玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
25Q2 (20)0.841.2-22.942.24-21.13-49.89108.80-1.0730.5540.5826.5899.312.8314.1115.04146.565.0244.76
25Q1 (19)0.83-20.95-5.682.84-25.65-21.55109.9826.976.6532.0634.7127.482.4841.71-22.5139.5628.4411.59
24Q4 (18)1.0517.9817.983.8210.4-9.2686.62-15.42-15.5823.80-9.5410.131.75-22.57-26.47108.66-14.07-10.82
24Q3 (17)0.89-18.35-4.33.46-22.6-6.99102.4122.884.5526.3129.227.482.26-8.13-2.59126.4524.95.28
24Q2 (16)1.0923.8618.484.4723.4860.2283.34-19.18-15.4920.36-19.05-37.642.46-23.13-45.58101.24-19.05-20.12
24Q1 (15)0.88-1.128.643.62-14.0150.21103.120.5-8.025.1516.38-33.413.2034.45-68.96125.072.65-10.38
23Q4 (14)0.89-4.33.494.2113.1763.81102.614.76-2.5621.61-11.72-38.92.382.59-81.26121.841.44-4.8
23Q3 (13)0.931.0927.43.7233.3393.7597.95-0.68-21.7624.48-25.02-48.352.32-48.67-86.24120.11-5.23-22.88
23Q2 (12)0.9213.5810.842.7915.7724.098.62-12.02-10.0432.65-13.56-19.34.52-56.16-72.51126.74-9.18-5.16
23Q1 (11)0.81-5.8115.712.41-6.2313.15112.096.44-13.5837.776.79-11.7510.31-18.82-42.66139.559.04-9.69
22Q4 (10)0.8617.816.172.5733.85-7.22105.31-15.88-5.7535.37-25.387.6412.70-24.673.59127.98-17.82-3.29
22Q3 (9)0.73-12.051.391.92-14.67-22.27125.1914.19-1.2447.4017.1528.8716.862.558.35155.7416.545.24
22Q2 (8)0.8318.57-12.632.255.63-30.56109.63-15.4814.2940.46-5.4744.1916.44-8.574.51133.64-13.5223.45
22Q1 (7)0.70-13.58-23.082.13-23.1-39.49129.7116.0829.7642.8030.2565.5717.9846.6615.78154.5316.7740.13
21Q4 (6)0.8112.5-19.82.7712.15-18.05111.74-11.8523.9632.86-10.6622.212.26-21.2114.69132.34-10.5724.44
21Q3 (5)0.72-24.21-30.12.47-23.77-6.44126.7632.1543.3136.7831.086.8615.56-1.0838.31147.9836.732.57
21Q2 (4)0.954.40.03.24-7.950.095.92-4.040.028.068.550.015.731.290.0108.25-1.840.0
21Q1 (3)0.91-9.90.03.524.140.099.9610.890.025.85-3.870.015.5345.280.0110.283.70.0
20Q4 (2)1.01-1.940.03.3828.030.090.141.910.026.89-21.880.010.69-4.980.0106.35-4.720.0
20Q3 (1)1.030.00.02.640.00.088.450.00.034.420.00.011.250.00.0111.620.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)3.9715.4117.0328.4391.84-13.521.44-22.121.84-73.33111.44-12.11
2023 (9)3.449.913.2634.35106.17-8.8827.53-25.596.90-49.19126.80-9.39
2022 (8)3.13-16.099.87-28.32116.5219.1937.0039.5713.5822.01139.9423.69
2021 (7)3.7319.9413.774.2497.76-16.6126.51-4.0211.13-26.29113.14-12.8
2020 (6)3.114.0113.2143.28117.23-3.9327.62-30.2515.10-31.52129.75-7.04
2019 (5)2.99-12.069.221.1122.0213.5939.60-1.022.0510.36139.579.52
2018 (4)3.40-4.769.12-17.76107.424.9340.0021.5419.98-8.05127.4412.23
2017 (3)3.575.3111.096.02102.37-4.8332.91-5.721.73-21.35113.55-1.13
2016 (2)3.390.310.46-7.52107.57-0.4434.908.1227.63-26.5114.8511.81
2015 (1)3.38-2.5911.31-11.43108.042.6932.2812.9537.59-30.09102.7228.37

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