玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)36-46.27-46.27-4.98-5433.3374.92-4.92-2489.47-151.79-5.32-2700.069.720.03-25.00.037.9145.256418.33-0.0614.29-400.0-1.79-2883.3386.46-254.33-84.5599.49-5893.45-4202.7385.08-22.50-2730.95-1228.66
23Q3 (19)670.00.0-0.09-28.57-108.11-0.1932.1477.11-0.19-90.0-108.30.04-20.0-33.3326.10-14.79-21.46-0.0722.2222.22-0.06-20.0-108.11-137.81-80.76-109.46-136.97-47.01-112.042.50-80.95-16.28
23Q2 (18)670.00.0-0.07-133.33-111.29-0.28-64.7159.42-0.10-233.33-108.470.0525.0-16.6730.63-13.0823.36-0.09-50.00.0-0.05-150.0-112.2-76.24-46.14-108.01-93.17-95.08-113.6929.16-16.74-83.25
23Q1 (17)670.00.0-0.0399.85-105.36-0.17-101.7966.0-0.0399.83-105.360.0433.3333.3335.245973.33-4.4-0.06-400.025.0-0.0299.85-105.26-52.1799.89-103.34-47.7699.88-103.92-8.34-894.67571.39
22Q4 (16)670.00.0-19.86-1889.19-10030.09.501244.584418.18-17.57-867.25-2143.020.03-50.0-50.0-0.60-101.81-101.080.02122.22150.0-13.22-1886.49-9542.86-49652.60-3507.94-17707.3-39487.80-3571.42-18732.47-25.00-905.08612.14
22Q3 (15)670.00.01.1179.03326.92-0.83-20.29-151.522.2994.07252.310.060.0-33.3333.2333.8329.8-0.090.0-50.00.7480.49335.291456.9753.05453.561137.5167.1463.8550.0044.87-29.14
22Q2 (14)670.00.00.6210.711140.0-0.69-38.0-263.161.18110.71202.560.06100.0-53.8524.83-32.64-12.97-0.09-12.5-125.00.417.891266.67951.97-39.052257.53680.75-44.112446.7625.0095.36-82.63
22Q1 (13)670.00.00.56180.064.71-0.50-127.27-100.00.56-34.8864.710.03-50.0-66.6736.86-33.8732.11-0.08-100.0-33.330.38171.4365.221561.90453.87436.151217.96474.7379.81-41.6678.46-46.97
21Q4 (12)670.00.00.20-23.080-0.2233.33-15.790.8632.3175.510.06-33.33-14.2955.74117.73133.32-0.0433.3320.00.14-17.650282.007.141255.12211.935.05100819.05-32.05198.46-20.18
21Q3 (11)670.00.00.26420.0550.0-0.33-73.68-94.120.6566.6732.650.09-30.77-10.025.60-10.27-12.9-0.06-50.0-20.00.17466.67750.0263.20551.81783.52201.74654.73763.986.83167.35-24.84
21Q2 (10)670.00.00.05-85.29-37.5-0.1924.038.710.3914.71-13.330.1344.4485.7128.532.26-20.53-0.0433.3333.330.03-86.96-40.040.38-86.14-71.226.73-89.47-64.2436.50-42.65-3.79
21Q1 (9)670.00.00.340-8.11-0.25-31.5835.90.34-30.61-8.110.0928.5728.5727.9016.79-8.49-0.06-20.00.00.230-8.0291.321299.9-41.88253.84120776.19-33.39-0.71-50.00-21.67
20Q4 (8)670.00.00.00-100.0100.0-0.19-11.76-35.710.490.0-27.940.07-30.0-22.2223.89-18.71-20.39-0.050.016.670-100.0100.020.81-30.14118.870.21-99.1100.216.43-75.0016.70
20Q3 (7)670.00.00.04-50.0-86.21-0.1745.1645.160.498.89-40.240.142.86-16.6729.39-18.13-17.44-0.0516.670.00.02-60.0-89.4729.79-78.75-85.7623.35-68.76-85.3121.43-64.1932.84
20Q2 (6)670.00.00.08-78.38-60.0-0.3120.5156.940.4521.62-15.090.070.0-41.6735.9017.7413.14-0.060.0-20.00.05-80.0-61.54140.22-72.02-50.4374.75-80.38-33.79-11.11153.12-79.03
20Q1 (5)670.00.00.37384.6212.12-0.39-178.57-77.270.37-45.5912.120.07-22.22-65.030.491.6-18.37-0.060.0-100.00.25377.7813.64501.20554.48270.35381.08482.46256.22--0.00
19Q4 (4)670.00.0-0.13-144.830.0-0.1454.840.00.68-17.070.00.09-25.00.030.01-15.70.0-0.06-20.00.0-0.09-147.370.0-110.28-152.720.0-99.64-162.680.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)670.00.00.2945.00.0-0.3156.940.00.8254.720.00.120.00.035.6012.20.0-0.050.00.00.1946.150.0209.17-26.050.0158.9740.810.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)670.00.00.20-39.390.0-0.72-227.270.00.5360.610.00.12-40.00.031.73-15.050.0-0.05-66.670.00.13-40.910.0282.86109.020.0112.905.530.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)670.00.00.330.00.0-0.220.00.00.330.00.00.20.00.037.350.00.0-0.030.00.00.220.00.0135.330.00.0106.980.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.02113.0411.760.0638.650.06N/A-
2024/20.01-54.82-28.310.0464.950.04N/A本年因年節因素而提早出貨,去年因中國疫情升溫,供應商提早及延長休假而延後出貨,故累計營收較去年增加
2024/10.02381.9300.160.02300.160.04N/A係因2月逢年節休假,故於本月提早出貨所致
2023/120.01-61.69-45.490.17-12.490.030.0-
2023/110.0113.4410.180.16-10.760.040.0-
2023/100.01-8.85-0.420.15-12.280.040.0-
2023/90.0122.8-16.90.14-13.180.040.0-
2023/80.01-45.515.590.12-12.770.050.0-
2023/70.0221.63-50.450.11-14.180.050.0本月訂單減少所致
2023/60.02-1.48-38.650.091.410.050.0-
2023/50.02-5.0911.270.0817.430.050.0-
2023/40.02-20.01-13.40.0619.210.050.0-
2023/30.0236.6496.770.0440.070.040.0本月訂單增加
2023/20.02152.18214.710.029.270.030.0本年度由於1月年節休假及大陸疫情,致部分營收遞延至2月
2023/10.01-34.35-58.70.01-58.70.030.0本月訂單減少所致
2022/120.01-22.57-68.970.19-48.450.030.0本年度訂單減少所致
2022/110.012.52-52.690.18-46.60.040.0本期訂單減少所致
2022/100.01-23.9446.840.17-46.090.040.0本年訂單減少所致
2022/90.0256.04-22.480.16-48.570.060.0本期訂單減少所致
2022/80.01-74.43-76.880.14-50.430.080.0本月訂單減少所致
2022/70.0450.6172.660.13-45.650.080.0本月訂單增加所致
2022/60.0378.69-40.210.09-58.020.060.17本月訂單減少所致
2022/50.01-26.14-65.10.07-62.490.050.22本月訂單減少所致
2022/40.0281.73-54.00.05-61.660.040.28本月訂單減少所致
2022/30.01118.54-72.130.03-65.360.030.32本月訂單減少所致
2022/20.0-66.91-63.280.02-60.090.050.2本月訂單減少所致
2022/10.01-50.67-58.90.01-58.90.070.14本月訂單減少所致
2021/120.0318.0114.930.3716.470.060.16-
2021/110.03218.29-12.080.3416.610.050.19-
2021/100.01-59.85-57.330.3119.850.070.14本月客戶訂單減少所致
2021/90.02-53.47-46.520.325.930.090.12-
2021/80.0490.9690.70.2839.380.110.09本月訂單出貨增加
2021/70.02-47.85-48.330.2432.920.110.09-
2021/60.044.29121.540.2259.080.130.08客戶訂單增加
2021/50.04-2.6369.780.1748.570.120.08客戶訂單增加
2021/40.0410.157.750.1342.920.10.1客戶訂單增加
2021/30.04187.9364.060.0936.730.090.11本月客戶訂單較多
2021/20.01-62.968.60.0521.040.080.13-
2021/10.0437.9726.40.0426.40.090.11-
2020/120.03-9.73-13.590.32-40.780.070.13-
2020/110.0354.48-15.880.29-42.440.090.12-
2020/100.02-49.68-22.510.26-44.420.080.13-
2020/90.0465.9125.890.24-45.630.10.1-
2020/80.02-48.26-47.520.2-50.820.090.12係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/70.04123.63-6.430.18-51.20.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/60.02-20.07-44.20.14-57.720.070.14係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/50.02-9.53-39.250.12-59.370.080.13係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/40.0314.5-37.90.09-62.670.060.16係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/30.0290.59-68.40.07-68.00.070.15係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/20.01-56.89-68.230.04-67.760.070.14係因客戶訂單減少所致
2020/10.03-5.68-67.560.03-67.560.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/120.03-12.11-46.980.53-53.290.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/110.0342.29-56.990.5-53.630.090.11係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/100.02-18.24-72.430.47-53.360.10.1係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/90.03-30.84-69.960.44-51.50.120.08係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/80.04-7.75-63.210.41-49.240.130.08係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/70.0533.37-44.780.37-46.880.120.08-
2019/60.04-12.98-64.140.32-47.170.120.08係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/50.04-7.52-66.620.29-43.920.0N/A係因客戶訂單減少所致
2019/40.04-41.74-55.90.25-36.890.0N/A係因客戶訂單減少所致
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)36-46.27-5.320-5.5800.17-10.5331.9927.15-0.280-0.20-1.920
2022 (9)670.0-17.5707.4400.19-48.6525.16-22.47-0.250-14.630-11.70
2021 (8)670.00.8573.47-0.9700.3715.6232.458.97-0.200.7253.190.5772.73
2020 (7)670.00.49-27.94-1.0300.32-39.6229.78-13.58-0.2300.47-38.160.33-26.67
2019 (6)670.00.68-83.61-1.4200.53-53.5134.46-13.33-0.200.76-78.650.45-83.93
2018 (5)670.04.150-3.1401.14-45.4539.766.48-0.3703.5602.80
2017 (4)670.0-0.340-1.6702.09-48.7737.3416.83-0.620-0.240-0.220
2016 (3)670.00.11-31.25-1.4204.08-43.7231.9615.09-0.500.08-55.560.07-36.36
2015 (2)671.520.16-74.19-1.0307.25-45.4927.7713.58-0.300.18-62.50.11-73.17
2014 (1)660.00.6200.97013.36.2324.4500.4200.4800.410

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