玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)1140.00.0-0.39-62.52.5-0.33-26.92-3.13-1.27-44.329.930.9742.6544.7865.42-5.15108.15-0.49-25.64-28.95-0.44-62.964.35-56.05-5.420.6-56.16-5.4120.4420.60-35.80-22.55
23Q3 (19)1140.00.0-0.24-9.09-4.35-0.26-18.180.0-0.88-37.512.870.68-1.4561.968.9712.416.94-0.39-44.44-25.81-0.27-8.0-3.85-53.18-38.7117.18-53.28-38.5717.0442.5219.8812.71
23Q2 (18)1140.0-30.06-0.2248.844.35-0.2243.5931.25-0.64-48.84-16.360.6986.4997.1461.3628.812.5-0.2743.7528.95-0.2548.9832.43-38.3473.0865.3-38.4573.065.3120.8520.6710.86
23Q1 (17)1140.0-30.06-0.43-7.5-34.37-0.39-21.8813.33-0.4369.5-34.370.37-44.785.7147.6451.5745.87-0.48-26.3211.11-0.49-6.525.77-142.41-101.7410.0-142.41-101.7410.07.37-40.70-22.48
22Q4 (16)1140.0-25.0-0.40-73.91-37.93-0.32-23.0811.11-1.41-39.6-42.420.6759.5281.0831.43-46.71-39.31-0.38-22.5811.63-0.46-76.92-4.55-70.59-9.9442.84-70.59-9.9242.8439.76-36.95-2.16
22Q3 (15)114-30.06-30.06-0.230.025.81-0.2618.7536.59-1.01-83.64-40.280.4220.00.058.988.1473.01-0.3118.4241.51-0.2629.7348.0-64.2141.8952.46-64.2242.0652.4510.0014.0623.82
22Q2 (14)1630.015.6-0.2328.1246.51-0.3228.8934.69-0.55-71.88-37.50.350.0-25.5354.5466.99525.46-0.3829.6338.71-0.3728.8539.34-110.5030.1724.0-110.8329.9623.83-2.718.891.95
22Q1 (13)1637.2417.27-0.32-10.34-900.0-0.45-25.0-4.65-0.3267.68-900.00.35-5.41-51.3932.66-36.9482.25-0.54-25.580.0-0.52-18.18-1140.0-158.24-28.14-21198.67-158.24-28.14-45111.43-8.66-1.94-6.40
21Q4 (12)152-6.7514.29-0.296.45-93.33-0.3612.2-227.27-0.99-37.523.850.37-11.9-57.4751.7951.9225.83-0.4318.87-258.33-0.4412.0-109.52-123.498.57-435.75-123.498.57-402.6-11.2717.1814.26
21Q3 (11)16315.617.27-0.3127.9118.42-0.4116.330.0-0.72-80.038.460.42-10.6420.034.09290.9414.09-0.5314.52-8.16-0.518.035.66-135.067.1114.25-135.067.1814.25-22.68-573.541.19
21Q2 (10)1411.449.3-0.43-1175.0-2.38-0.49-13.95-19.51-0.40-1100.049.370.47-34.72-30.888.72-51.34-69.34-0.62-14.81-19.23-0.61-1320.0-12.96-145.39-19485.33-65.27-145.51-41474.29-63.48-25.98-524.16-152.43
21Q1 (9)1394.5110.320.04126.67111.11-0.43-290.91-13.160.04103.08111.110.72-17.24-7.6917.92-56.46-24.26-0.54-350.0-20.00.05123.81110.870.75103.25101.22-0.3598.5899.4365.6693.60-108.87
20Q4 (8)133-4.3220.91-0.1560.5381.93-0.1173.1775.0-1.30-11.1147.580.87148.57-1.1441.1637.75687.0-0.1275.5177.78-0.2160.3876.92-23.0585.3778.6-24.5784.477.2450.0235.0236.59
20Q3 (7)1397.7527.52-0.389.5219.15-0.410.04.65-1.17-48.130.360.35-48.53-56.2529.885.06122.99-0.495.772.0-0.531.85-1.92-157.51-79.05-136.96-157.51-76.96-131.56-30.68-3.58-3.94
20Q2 (6)1292.3818.35-0.42-16.6731.15-0.41-7.8925.45-0.79-119.4434.710.68-12.82-37.0428.4420.2407.86-0.52-15.5610.34-0.54-17.3918.18-87.97-43.13-54.55-89.01-44.83-24.91-12.0919.982.88
20Q1 (5)12614.5521.15-0.3656.6340.0-0.3813.6426.92-0.3685.4840.00.78-11.36-7.1423.66352.3940.92-0.4516.6716.67-0.4649.4526.98-61.4642.9511.85-61.4643.0728.79--0.00
19Q4 (4)1100.920.0-0.83-76.60.0-0.44-2.330.0-2.48-47.620.00.8810.00.05.23-60.970.0-0.54-8.00.0-0.91-75.00.0-107.73-62.070.0-107.95-58.70.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)1090.00.0-0.4722.950.0-0.4321.820.0-1.68-38.840.00.8-25.930.013.40139.290.0-0.513.790.0-0.5221.210.0-66.47-16.780.0-68.024.550.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)1094.810.0-0.61-1.670.0-0.55-5.770.0-1.21-101.670.01.0828.570.05.60-66.650.0-0.58-7.410.0-0.66-4.760.0-56.9218.360.0-71.2617.440.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)1040.00.0-0.600.00.0-0.520.00.0-0.600.00.00.840.00.016.790.00.0-0.540.00.0-0.630.00.0-69.720.00.0-86.310.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.49240.5256.430.7398.60.73N/A藥品銷售收入增加
2024/20.1435.0836.140.256.410.92N/A-
2024/10.11-84.38-17.820.11-17.820.85N/A-
2023/120.68892.89286.42.7251.830.970.43藥品銷售及委託開發收入增加
2023/110.07-69.8-76.532.0426.380.740.56新藥銷售及委託開發收入減少
2023/100.23-49.9711.161.9748.960.80.52-
2023/90.45252.18150.431.7555.810.680.65學名藥銷售增加且委託開發收入本期完工比例較高,故本期營收增加
2023/80.1325.21136.371.2937.690.590.75新藥/學名藥收入本月增加,故營收增加
2023/70.1-71.39-45.071.1731.650.60.74-
2023/60.36164.3375.641.0652.070.690.43委託開發收入因本期完工比例較高且學名藥銷售增加,故本期營收增加
2023/50.14-32.9444.920.7142.40.470.63-
2023/40.248.03286.40.5741.820.440.68因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2023/30.1430.05-18.390.375.40.371.0-
2023/20.1-18.4637.060.2327.050.410.91-
2023/10.13-26.5819.920.1319.920.590.62-
2022/120.18-39.7139.581.79-9.310.670.4學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,故營收增加
2022/110.2943.0441.791.61-15.040.670.4-
2022/100.212.7118.01.32-21.910.440.62勞務開發收入本⽉增加,故營收增加
2022/90.18232.4112.741.12-30.040.421.07學名藥產品出貨及勞務開發收入本月增加,故營收增加
2022/80.05-70.9-68.390.94-38.010.441.01委託開發收入因去年完工比較高,故去年營收較高
2022/70.19-8.5213.580.89-34.140.480.93-
2022/60.2118.1167.60.7-40.760.351.09因新藥/學名藥產品出貨較去年同期多,致本期營收成長
2022/50.0978.78-64.530.5-55.10.311.22原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2022/40.05-68.73-58.510.4-52.160.31.28委託開發收入因去年完工比較高,故去年營收較高
2022/30.17118.43-61.180.35-51.040.350.66原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2022/20.08-28.65-44.370.18-35.770.260.9-
2022/10.1146.67-27.820.11-27.820.390.6-
2021/120.07-64.31-78.841.97-26.290.370.57原料藥產品線因受加徵25%關稅影響,故該產品營收減少
2021/110.2119.92-3.941.9-18.50.380.55-
2021/100.099.97-69.991.69-19.960.350.6原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故該產品營收減少
2021/90.08-50.62317.911.6-11.370.420.48學名藥產品較去年同期多,故出貨較去年佳
2021/80.174.56-20.081.52-15.110.410.49-
2021/70.16115.5240.941.35-14.430.50.4-
2021/60.08-71.0955.631.18-18.850.470.52學名藥產品較去年同期多,故出貨較去年佳
2021/50.26109.11-30.191.11-21.440.820.29-
2021/40.13-70.75-50.020.84-18.240.690.35原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故營收減少
2021/30.43213.06109.750.72-7.960.720.38供應商受疫情影響,原料藥產品遞延至本月到貨故本月營收增加。
2021/20.14-7.43-32.350.29-50.10.630.43原料藥產品線因受COVID 19疫情影響及自2019年起需加徵25%關稅,故營收減少
2021/10.15-57.01-59.840.15-59.840.710.381月份原料藥因供應商受疫情影響,無法如期供貨導致本月營收減少。
2020/120.3562.06-2.432.68-25.640.870.36-
2020/110.21-31.3-37.752.33-28.170.540.57-
2020/100.311431.7865.472.12-27.040.550.579月份未出貨的貨物已於10月份出貨,故本月營收增加
2020/90.02-90.55-93.421.81-33.430.350.69月份原料藥因向供應商進貨之船期延後,貨物無法本月到港,故原料藥營收減少。
2020/80.2184.43-43.541.79-25.750.380.55-
2020/70.12137.981.491.57-22.420.540.39-
2020/60.05-87.03-91.821.46-23.850.680.25受COVID 19疫情影響客戶工廠無法正常運作,故API遞延拉貨.另學名藥因主要原物料藥受國外供應商禁運,導致無法生產,使得營收下滑。
2020/50.3849.7156.181.417.070.830.2因貨物提前到港通關運送到客戶處,故本月營收較高。
2020/40.2522.766.881.03-3.970.660.26-
2020/30.210.95-25.060.78-7.030.780.31-
2020/20.2-45.05-29.570.571.730.930.26-
2020/10.374.4534.610.3734.611.070.23-
2019/120.353.39-50.73.6-14.120.880.09因107年原物料藥進貨船期集中在12月到貨,故107年12月營收增加
2019/110.3482.6294.383.25-6.560.840.1因107年原物料藥進貨船期集中在12月到貨,故107年11月營收減少
2019/100.19-39.11-68.292.9-11.950.880.09107年8月因暑假貨櫃多船班滿,造成當月原料藥來不及出貨給客戶,訂單分別往後延遲到9、10月,導致107年10月當月份營收增加。
2019/90.31-18.951.362.720.350.80.31-
2019/80.38231.5564.682.410.221.090.237月份未出貨的貨物已於8月份出貨,故本月營收增加。
2019/70.11-80.83-72.142.03-6.620.950.267月份因向供應商進貨之船期延後,貨物無法本月到港,故營收減少。
2019/60.6147.7421.571.918.691.080.08-
2019/50.242.4554.471.313.70.0N/A去年5月因港口擁塞無法通關,今年無此情形。
2019/40.24-13.9324.571.07-3.430.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1140.0-1.270-1.2102.7251.9662.8547.33-1.630-1.70-1.450
2022 (9)114-25.0-1.410-1.3501.79-9.1442.6666.9-1.610-1.680-1.610
2021 (8)15214.29-0.990-1.6801.97-26.4925.56-18.52-2.120-1.70-1.50
2020 (7)13322.02-1.300-1.3102.68-25.5631.37218.48-1.590-1.830-1.730
2019 (6)10910.1-2.480-1.9303.6-14.089.85-18.53-2.160-2.680-2.720
2018 (5)9919.28-2.450-1.2504.1912.0312.0924.25-2.360-3.350-2.420
2017 (4)8325.76-3.500-2.5403.7414.029.7391.54-3.260-3.290-2.920
2016 (3)666.45-3.840-2.1703.28-29.915.0818.69-2.710-2.790-2.550
2015 (2)6237.78-2.340-1.2704.68106.174.2821.25-1.510-1.510-1.450
2014 (1)4573.08-2.230-0.8502.27127.03.530-0.820-0.870-1.010

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