玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.88600.936.221.738.221.73N/A-
2024/20.13-82.87-70.540.86-10.591.7N/A1.去年同期增加原因:係112/02金融機構專案交貨
2024/10.73-13.3337.220.7337.222.15N/A-
2023/120.8445.19-38.818.8575.432.250.311.本年累計增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/110.58-30.23103.398.01118.332.640.261.本月同期增加原因:係112/11金融機構專案交貨,2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/100.83-32.19147.117.43119.592.310.31.本月同期增加原因:係112/10金融機構專案交貨,2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/91.23389.76145.116.6116.551.720.531.本月同期增加原因:係112/09金融機構專案交貨,2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/80.253.13-20.835.37110.930.970.941.本年累計增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/70.24-49.523.725.12129.642.80.331.本年累計增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/60.48-76.8511.414.88144.423.280.251.本年累計增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/52.08190.741205.514.39181.193.440.241.本月同期增加原因:係112/05金融機構專案交貨,2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/40.7211.1478.962.3164.961.780.451.本月同期增加原因:係112/04金融機構專案交貨,2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/30.6451.5582.481.659.381.60.931.本月同期增加原因:係112/03金融機構專案交貨2.本年同期增加原因:係金融機構專案交貨、驗收
2023/20.42-20.23124.230.9646.882.330.641.本月同期增加原因:係112/02金融機構專案交貨
2023/10.53-61.3515.180.5315.182.190.68-
2022/121.38382.6816.285.04-20.122.00.52-
2022/110.29-15.24-64.143.67-28.531.120.921.本月同期減少原因:係110/11金融機構專案交貨
2022/100.34-32.74-24.73.38-21.991.150.89-
2022/90.558.1626.973.05-21.681.051.12-
2022/80.3235.13-57.982.55-27.170.981.21.本月同期減少原因:係110/08金融機構專案交貨
2022/70.23-45.77-44.382.23-18.70.831.43-
2022/60.43171.21106.411.99-14.040.990.891.本月同期增加原因:係111/06金融機構專案交貨
2022/50.16-60.1418.191.56-25.980.910.97-
2022/40.413.3257.481.4-28.990.940.931.本月同期增加原因:係111/04金融機構專案交貨
2022/30.3586.22-30.241.0-41.731.00.54-
2022/20.19-59.02-64.590.65-46.491.840.291.本月同期減少原因:係110/02金融機構專案交貨
2022/10.46-60.99-32.320.46-32.322.440.22-
2021/121.1848.83149.376.32-14.412.430.211.本月同期增加原因:係110/12金融機構專案交貨
2021/110.877.9861.995.13-25.681.640.321.本月同期增加原因:係110/11金融機構專案交貨
2021/100.4513.4159.524.34-32.391.590.33本月同期增加原因:係110/10金融機構專案交貨
2021/90.39-47.66-73.713.89-37.691.570.591.本月同期減少原因:係109/09金融機構專案交貨
2021/80.7578.88-24.73.49-26.291.380.66-
2021/70.42101.2613.042.74-26.720.771.2-
2021/60.2155.29-69.62.32-31.120.61.071.本月同期減少原因:係109/06金融機構專案交貨驗收
2021/50.13-46.88-67.182.11-21.230.890.721.本月同期減少原因:係109/05金融機構專案交貨
2021/40.25-49.8-62.471.98-12.921.290.491.本月同期減少原因:係109/04金融機構專案驗收
2021/30.51-5.46150.571.728.11.720.221.本月同期增加原因:係110/03金融機構專案驗收
2021/20.53-21.69-56.471.22-12.541.690.221.本月同期減少原因:係109/2金融機構專案交貨
2021/10.6843.75317.210.68317.211.650.231.本月同期增加原因:係110/1金融機構專案交貨
2020/120.47-3.31-21.087.384.371.140.59-
2020/110.49185.1311.096.916.732.160.31-
2020/100.17-88.51-14.256.416.412.670.25-
2020/91.549.93205.326.247.132.870.191.本月同期增加原因:係109/9金融機構專案交貨
2020/81.0168.5850.554.74-11.112.060.271.本月同期增加原因:係109/8金融機構專案交貨 、驗收
2020/70.37-45.8996.13.74-19.891.470.371.本月同期增加原因:係109/7金融機構專案交貨 、驗收
2020/60.6967.66-20.423.37-24.811.780.18-
2020/50.41-39.26-85.352.68-25.861.290.251.本月同期減少原因:係108/5金融機構專案驗收
2020/40.68235.18144.12.27179.662.110.151.本月同期增加原因:係109/4金融機構專案交貨 、驗收2.本年累計增加原因:係109/2金融機構專案交貨 ,109/4專案驗收
2020/30.2-83.5738.741.59198.091.590.28本年度累計增加原因:係109/2金融機構專案交貨
2020/21.23650.64413.631.39257.591.990.221.同期增加原因:係109/2金融機構專案交貨 2. 年度累計增加原因:係109/2金融機構專案交貨
2020/10.16-72.89.010.169.011.210.36-
2019/120.636.1-55.277.070.621.240.921. 同期減少原因:係107/12金融機構專案交貨
2019/110.44120.07149.826.4713.861.131.011. 同期增加原因:係108/11金融機構專案交貨
2019/100.2-59.1-62.726.039.491.360.851. 同期減少原因:係107/10金融機構專案交貨
2019/90.49-26.06-27.315.8317.321.350.42-
2019/80.66249.8475.715.3424.361.720.331. 同期增加原因:係108/8金融機構專案交貨
2019/70.19-78.04-29.024.6719.393.860.15-
2019/60.87-69.14259.284.4822.953.950.151. 同期增加原因:係108/6金融機構專案交貨
2019/52.8912.352142.333.626.230.0N/A同期增加原因:係108/5金融機構專案驗收
2019/40.2890.5285.530.81-75.240.0N/A1. 年度累計衰退原因:係107Q1承接金融機構專案交貨認列營收 2. 同期增加原因:係108/4承接金融機構專案交貨認列營收
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.732023/10.532022/10.462021/10.682020/10.16
2024/20.132023/20.422022/20.192021/20.532020/21.23
2024/30.882023/30.642022/30.352021/30.512020/30.2
N/AN/A2023/40.722022/40.42021/40.252020/40.68
N/AN/A2023/52.082022/50.162021/50.132020/50.41
N/AN/A2023/60.482022/60.432021/60.212020/60.69
N/AN/A2023/70.242022/70.232021/70.422020/70.37
N/AN/A2023/80.252022/80.322021/80.752020/81.0
N/AN/A2023/91.232022/90.52021/90.392020/91.5
N/AN/A2023/100.832022/100.342021/100.452020/100.17
N/AN/A2023/110.582022/110.292021/110.82020/110.49
N/AN/A2023/120.842022/121.382021/121.182020/120.47
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.79%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.27-43.75-35.71
23Q3 (19)0.4823.08220.0
23Q2 (18)0.390.0129.41
23Q1 (17)0.39-7.14143.75
22Q4 (16)0.42180.0366.67
22Q3 (15)0.15-11.7625.0
22Q2 (14)0.176.2513.33
22Q1 (13)0.1677.78-27.27
21Q4 (12)0.09-25.0-78.05
21Q3 (11)0.12-20.0-64.71
21Q2 (10)0.15-31.82-53.12
21Q1 (9)0.22-46.34-29.03
20Q4 (8)0.4120.5917.14
20Q3 (7)0.346.25-10.53
20Q2 (6)0.323.23-45.76
20Q1 (5)0.31-11.43-84.34
19Q4 (4)0.35-7.890.0
19Q3 (3)0.38-35.590.0
19Q2 (2)0.59-70.20.0
19Q1 (1)1.980.00.0

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