玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/32.17113.04101.023.97135.423.97N/A因應客戶產能建置,以致使我司營收相較去年同期增加。
2024/21.0229.78186.061.8196.474.23N/A因應客戶產能建置,以致使我司營收相較去年同期增加。
2024/10.78-67.75211.160.78211.163.79N/A因應客戶產能建置,以致使我司營收相較去年同期增加。
2023/122.43321.2446.1910.95-31.453.840.95-
2023/110.58-31.19-26.648.52-40.472.381.54-
2023/100.84-13.0-38.847.94-41.272.561.44-
2023/90.9627.8-43.237.1-41.552.41.47-
2023/80.7510.23-46.796.14-41.272.571.37-
2023/70.68-39.83-14.055.39-40.413.411.04-
2023/61.14-28.36-30.714.7-42.953.021.07-
2023/51.59438.0311.443.57-46.02.961.09-
2023/40.29-72.62-73.571.98-61.781.731.86本公司以銷售機台為主,因22年末市場預測23年景氣非常悲觀,大多客戶資本支出暫緩所致。
2023/31.08203.17-56.741.68-58.551.682.1本公司以銷售機台為主,因22年末市場預測23年景氣非常悲觀,大多客戶資本支出暫緩所致。
2023/20.3641.17-58.860.61-61.42.271.56本公司以銷售機台為主,因22年末市場預測23年景氣非常悲觀,大多客戶資本支出暫緩所致。
2023/10.25-84.84-64.50.25-64.52.71.31本公司以銷售機台為主,因22年末市場預測23年景氣非常悲觀,大多客戶資本支出暫緩。
2022/121.66111.3627.6515.97-11.283.820.73-
2022/110.79-42.64-59.6214.31-14.323.850.73因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2022/101.37-19.24-22.7913.52-8.344.480.62-
2022/91.719.781.4212.15-6.373.910.93-
2022/81.4278.06-18.8910.46-7.523.850.94-
2022/70.8-51.49-6.319.04-5.443.860.94-
2022/61.6415.2214.728.24-5.364.180.97-
2022/51.4227.57-23.296.6-9.35.030.81-
2022/41.12-55.19-12.155.18-4.524.470.91-
2022/32.49188.28205.14.06-2.194.061.2因客戶擴產計劃順利執行,故使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年增加
2022/20.8621.83-22.911.57-52.872.871.7大陸子公司因中美貿易戰及疫情影響,客戶於去年下半年擴產後,目前需求減緩導致接單不如預期。
2022/10.71-45.51-68.020.71-68.023.961.24大陸子公司因中美貿易戰及疫情影響,客戶於去年下半年擴產後,目前需求減緩導致接單不如預期。
2021/121.3-33.1416.8218.032.955.020.82-
2021/111.959.6829.316.734.395.390.76-
2021/101.776.0848.5414.7535.15.190.79-
2021/91.67-4.21-17.7712.9833.444.270.97-
2021/81.75105.6636.1911.3147.04.031.03-
2021/70.85-40.670.39.5649.164.131.01因客戶擴產計劃順利執行,故使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年增加
2021/61.43-22.9522.428.7147.384.560.87-
2021/51.8646.0984.187.2853.523.941.0因應客戶產能建置以及口罩銷售,以致使我司營收大幅成長,本月整體合併營收相較去年同期增加84,825千元(增加84.2%)。
2021/41.2755.6120.275.4245.253.211.23-
2021/30.82-27.16-9.934.1555.14.151.04因客戶擴產計劃順利執行,故使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年增加
2021/21.12-49.4532.383.3488.374.450.97因客戶擴產計劃順利執行,故使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年增加
2021/12.2299.06139.582.22139.584.840.9因客戶擴產計劃順利執行,故使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年增加
2020/121.11-26.0141.3713.54-5.623.811.15-
2020/111.5126.018.4512.43-8.354.740.92-
2020/101.19-41.27223.8110.92-11.124.510.97因應客戶產能建置、設備代工以及口罩銷售,以致我司營收大幅成長
2020/92.0358.66570.169.73-18.393.821.06因應客戶產能建置、設備代工以及口罩銷售,以致我司營收大幅成長
2020/81.28157.17-7.77.69-33.782.951.37-
2020/70.5-57.3-31.726.41-37.322.671.51-
2020/61.1715.91-16.745.91-37.753.231.14-
2020/51.01-4.6-19.944.74-41.42.971.25-
2020/41.0616.52-13.143.73-45.352.811.32-
2020/30.917.06-55.762.68-52.322.681.39因疫情影響客端需求緊縮
2020/20.85-8.53-63.931.77-50.342.561.45因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2020/10.9317.46-24.220.93-24.222.981.25-
2019/120.79-38.0-63.6314.35-26.542.431.72因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2019/111.27244.45-17.8313.56-21.921.942.15-
2019/100.3721.52-77.4812.29-22.312.062.03因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2019/90.3-78.14-88.5111.92-15.942.422.11因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2019/81.3990.23-27.8711.620.693.521.45-
2019/70.73-47.93-57.7510.236.423.391.51因產業景氣不佳,客戶擴廠計畫延後執行,致使本公司接單銷貨狀況較去年度衰退
2019/61.411.45-30.659.520.493.881.4-
2019/51.263.543.648.0938.160.0N/A-
2019/41.22-40.6425.676.8337.20.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.782023/10.252022/10.712021/12.222020/10.93
2024/21.022023/20.362022/20.862021/21.122020/20.85
2024/32.172023/31.082022/32.492021/30.822020/30.91
N/AN/A2023/40.292022/41.122021/41.272020/41.06
N/AN/A2023/51.592022/51.422021/51.862020/51.01
N/AN/A2023/61.142022/61.642021/61.432020/61.17
N/AN/A2023/70.682022/70.82021/70.852020/70.5
N/AN/A2023/80.752022/81.422021/81.752020/81.28
N/AN/A2023/90.962022/91.72021/91.672020/92.03
N/AN/A2023/100.842022/101.372021/101.772020/101.19
N/AN/A2023/110.582022/110.792021/111.952020/111.51
N/AN/A2023/122.432022/121.662021/121.32020/121.11
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.28-47.17-47.17
23Q3 (19)0.53-18.46-11.67
23Q2 (18)0.658.33-2.99
23Q1 (17)0.613.21275.0
22Q4 (16)0.53-11.6751.43
22Q3 (15)0.6-10.45-11.76
22Q2 (14)0.67318.75318.75
22Q1 (13)0.16-54.29-50.0
21Q4 (12)0.35-48.53-79.89
21Q3 (11)0.68325.078.95
21Q2 (10)0.16-50.0-81.4
21Q1 (9)0.32-81.61-63.64
20Q4 (8)1.74357.89167.69
20Q3 (7)0.38-55.81-59.14
20Q2 (6)0.86-2.27-11.34
20Q1 (5)0.8835.38-20.72
19Q4 (4)0.65-30.110.0
19Q3 (3)0.93-4.120.0
19Q2 (2)0.97-12.610.0
19Q1 (1)1.110.00.0

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