玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.4548.9644.393.4716.63.47N/A-
2024/20.97-6.55-1.762.022.423.1N/A-
2024/11.04-3.716.671.046.673.26N/A-
2023/121.08-4.05-3.4112.62-20.983.231.31-
2023/111.1311.370.011.54-22.33.311.27-
2023/101.01-13.2-8.3710.41-24.143.11.36-
2023/91.1726.91-4.479.4-25.523.21.26-
2023/80.92-17.29-26.098.23-27.783.21.25-
2023/71.11-4.92-23.257.31-27.993.451.17-
2023/61.170.29-17.756.2-28.783.221.16-
2023/51.1732.21-24.315.03-30.943.061.23-
2023/40.88-12.22-41.383.86-32.722.881.3-
2023/31.011.34-34.82.98-29.632.981.29-
2023/20.991.48-2.251.97-26.673.091.24-
2023/10.98-12.82-41.50.98-41.53.231.19-
2022/121.12-0.66-13.115.987.153.361.15-
2022/111.132.05-11.7614.869.073.461.12-
2022/101.11-9.51-12.1613.7311.243.581.08-
2022/91.22-1.8-22.4112.6213.93.920.99-
2022/81.25-14.118.6511.419.934.120.94-
2022/71.451.8843.910.1520.084.420.88-
2022/61.42-7.7-2.48.716.864.470.99-
2022/51.542.416.67.2821.554.590.97-
2022/41.51-2.3831.425.7422.964.061.09-
2022/31.5451.946.574.2320.24.231.03-
2022/21.02-39.267.042.6929.733.981.1-
2022/11.6729.4848.91.6748.94.241.03-
2021/121.290.868.1114.9128.573.831.0-
2021/111.281.5822.5613.6230.924.120.94-
2021/101.26-20.0747.5212.3431.853.890.99-
2021/91.5850.1880.011.0830.273.631.02因去年基期過低,致本期營收變動幅度超過50%
2021/81.054.1624.969.524.563.521.05-
2021/71.01-30.98.348.4524.523.790.98-
2021/61.4610.2748.057.4527.083.930.89-
2021/51.3215.4144.725.9922.853.920.89-
2021/41.15-20.848.694.6617.83.540.99-
2021/31.4552.6122.73.5221.13.521.09-
2021/20.95-15.51-0.962.0720.013.271.17-
2021/11.12-5.9946.191.1246.193.361.14-
2020/121.1914.3539.3111.6-12.243.091.32-
2020/111.0422.2772.7810.4-15.812.771.47因去年同期基數較低,致本月增減百分比變動達50%以上
2020/100.85-2.47-9.189.36-20.372.571.58-
2020/90.884.26-14.768.5-21.342.650.0-
2020/80.84-9.68-26.727.63-22.032.760.0-
2020/70.93-5.58-20.796.79-21.412.830.0-
2020/60.997.79-7.165.86-21.512.950.0-
2020/50.91-13.31-31.064.87-23.893.150.0-
2020/41.05-10.63-7.473.96-22.023.190.0-
2020/31.1823.17-8.682.91-26.232.910.0-
2020/20.9624.71-6.171.73-34.792.580.0-
2020/10.77-10.41-52.760.77-52.762.230.0由於去年銷售情況良好故基期較高,再加上本期適逢年節期間所致。
2019/120.8641.82-10.0313.21-1.32.40.0-
2019/110.6-35.73-50.9612.36-0.632.570.0由於去年基期較高,且今年美中貿易戰不確定因素影響著客戶在下單時趨於保守,再加上下半年全球經濟成長動力減弱所致。
2019/100.94-8.46-14.9711.754.893.110.0-
2019/91.03-10.35-25.010.817.073.350.0-
2019/81.15-2.37-6.819.7812.113.380.0-
2019/71.1710.65-23.758.6415.213.560.0-
2019/61.06-19.9511.467.4625.293.530.0-
2019/51.3316.3415.196.427.920.0N/A-
2019/41.14-11.839.525.0831.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.042023/10.982022/11.672021/11.122020/10.77
2024/20.972023/20.992022/21.022021/20.952020/20.96
2024/31.452023/31.012022/31.542021/31.452020/31.18
N/AN/A2023/40.882022/41.512021/41.152020/41.05
N/AN/A2023/51.172022/51.542021/51.322020/50.91
N/AN/A2023/61.172022/61.422021/61.462020/60.99
N/AN/A2023/71.112022/71.452021/71.012020/70.93
N/AN/A2023/80.922022/81.252021/81.052020/80.84
N/AN/A2023/91.172022/91.222021/91.582020/90.88
N/AN/A2023/101.012022/101.112021/101.262020/100.85
N/AN/A2023/111.132022/111.132021/111.282020/111.04
N/AN/A2023/121.082022/121.122021/121.292020/121.19
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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