因銷美同業削價競爭,我司為維持銷美反傾銷0%稅率及長期穩健經營,
2023/30.0841.85-88.570.2-89.010.25.36美國氣候仍然異常,不利施工,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少.
2023/20.060.57-91.170.11-89.30.156.95美國北部及中西部連續3個月氣候異常,屋業建築施工延宕,整體需求動能不足,致營收減少。
2023/10.0655.21-86.420.06-86.420.492.13因美國通膨、升息及氣候異常,造成屋業建築施工被延宕,疫情日漸趨緩進口商調低庫存量,導致需求暫緩,客戶觀望中。
2022/120.04-90.77-91.096.8219.061.191.01客戶訂單暫緩,因美國持續遭受世紀暴風雪肆虐,受極地氣候影響不可抗力之因素,建商無法施工。
2022/110.4-47.13-1.566.7827.61.840.65-
2022/100.758.98229.116.3830.011.90.63去年因塞港及缺櫃問題營業額較低
2022/90.6950.766.615.6320.271.820.45去年因塞港問題營業額較低
2022/80.46-31.417.874.9415.761.740.47-
2022/70.678.890.04.4816.641.970.42去年7月因為馬來西亞疫情嚴重,因應馬國政府政策停工
2022/60.61-10.57.923.81-1.152.010.82-
2022/50.69-2.9425.023.18-3.352.110.78-
2022/40.71-0.726.362.49-9.042.070.8-
2022/30.719.6-6.431.78-13.991.781.01-
2022/20.6554.73-0.681.07-18.381.481.21-
2022/10.421.84-36.010.42-36.011.241.45-
2021/120.411.91-30.165.73-6.561.051.88-
2021/110.476.74-29.935.32-4.041.051.88-
2021/100.23-44.82-57.564.91-1.031.071.84因疫情影響缺櫃所致
2021/90.42-2.42-17.274.685.860.842.23-
2021/80.430.0-13.064.278.820.991.88-
2021/70.0-100.0-100.03.8411.941.121.67因行動管制令配合停工
2021/60.573.67-11.843.8639.781.780.95-
2021/50.55-17.43-11.723.2955.551.980.86去年因受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/40.67-12.66186.92.7483.632.080.81去年同期受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/30.7616.32127.872.0764.612.070.74去年同期受疫情影響,出貨較少
2021/20.65-0.3139.191.3141.761.90.8-
2021/10.6611.1644.420.6644.421.820.84-
2020/120.592.2538.26.132.621.710.99-
2020/110.587.0365.695.54-0.111.621.04營收成長係客戶需求增加
2020/100.547.5862.534.96-4.531.531.1營收成長係客戶需求增加
2020/90.52.5348.754.42-9.11.660.75-
2020/80.49-27.2549.843.92-13.411.810.69-
2020/70.674.1523.523.43-18.331.940.64-
2020/60.653.817.22.76-24.561.50.71-
2020/50.62168.356.842.11-30.831.190.9-
2020/40.23-30.63-59.011.49-39.71.041.03因馬來西亞實施行動管制令,使工作天數減少所致
2020/30.33-28.94-38.311.26-33.971.260.97-
2020/20.473.422.180.92-32.251.350.9-
2020/10.456.38-49.760.45-49.761.230.99-
2019/120.4322.58-51.425.97-28.881.111.03因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化緩慢,下單保守所致
2019/110.354.99-57.485.55-26.241.021.12因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化緩慢,下單保守所致
2019/100.33-1.54-58.455.2-22.421.01.14因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化減緩,下單保守所致
2019/90.343.28-57.964.87-17.541.210.91因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化減緩,以致下單保守
2019/80.33-40.03-58.934.53-11.181.470.75因受市場景氣影響,客戶庫存去化減緩,以致下單保守
2019/70.54-9.6-25.794.2-2.361.730.64-
2019/60.63.46-15.343.662.451.750.63-
2019/50.582.93-12.493.056.880.0N/A-
2019/40.574.4-12.172.4712.760.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)352.94-1.430-1.4900.72-89.44-32.870-0.630-0.60-0.490
2022 (9)343.032.4963.822.31102.636.8219.0224.1716.651.180.331.1561.970.8672.0
2021 (8)330.01.52-4.41.14395.655.73-6.5320.7267.370.61369.230.7122.410.5-5.66
2020 (7)330.01.59562.50.2306.132.6812.3826.970.1300.58241.180.53562.5
2019 (6)330.00.24-83.33-0.5405.97-29.019.75-37.3-0.0900.17-68.520.08-83.33
2018 (5)330.01.442300.01.434666.678.41102.1615.55-8.040.562700.00.541700.00.482300.0
2017 (4)3310.00.06-97.00.03-98.094.16-22.6816.91-36.90.02-97.180.03-96.00.02-96.67
2016 (3)300.02.0053.851.5741.445.38-5.7826.8024.770.7118.330.7525.00.653.85
2015 (2)3011.111.30-13.911.11-11.95.71-21.2421.4816.230.6-9.090.6-4.760.39-4.88
2014 (1)2717.391.51-24.881.260.07.2514.1718.4800.664.760.63-4.550.41-12.77

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