玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)4490.675.151.7413.73335.02.8137.7592.474.7053.09-8.91491.7421.0337.674.712.8462.9817.134.65263.837.8414.62361.182.50-1.966350.01.85-5.13780.9514.5522.8133.02
23Q3 (19)4464.944.451.5331.950.02.0428.368.63.07103.31-35.5406.38.067.544.5814.539.6312.732.9886.496.8438.4657.242.5530.7767.761.9540.2966.6730.01131.6637.09
23Q2 (18)4250.0-0.71.16231.43-29.71.5945.87-20.91.51331.43-59.63375.9951.96-16.214.0020.854.449.5575.23-21.144.94147.0-30.131.9589.32-13.721.3961.63-13.1310.62109.4710.26
23Q1 (17)425-0.47-0.70.35-12.5-83.251.09-25.34-54.20.35-93.22-83.25247.42-30.73-55.583.3114.53-4.345.4515.96-61.72.017.65-77.681.032675.0-54.020.86309.52-48.19-18.09-36.64-2.34
22Q4 (16)4270.04.150.40-60.78-76.051.4620.66-14.125.168.4-26.5357.19-5.46-31.382.89-11.89-1.374.7-30.98-56.721.7-60.92-75.18-0.04-102.63-102.060.21-82.05-85.21-10.63-49.48-9.57
22Q3 (15)427-0.23-0.231.02-38.18-43.331.21-39.8-36.654.7627.27-12.34377.83-15.8-29.913.28-14.36-1.56.81-43.77-42.824.35-38.47-43.651.52-32.74-25.851.17-26.88-23.03-17.62-29.62-27.67
22Q2 (14)4280.05.681.65-21.05-17.52.01-15.55-6.513.7478.953.03448.72-19.44-14.383.8310.694.6412.11-14.9-7.637.07-21.09-12.822.260.892.261.60-3.61-6.98-6.222.0512.22
22Q1 (13)4284.3913.232.0925.1529.012.3840.072.462.09-70.2329.01557.07.0110.593.4618.0924.4614.2331.0357.598.9630.846.172.2415.4625.841.6616.922.061.788.9614.50
21Q4 (12)410-4.218.471.67-7.2221.91.70-10.9961.97.0229.2866.35520.53-3.4428.962.93-12.019.7410.86-8.8251.256.85-11.2731.981.94-5.372.111.42-6.58-5.33-0.29-8.61-11.07
21Q3 (11)4285.6813.231.80-10.050.01.91-11.1689.115.4349.5990.53539.082.8652.433.33-9.0216.8411.91-9.1581.557.72-4.8169.32.05-7.2410.221.52-11.633.43.466.7322.32
21Q2 (10)4057.148.02.0023.46127.272.1555.8216.183.63124.07120.0524.094.0577.483.6631.6537.0813.1145.18177.178.1132.3145.762.2124.1631.551.7226.4730.314.4220.8643.61
21Q1 (9)3780.00.271.6218.25110.391.3831.4374.681.62-61.61110.39503.6824.7956.172.784.1219.319.0325.7790.516.1318.11110.651.78-6.3240.161.36-9.3337.3719.4616.2117.70
20Q4 (8)3780.00.271.3714.1752.221.053.9619.324.2248.0723.75403.6314.1325.492.67-6.32-3.967.189.4525.525.1913.8253.11.902.1518.011.502.0417.1916.9525.2726.25
20Q3 (7)3780.80.271.2036.368.111.0148.538.62.8572.7314.0353.6519.761.92.856.74-3.066.5638.695.34.5638.189.621.8610.713.331.4711.368.095.6625.3217.30
20Q2 (6)375-0.53-0.530.8814.2912.820.68-13.923.031.65114.2917.86295.3-8.4419.012.6714.59-13.594.73-0.2112.893.313.413.011.6832.280.61.3233.333.13-4.08-0.08-12.07
20Q1 (5)3770.00.00.77-14.4424.190.79-10.2323.440.77-77.4224.19322.520.2754.292.33-16.19-29.614.74-17.1324.082.91-14.1623.831.27-21.12-19.110.99-22.66-17.5--0.00
19Q4 (4)3770.00.00.90-18.920.00.88-5.380.03.4136.40.0321.65-7.320.02.78-5.440.05.72-8.190.03.39-18.510.01.61-10.560.01.28-5.880.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)3770.00.01.1142.310.00.9340.910.02.5078.570.0347.0539.870.02.94-4.850.06.2348.690.04.1642.470.01.807.780.01.366.250.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)3770.00.00.7825.810.00.663.130.01.40125.810.0248.1218.690.03.09-6.650.04.199.690.02.9224.260.01.676.370.01.286.670.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)3770.00.00.620.00.00.640.00.00.620.00.0209.040.00.03.310.00.03.820.00.02.350.00.01.570.00.01.200.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/3253.2460.48168.39558.22125.61558.22N/A主要係去年記憶體價格基期低,本期因原廠減產致使記憶體價格持續成長,下游手機客戶新機上市備貨,致使本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/2157.87.2184.39304.9899.24465.63N/A主要係去年記憶體價格基期低,本期因原廠減產致使記憶體價格持續成長,本期營收較去年同期成長。
2024/1147.18-8.37118.07147.18118.07498.7N/A主要係記憶體價格上漲及因應農曆假期客戶提前備貨,且去年一月工作日數較少,致使本月營收較去年同期成長。
2023/12160.64-15.8442.031521.45-12.59491.740.46-
2023/11190.8836.1284.681360.81-16.39474.240.47主要係記憶體價格上漲,客戶提前備貨,致使本月營收較去年同期增加。
2023/10140.22-2.03-0.371169.93-23.24429.750.52-
2023/9143.14-2.2213.981029.71-25.57406.30.48-
2023/8146.3925.3513.14886.57-29.52390.460.5-
2023/7116.78-8.26-4.92740.19-34.41367.520.53-
2023/6127.33.12-6.18623.41-38.01375.990.51-
2023/5123.45-1.43-21.26496.11-42.97343.040.56-
2023/4125.2432.73-19.85372.66-47.75305.170.63-
2023/394.3510.25-51.66247.42-55.57247.420.88本期仍受整體半導體市場景氣持續低迷,消費性電子產品終端需求下滑,致使較去年同期營收減少。
2023/285.5726.78-40.52153.07-57.68266.170.82本期仍受整體半導體市場景氣持續低迷,消費性電子產品終端 需求下滑,致使較去年同期營收減少。
2023/167.49-40.32-69.0267.49-69.02283.940.77受農曆假期影響,工作日數減少,市場需求持續疲弱,致使本月營收減少。
2022/12113.19.43-37.741740.75-16.6357.190.61-
2022/11103.35-26.56-51.881627.65-14.59369.670.59雙十一整體電子產品銷售狀況不佳,且大陸持續進行封控,致手機客戶在終端銷售大幅下降,使本月營收較同期減少。
2022/10140.7412.0713.451524.3-9.85395.710.55-
2022/9125.58-2.94-35.081383.55-11.69377.80.76-
2022/8129.395.33-30.331257.97-8.4387.910.74-
2022/7122.83-9.47-23.181128.59-4.97415.320.69-
2022/6135.69-13.45-29.881005.76-2.14448.760.72-
2022/5156.790.33-6.98870.064.29508.290.64-
2022/4156.27-19.95-3.53713.277.14495.390.65-
2022/3195.2235.67-2.76557.010.58557.00.44-
2022/2143.89-33.952.76361.7719.43543.450.45-
2022/1217.8819.9333.76217.8833.76614.360.4-
2021/12181.67-15.4228.282087.3951.79520.530.57客戶因應銷售旺季及農曆年備貨之需求,提前備貨,使本期營收成長。
2021/11214.8173.1648.121905.7254.49532.310.56客戶因應耶誕節銷售旺季及農曆年備貨之需求,提前備貨,使本期營收成長。
2021/10124.05-35.876.031690.9155.34503.230.59由於手機及伺服器需求提升,且手機內鍵記憶體容量及價格增加,致使本期累計營收成長55.35%。
2021/9193.454.1546.191566.8661.28539.080.44整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/8185.7316.1477.21373.4163.66539.180.44整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/7159.91-17.3737.231187.6861.73522.010.46整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/6193.5414.8183.41027.7866.35524.090.37整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/5168.564.0569.78834.2362.84531.330.37整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游伺服器等客戶需求增加帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/4161.99-19.3179.01665.6761.17502.80.39整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游品牌手機推出新機帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/3200.7843.3950.86503.6856.17503.680.29整體半導體零組件市況持續暢旺,原廠產能吃緊帶動價格漲,下游品牌手機推出新機帶動,使本期營收成長。
2021/2140.02-14.0331.97302.959.9444.520.33半導體需求暢旺且產能吃緊,因大陸疫情發展,要求人員在地過年,使各工廠開工率增加,提前備貨以因應期間需求,使本期營收成長。
2021/1162.8815.0195.45162.8895.45449.520.33半導體需求暢旺且產能吃緊,因大陸疫情發展,要求人員在地過年,使各工廠開工率增加,提前備貨以因應期間需求,使本期營收成長。
2020/12141.62-2.3442.421375.122.13403.630.36-
2020/11145.0223.9642.671233.4820.17394.330.37-
2020/10116.99-11.58-2.961088.4617.7354.120.41-
2020/9132.3226.2510.9971.4720.79353.650.24-
2020/8104.81-10.05-14.69839.1522.52326.860.26-
2020/7116.5210.4111.1734.3430.65321.330.26-
2020/6105.536.2933.25617.8235.14295.30.42-
2020/599.289.7137.84512.2935.53322.860.38-
2020/490.49-32.0-6.61413.0134.99329.680.37-
2020/3133.0925.4475.23322.5254.28322.520.27因下游伺服器等客戶需求強勁,致使本期營收成長。
2020/2106.127.31108.47189.4342.32288.870.31去年同期適逢農曆過年,本期下游伺服器客戶需求暢旺,及部分客戶因應記憶體價格波動提前備貨,致使本期營收成長。
2020/183.33-16.191.3783.331.37284.420.31-
2019/1299.43-2.17-0.581125.86-20.82321.650.23-
2019/11101.65-15.690.581026.42-22.35341.530.22-
2019/10120.571.04-10.92924.78-24.25362.740.21-
2019/9119.32-2.88-23.94804.21-25.91347.050.16-
2019/8122.8617.15-13.59684.89-26.24306.920.18-
2019/7104.8732.43-25.85562.03-28.53256.090.21-
2019/679.199.95-40.9457.16-29.11248.120.34-
2019/572.02-25.67-48.82377.97-26.020.0N/A-
2019/496.927.58-10.6305.95-17.360.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4495.154.47-9.77.546.81521.45-12.64.2725.5944.818.3932.5615.3421.62-2.04
2022 (9)4274.154.95-29.297.06-1.121740.75-16.613.406.9237.84-15.7428.23-32.2422.07-23.39
2021 (8)4108.477.0066.277.14102.272087.3951.83.1820.4544.9193.5841.6678.7228.8180.63
2020 (7)3780.274.2124.193.5313.51375.122.142.64-12.023.216.1723.3123.8615.9524.32
2019 (6)3770.83.39-11.023.11-25.951125.86-20.83.0011.9419.97-19.4418.82-7.5612.83-11.03
2018 (5)3743.313.810.794.2016.671421.5215.852.68-2.1924.7914.0320.362.5714.421.05
2017 (4)36221.483.7811.833.6031.391227.0110.192.74-1.4421.7415.6419.8513.3614.2729.49
2016 (3)2984.933.38191.382.74255.841113.5444.192.7842.5618.8246.2217.51226.0711.02223.17
2015 (2)28421.891.160.00.7757.14772.2550.661.95-26.425.4351.255.3720.953.4112.91
2014 (1)23340.361.16103.510.4958.06512.5791.672.6503.5986.014.44167.473.02169.64

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