玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.91-5.070.822.7717.962.77N/A-
2024/20.967.62-0.31.8528.732.87N/A-
2024/10.89-11.9787.540.8987.543.04N/A本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因去年同期逢農曆春節假期工作天數較短且市場庫存水位較高。
2023/121.01-10.18-1.3411.997.513.020.84-
2023/111.1329.3181.0710.988.413.250.78本月營收較去年同期增加,主要為外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2023/100.87-29.997.199.853.643.40.74-
2023/91.25-2.5512.398.973.33.60.79-
2023/81.2819.2373.787.731.973.380.84本月營收較去年同期增加,主要為外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2023/71.075.0926.726.45-5.753.190.89-
2023/61.02-6.343.165.37-10.343.030.95-
2023/51.0919.258.314.35-13.022.910.99-
2023/40.911.0912.523.26-18.42.781.03-
2023/30.9-6.14-25.412.34-26.32.341.19-
2023/20.96102.45-11.171.44-26.852.471.13-
2023/10.48-53.69-46.110.48-46.112.131.32-
2022/121.0364.83-26.5511.15-19.872.471.21-
2022/110.62-23.44-44.7410.12-19.122.551.17-
2022/100.81-26.59-23.459.5-16.582.661.12-
2022/91.1150.67-22.058.69-15.882.691.33-
2022/80.74-13.05-30.697.58-14.892.571.39-
2022/70.85-14.44-45.266.84-12.752.841.26-
2022/60.99-1.66-5.085.99-4.752.811.47-
2022/51.0123.89-5.025.0-4.683.031.36-
2022/40.81-32.98-26.313.99-4.63.111.32-
2022/31.2111.77-8.113.183.163.181.33-
2022/21.0922.8214.591.9711.63.371.26-
2022/10.88-36.888.120.888.123.411.24-
2021/121.424.015.8313.9246.013.591.16-
2021/111.136.065.1112.5250.393.621.16本年營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/101.06-25.255.4211.3957.13.551.18本年營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/91.4233.9660.3610.3365.464.031.1本年營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/81.06-31.3214.168.966.313.651.22本年營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/71.5548.3575.767.8477.293.651.22本月營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/61.04-1.6126.896.2977.673.211.37本月營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/51.06-3.8747.895.2593.033.481.26本月營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/41.1-16.4354.324.19109.193.371.3本月營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/31.3239.3956.093.08139.683.081.08本月營收較去年同期增加,主係受產業景氣回升,內外銷客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/20.9515.89249.91.76299.972.971.12本月營收較去年同期增加,主係去年中國爆發新冠病毒肺炎疫情影響市場;而本月受外銷市場需求不減,客戶提貨需求增加所致。
2021/10.82-32.39379.480.82379.483.11.08本月營收較去年同期增加,主係去年適逢農曆春節假期工作天數減少及去年同期間中國甫爆發新冠病毒肺炎疫情影響市場需求所致。
2020/121.2112.5371.519.5334.653.290.9本期營收較去年同期增加,主係受年底備貨需求及大陸市場拉貨需求強勁所致。
2020/111.076.37122.838.3230.572.971.0本期營收較去年同期增加,主係受年底備貨需求及大陸市場拉貨需求強勁所致。
2020/101.0113.7132.697.2523.032.831.05本期營收較去年同期增加,主係受年底備貨需求及大陸市場拉貨需求強勁所致。
2020/90.89-4.62104.816.2414.312.71.16本期營收較去年同期增加,係因外銷客戶提貨需求量增加所致。
2020/80.935.73103.415.356.52.631.18本期營收較去年同期增加,係因外銷客戶提貨需求量增加所致。
2020/70.887.142.274.42-3.22.421.29-
2020/60.8214.6721.413.54-10.322.251.35-
2020/50.720.29-12.442.72-16.92.281.33-
2020/40.71-15.48-12.942.0-18.381.831.66-
2020/30.85212.4827.831.29-21.121.292.22-
2020/20.2758.81-48.00.44-54.521.152.5本期營收較去年同期減少,主係因大陸市場景氣低迷需求減少、及大陸客戶復工日期延後使得提貨次數減少所致。
2020/10.17-75.81-62.070.17-62.071.362.11本月營收較去年同期減少,係因本月適逢農曆春節假期大陸客戶未安排船期及本月工作天數減少所致。
2019/120.746.2115.827.08-27.661.621.65-
2019/110.4811.07-32.316.37-30.551.351.99-
2019/100.430.07-36.815.89-30.41.332.02-
2019/90.43-5.28-30.765.46-29.831.512.09-
2019/80.46-26.04-37.175.03-29.751.751.8-
2019/70.62-8.59-34.294.57-28.912.111.49-
2019/60.68-17.31-40.523.95-27.992.321.41-
2019/50.82-0.27-22.923.27-24.70.0N/A-
2019/40.8224.11-12.112.45-25.280.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.892023/10.482022/10.882021/10.822020/10.17
2024/20.962023/20.962022/21.092021/20.952020/20.27
2024/30.912023/30.92022/31.212021/31.322020/30.85
N/AN/A2023/40.912022/40.812021/41.12020/40.71
N/AN/A2023/51.092022/51.012021/51.062020/50.72
N/AN/A2023/61.022022/60.992021/61.042020/60.82
N/AN/A2023/71.072022/70.852021/71.552020/70.88
N/AN/A2023/81.282022/80.742021/81.062020/80.93
N/AN/A2023/91.252022/91.112021/91.422020/90.89
N/AN/A2023/100.872022/100.812021/101.062020/101.01
N/AN/A2023/111.132022/110.622021/111.132020/111.07
N/AN/A2023/121.012022/121.032021/121.42020/121.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.32%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.37-21.28-50.67
23Q3 (19)0.47-24.19-7.84
23Q2 (18)0.62-17.33148.0
23Q1 (17)0.750.00
22Q4 (16)0.7547.067400.0
22Q3 (15)0.51104.00
22Q2 (14)0.2502400.0

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