玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)610.00.00.19211.76-58.70.28500.0-67.060.10211.11-93.334.915.29-17.9243.0714.12-15.38-0.21-200.0-146.670.11210.0-60.71-5.39-75.57-249.722.31194.67-50.967.535.88176.67
23Q3 (19)610.00.0-0.17-200.0-200.0-0.07-146.67-119.44-0.09-212.5-108.574.25-0.23-24.7837.74-6.31-10.8-0.07-131.82-131.82-0.1-190.91-200.0-3.07-156.54-270.56-2.44-197.21-233.331.2144.44126.67
23Q2 (18)610.00.00.17288.89-73.850.15400.0-79.170.08188.89-90.914.262.65-25.6540.28-3.27-8.790.22414.29-57.690.11283.33-71.795.43244.8-33.622.51304.07-63.41-13.9284.66151.76
23Q1 (17)610.01.67-0.09-119.57-139.130.03-96.47-90.0-0.09-106.0-139.134.15-30.49-12.8241.64-18.19-4.84-0.07-115.56-158.33-0.06-121.43-142.86-3.75-204.17-324.55-1.23-126.11-141.69-12.4125.5119.82
22Q4 (16)610.01.670.46170.59-13.210.85136.1157.411.5042.863.455.975.6624.950.9020.323.480.45104.5560.710.28180.0-12.53.60100.0-36.954.71157.38-28.532.1348.3743.06
22Q3 (15)610.01.670.17-73.85-66.670.36-50.0-35.711.0519.3212.95.65-1.413.9142.31-4.19-5.620.22-57.69-33.330.1-74.36-67.741.80-78.0-69.541.83-73.32-71.279.4954.3845.00
22Q2 (14)611.671.670.65182.61195.450.72140.0380.00.88282.61109.525.7320.3838.7444.160.9113.70.52333.331200.00.39178.57200.08.18389.82282.246.86132.54106.019.9863.0147.78
22Q1 (13)600.00.00.23-56.615.00.30-44.4442.860.23-84.1415.04.76-0.422.5943.766.16-0.360.12-57.1420.00.14-56.2516.671.67-70.75-16.082.95-55.249.67-2.02-26.34-24.00
21Q4 (12)600.01.690.533.92-30.260.54-3.57-21.741.4555.9136.794.78-3.63-5.7241.22-8.05-12.630.28-15.15-36.360.323.23-28.895.71-3.38-38.66.593.45-26.458.2467.87134.88
21Q3 (11)600.00.00.51131.82-25.00.56273.33-9.680.93121.43220.694.9620.110.4744.8315.42-4.450.33725.0175.00.31138.46-22.55.91176.1793.776.3791.29-29.774.5670.91122.38
21Q2 (10)600.05.260.2210.0184.620.15-28.57139.470.42110.0207.694.13-10.9915.0438.84-11.57-6.160.04-60.0114.810.138.33186.672.147.54141.153.3323.79181.82-9.73-31.84-49.07
21Q1 (9)601.693.450.20-73.68242.860.21-69.57310.00.20-81.13242.864.64-8.4831.4443.92-6.913.050.1-77.27211.110.12-73.33250.01.99-78.6163.582.69-69.98219.032.22-30.96-29.14
20Q4 (8)59-1.673.510.7611.76-20.830.6911.29-34.291.06265.52-42.75.0712.92-32.4947.180.555.050.44266.67-44.30.4512.5-18.189.30204.920.438.96-1.2121.5719.00186.65137.23
20Q3 (7)605.265.260.68361.54580.00.62263.16138.460.29174.36-67.424.4925.07-7.846.9213.361.380.12144.44-42.860.4366.67566.673.05158.6540.559.07322.85619.8413.38137.92-8.42
20Q2 (6)57-1.720.0-0.26-85.71-138.81-0.38-280.0-166.67-0.39-178.57-149.373.591.7-37.1341.39-2.89-7.59-0.27-200.0-161.36-0.15-87.5-139.47-5.20-66.13-162.42-4.07-80.09-160.48-25.65-100.14-194.76
20Q1 (5)581.751.75-0.14-114.58-216.67-0.10-109.52-147.62-0.14-107.57-216.673.53-53.0-3.0242.62-5.119.28-0.09-111.39-169.23-0.08-114.55-214.29-3.13-133.8-266.49-2.26-130.66-220.86--0.00
19Q4 (4)570.00.00.96860.00.01.05303.850.01.85107.870.07.5154.210.044.91-2.960.00.79276.190.00.55816.670.09.26326.730.07.37484.920.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)570.00.00.10-85.070.00.26-54.390.00.8912.660.04.87-14.710.046.283.330.00.21-52.270.00.06-84.210.02.17-73.950.01.26-81.280.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)570.00.00.67458.330.00.57171.430.00.79558.330.05.7156.870.044.7925.360.00.44238.460.00.38442.860.08.33343.090.06.73259.890.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)570.00.00.120.00.00.210.00.00.120.00.03.640.00.035.730.00.00.130.00.00.070.00.01.880.00.01.870.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.7726.2225.064.6812.854.68N/A-
2024/21.4-7.13-6.622.916.524.72N/A-
2024/11.51-16.3422.551.5122.554.64N/A-
2023/121.8136.18-3.0517.56-20.584.91.0-
2023/111.33-24.84-27.8415.75-22.194.371.12-
2023/101.7637.66-22.1614.42-21.634.261.15-
2023/91.285.58-49.8812.66-21.554.251.24-
2023/81.21-30.85-15.9211.38-16.224.81.1-
2023/71.76-3.886.5910.16-16.265.131.03-
2023/61.8317.94-29.558.41-19.844.261.34-
2023/51.5575.811.446.58-16.653.851.49-
2023/40.88-37.78-49.665.03-22.663.81.51-
2023/31.42-5.75-45.44.15-12.724.151.42-
2023/21.521.8830.322.7426.464.61.28-
2023/11.23-33.7722.051.2322.054.931.2-
2022/121.861.283.2422.119.485.970.9-
2022/111.84-18.9222.4220.2421.246.660.81-
2022/102.27-11.3553.9618.4121.126.270.86本月營收較去年同期增加54%,因主要客戶受船期影響,原排訂11月出貨,提前於本月出貨,故同期月營收差異較大。
2022/92.5677.1237.9916.1417.65.650.98-
2022/81.44-12.34-2.6613.5814.415.680.97-
2022/71.65-36.481.5412.1416.855.630.98-
2022/62.5986.666.4110.4919.695.731.0因主要客戶受船期影響,原排訂5月出貨,延至6月出貨,故同期月營收差異較大。
2022/51.39-20.599.937.99.585.731.0-
2022/41.75-32.5134.286.519.515.51.04-
2022/32.59124.9796.584.762.554.761.23本月營收較去年同期增加96%,因客戶受疫情船運影響,原預計於今年1~2月出貨,延後於3月出貨,故累計第一季營收比同期增加2.55%
2022/21.1514.15-4.772.16-34.823.971.48-
2022/11.01-43.98-52.081.01-52.084.311.36因主要客戶受疫情船運影響,故同期營收差異較大。
2021/121.820.1-37.8918.510.864.781.24-
2021/111.51.9627.8216.721.134.831.22-
2021/101.47-20.5548.1415.1920.514.811.23-
2021/91.8524.92-6.9113.7216.224.961.24-
2021/81.48-8.54-2.2111.8720.924.661.32-
2021/71.624.0938.5710.3925.154.441.38-
2021/61.5623.2627.668.7622.944.131.33-
2021/51.26-3.05.57.2121.973.891.41-
2021/41.3-1.210.95.9426.163.831.43-
2021/31.328.9822.524.6431.234.641.13-
2021/21.21-42.56-21.483.3235.056.220.84-
2021/12.11-27.39130.272.11130.276.190.85110年1月營收較去年同期增加130.28%,主係因主要客戶受疫情影響,原應去年12月下單出貨 ,延後至今年1月所致。
2020/122.9147.187.916.69-23.215.071.03-
2020/111.1718.17-31.2213.78-27.64.161.25-
2020/100.99-50.08-68.112.61-27.254.51.16本月營收減少主係因客戶訂單延遲出貨所致
2020/91.9931.2424.7911.81-16.944.681.2-
2020/81.5229.597.589.82-22.213.911.44-
2020/71.17-4.1-37.058.3-25.963.591.57-
2020/61.221.86-21.947.13-23.763.591.48-
2020/51.21.95-44.555.91-24.123.451.54-
2020/41.189.14-40.724.71-16.273.791.4-
2020/31.08-30.16-27.023.53-2.963.531.37-
2020/21.5468.4364.312.4613.435.150.94109年2月營收較去年同期增加64.31%,主係因今年客戶下單原由1月延至2月所致,若以YOY來看,年度增加比例僅為13.43%。
2020/10.92-65.97-25.440.92-25.445.310.91-
2019/122.6957.5534.1921.738.257.510.53-
2019/111.71-45.2-7.7819.045.376.420.62-
2019/103.1295.3331.8617.336.876.120.65-
2019/91.613.14-22.814.212.614.871.09-
2019/81.41-24.18-20.8912.627.074.831.1-
2019/71.8618.918.711.2112.055.580.95-
2019/61.56-27.63-5.769.3512.755.710.82-
2019/52.168.9941.287.7917.380.0N/A-
2019/41.9834.3659.025.6210.210.0N/A108年4月營收較去年同期增加59%,主係因今年度客戶下單延至4月所致,若以YOY來看,年度增加比例僅為10.22%。
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)610.00.10-93.240.41-81.6117.56-20.5840.76-10.26-0.130-0.3200.06-93.41
2022 (9)611.671.482.782.2354.8622.1119.5145.427.31.3174.670.8614.670.914.6
2021 (8)601.691.4439.811.4469.4118.510.8442.33-5.720.75257.140.75141.940.8740.32
2020 (7)593.511.03-43.090.85-59.5216.69-23.1944.902.860.21-86.540.31-77.040.62-41.51
2019 (6)570.01.81-17.732.10-38.0521.738.2743.65-4.441.56-35.271.35-16.671.06-17.19
2018 (5)57-3.392.20-11.653.39-1.4520.0710.2745.684.482.41-3.211.62-14.291.28-14.67
2017 (4)59-6.352.49-11.073.44-6.0118.24.643.72-1.242.49-3.491.89-11.681.5-16.2
2016 (3)6321.152.8047.373.6634.5617.48.0744.271.612.5835.792.1473.981.7980.81
2015 (2)5218.181.9055.742.7241.6716.15.5743.5711.721.927.521.2343.020.9983.33
2014 (1)440.01.22-40.21.925.4915.25-2.3139.0001.492.760.86-30.650.54-40.0

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