玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.9119.259.82.185.822.18N/A-
2024/20.41-53.02-42.731.283.052.13N/A-
2024/10.873.2463.810.8763.812.57N/A因客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且去年同期因逢農曆年假基期較低。
2023/120.85-1.1-9.728.87-4.292.340.53-
2023/110.8632.95-9.18.03-3.712.230.56-
2023/100.64-12.42-12.617.17-3.172.120.59-
2023/90.73-1.31-8.526.53-2.162.260.72-
2023/80.74-4.62-7.85.79-1.222.320.7-
2023/70.78-2.0613.495.05-0.152.310.7-
2023/60.88.77.414.28-2.052.250.85-
2023/50.732.4113.213.5-3.522.270.84-
2023/40.72-12.61-17.972.78-7.112.250.85-
2023/30.8214.34-5.522.06-2.022.071.08-
2023/20.7234.3819.761.251.52.191.02-
2023/10.53-43.1-14.850.53-14.852.410.93-
2022/120.94-0.4218.349.27-3.322.610.75-
2022/110.9427.8233.778.34-5.192.480.79-
2022/100.74-8.32-8.017.41-8.432.350.83-
2022/90.8-0.53-10.226.67-8.472.30.87-
2022/80.8117.4-7.085.87-8.372.240.89-
2022/70.69-7.3-13.325.06-8.682.080.96-
2022/60.7414.57-2.34.37-8.032.261.03-
2022/50.65-25.8-26.13.63-9.242.390.98-
2022/40.870.65-10.962.99-4.432.341.0-
2022/30.8744.95-12.482.1-2.282.090.83-
2022/20.6-4.4694.771.235.112.020.86因客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且國際銅價上升致營業額增加。
2022/10.63-20.91-27.260.63-27.262.120.82-
2021/120.7912.562.19.5927.142.290.79-
2021/110.7-12.11-14.068.830.192.40.76-
2021/100.8-10.5210.698.0936.432.560.71-
2021/90.892.9422.387.2940.082.560.61-
2021/80.879.527.916.443.262.420.64-
2021/70.794.4734.855.5451.262.430.64因今年國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/60.76-13.3429.784.7554.42.620.6因今年國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/50.88-10.660.884.060.132.850.56因今年國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/40.98-1.0673.753.1359.692.280.69因今年客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/30.99222.6248.52.1554.062.160.53因今年客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/20.31-64.32-14.871.1759.361.940.59因本年客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且國際銅價上升致營業額成長。
2021/10.8611.0131.850.86131.852.450.46因客戶需求成長致銷售量增加,且去年同期因逢農曆年假基期較低。
2020/120.78-5.2611.237.54-16.132.320.43-
2020/110.8213.224.526.76-18.652.270.44-
2020/100.72-1.068.395.93-22.572.260.44-
2020/90.73-9.2213.235.2-25.722.120.44-
2020/80.836.8519.434.47-29.831.980.48-
2020/70.590.55-21.263.66-35.741.720.55-
2020/60.587.42-7.393.08-37.881.690.63-
2020/50.54-3.45-37.882.5-42.251.780.6-
2020/40.56-15.44-34.21.96-43.241.590.67-
2020/30.6784.94-30.971.4-46.091.40.79-
2020/20.36-2.83-38.530.73-54.971.430.78營收較去年同期減少,係因今年2月受大陸新冠肺炎疫情停工影響,銷售量減少所致。
2020/10.37-46.74-64.270.37-64.271.730.64營收較去年同期減少,係因適逢農曆春節連假,銷售量減少所致。
2019/120.76.05-27.399.0-32.772.020.65-
2019/110.66-1.45-27.538.31-33.141.970.67-
2019/100.673.34-31.197.66-33.561.990.66-
2019/90.65-4.26-39.257.01-33.722.070.74-
2019/80.67-9.78-36.876.37-33.072.050.74-
2019/70.7518.27-36.865.7-32.62.260.67-
2019/60.63-27.94-46.494.96-31.932.370.75-
2019/50.882.26-35.344.33-29.080.0N/A-
2019/40.86-11.3-29.493.45-27.20.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.872023/10.532022/10.632021/10.862020/10.37
2024/20.412023/20.722022/20.62021/20.312020/20.36
2024/30.92023/30.822022/30.872021/30.992020/30.67
N/AN/A2023/40.722022/40.872021/40.982020/40.56
N/AN/A2023/50.732022/50.652021/50.882020/50.54
N/AN/A2023/60.82022/60.742021/60.762020/60.58
N/AN/A2023/70.782022/70.692021/70.792020/70.59
N/AN/A2023/80.742022/80.812021/80.872020/80.8
N/AN/A2023/90.732022/90.82021/90.892020/90.73
N/AN/A2023/100.642022/100.742021/100.82020/100.72
N/AN/A2023/110.862022/110.942021/110.72020/110.82
N/AN/A2023/120.852022/120.942021/120.792020/120.78
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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