玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)3310.00.0-0.08-100.0-153.33-0.33-37.5-283.33-0.11-266.67-137.932.49-40.0-76.9-8.60-480.53-163.24-1.09-39.74-301.85-0.26-116.67-153.06-10.42-255.63-348.1-10.45-256.66-329.67-44.23-66.66-77.84
23Q3 (19)3310.00.0-0.04-33.33-116.67-0.24-118.18-2300.0-0.030-121.434.15-48.45-61.182.26-73.47-75.54-0.78-290.0-2500.0-0.12-20.0-114.81-2.93-384.47-138.5-2.93-136.29-138.76-36.65-116.66-219.09
23Q2 (18)3310.00.0-0.03-200.0-133.33-0.11-320.042.110.00-100.0100.08.05-24.8431.978.52-21.6272.47-0.2-217.6567.21-0.1-190.91-132.261.03-2.83-81.54-1.24-221.57-124.6-12.74-140.00-196.11
23Q1 (17)3310.00.00.03-80.0115.00.05-72.22120.830.03-89.66115.010.71-0.6572.1910.87-20.07358.650.17-68.52121.250.11-77.55116.671.06-74.76110.071.02-77.58109.690.09-58.75913.89
22Q4 (16)3310.04.090.15-37.5-94.680.181900.0126.870.29107.14-76.4210.780.8470.8413.6047.1939.20.541900.0173.970.49-39.51-94.534.20-44.81-97.464.55-39.81-96.838.0564.58997.37
22Q3 (15)3310.00.00.24166.67137.5-0.0194.7498.610.14227.27108.710.6975.2599.819.2487.044520.0-0.0395.0898.730.81161.29138.217.6136.38119.47.5650.0119.0836.66155.8357.78
22Q2 (14)3310.00.00.09145.0117.65-0.1920.8364.15-0.1145.088.546.1-1.93-2.44.94108.44255.84-0.6123.7564.740.31146.97118.345.58152.99120.695.04147.86118.68-1.6818.9542.51
22Q1 (13)3314.0919.06-0.20-107.0955.56-0.2464.1846.67-0.20-116.2655.566.22-1.43-11.42.37-75.74230.94-0.8-9.5946.31-0.66-107.3746.77-10.53-106.3640.44-10.53-107.4240.448.26216.7635.56
21Q4 (12)318-3.9338.262.82540.62622.22-0.676.94-86.111.23176.4165.086.3117.94-36.399.774785.0381.28-0.7369.0738.668.95522.17821.77165.45521.851418.33141.98458.351231.311.77257.56-14.46
21Q3 (11)3310.023.51-0.64-25.49-106.45-0.72-35.85-157.14-1.61-67.71-38.795.35-14.4-53.110.20106.31-95.54-2.36-36.42-156.52-2.12-25.44-155.42-39.22-45.42-437.26-39.62-46.85-442.74-12.69-19.41-26.82
21Q2 (10)33119.0623.51-0.51-13.33-59.38-0.53-17.78-32.5-0.96-113.33-12.946.25-10.97-9.81-3.17-75.14-210.84-1.73-16.11-30.08-1.69-36.29-96.51-26.97-52.55-118.38-26.98-52.6-118.46-20.101.67-21.39
21Q1 (9)27820.873.73-0.4516.6715.09-0.45-25.06.25-0.4576.1915.097.02-29.2350.97-1.81-189.1647.08-1.49-25.216.29-1.240.012.68-17.68-40.8841.92-17.68-40.8841.92-21.14-28.76-26.79
20Q4 (8)230-14.18-14.18-0.54-74.19-54.29-0.36-28.57-20.0-1.89-62.93-50.09.92-13.0634.62.03-54.69-73.25-1.19-29.35-20.2-1.24-49.4-33.33-12.55-71.921.03-12.55-71.921.0325.80-35.530.71
20Q3 (7)2680.00.0-0.313.13-287.5-0.2830.0-115.38-1.16-36.47-26.0911.4164.6510.354.4856.64-56.88-0.9230.83-109.09-0.833.49-315.0-7.3040.89-268.69-7.3040.89-268.6956.8421.3823.34
20Q2 (6)2680.00.0-0.3239.628.57-0.4016.67-14.29-0.85-60.38-1.196.9349.03-20.162.86183.63-35.29-1.3316.35-16.67-0.8639.449.47-12.3559.43-13.3-12.3559.43-13.416.06-5.91-21.66
20Q1 (5)2680.00.0-0.53-51.43-8.16-0.48-60.0-26.32-0.5357.94-8.164.65-36.91-38.41-3.42-145.06-206.54-1.59-60.61-28.23-1.42-52.69-8.4-30.44-140.06-75.65-30.44-140.06-75.65--0.00
19Q4 (4)2680.00.0-0.35-337.50.0-0.30-130.770.0-1.26-36.960.07.37-28.720.07.59-26.950.0-0.99-125.00.0-0.93-365.00.0-12.68-540.40.0-12.68-540.40.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)2680.00.0-0.0877.140.0-0.1362.860.0-0.92-9.520.010.3419.120.010.39135.070.0-0.4461.40.0-0.278.950.0-1.9881.830.0-1.9881.820.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)2680.00.0-0.3528.570.0-0.357.890.0-0.84-71.430.08.6814.970.04.4237.690.0-1.148.060.0-0.9527.480.0-10.9037.10.0-10.8937.160.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)2680.00.0-0.490.00.0-0.380.00.0-0.490.00.07.550.00.03.210.00.0-1.240.00.0-1.310.00.0-17.330.00.0-17.330.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.7113.08-81.242.35-78.072.35N/A淡季及客戶需求調整
2024/20.62-38.58-81.611.64-76.352.53N/A淡季及客戶需求調整
2024/11.0214.84-71.311.02-71.312.49N/A淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/120.8951.64-75.6325.39-24.852.492.44淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/110.58-42.77-83.3424.51-18.732.92.09淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/101.02-21.14-71.9723.92-10.233.741.62淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/91.29-9.0-68.1122.9-0.464.151.56淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/81.42-0.9-60.5721.6114.014.551.42淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/71.43-15.11-52.6120.1931.546.241.04淡季及客戶需求調整
2023/61.69-45.69-8.518.7552.228.050.99去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2023/53.11-3.9843.9217.0662.9410.120.78去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2023/43.24-13.9255.4713.9567.8910.410.76去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2023/33.7710.8846.8510.7172.0510.711.03去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2023/23.4-4.1885.466.9489.7110.581.05去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2023/13.55-2.4493.963.5593.9610.681.04去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2022/123.633.6428.4133.7935.610.781.12-
2022/113.51-3.6865.5130.1636.5211.21.08去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2022/103.64-10.29168.1726.6533.4411.31.07去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2022/94.0612.51165.9523.0123.6210.691.07去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2022/83.6119.08110.2318.9510.918.481.35去年基期低,且缺料問題趨緩,故營收較去年同期大幅上升
2022/73.0363.943.4815.35-0.167.041.62-
2022/61.85-14.57-22.4812.32-7.116.12.09-
2022/52.163.7218.3510.47-3.746.811.87-
2022/42.09-18.72.488.31-8.26.481.96-
2022/32.5640.04-20.86.22-11.36.221.59-
2022/21.830.2-15.613.66-3.156.111.62-
2022/11.83-25.3713.651.8313.656.391.55-
2021/122.4515.62-36.3924.54-25.445.921.48-
2021/112.1256.05-18.9722.09-23.995.01.75-
2021/101.36-11.03-60.719.97-24.484.61.91.去年基期較高,因上半年受疫情影響致出貨未能滿足客戶需求,為補足上半年短交營業額大幅提升2.因受上游原材料短缺影響致營收減少
2021/91.53-11.05-61.4818.61-19.045.351.811.去年基期較高,因上半年受疫情影響致出貨未能滿足客戶需求,為補足上半年短交營業額大幅提升2.因受上游原材料短缺影響致營收減少
2021/81.72-18.72-55.2817.09-10.216.211.56主要是受缺料影響致營收減少。
2021/72.11-11.45-41.515.371.166.321.53-
2021/62.3830.425.3213.2614.446.251.36-
2021/51.83-10.18-31.6910.8816.667.11.19-
2021/42.03-37.171.939.0536.117.441.14-
2021/33.2449.23132.537.0250.777.021.1去年同期因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少,今年同期已恢復正常出貨。
2021/22.1734.9684.53.7815.857.631.01去年同期因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少,今年同期已恢復正常出貨。
2021/11.61-58.23-22.871.61-22.878.070.95-
2020/123.8547.2941.9932.91-2.999.920.71-
2020/112.61-24.323.229.06-6.910.030.7-
2020/103.45-12.8236.3826.45-9.111.250.63-
2020/93.963.2720.4722.99-13.4311.410.77-
2020/83.846.3111.2119.03-18.239.710.9-
2020/73.6159.430.1615.2-23.358.551.02-
2020/62.26-15.41-28.6111.59-28.576.931.35-
2020/52.6834.03-12.379.33-28.566.061.54-
2020/42.043.3-18.736.65-33.54.562.04-
2020/31.3918.41-51.914.65-38.314.651.48因受新冠肺炎疫情的影響,大陸工廠復工展延,致營收減少。
2020/21.18-43.58-7.343.26-29.845.971.16-
2020/12.09-23.11-38.32.09-38.36.921.0-
2019/122.7127.818.4833.935.957.370.91-
2019/112.12-16.21-38.4731.224.997.940.84-
2019/102.53-22.981.2129.110.699.270.72-
2019/93.29-4.6626.0526.5611.6910.340.64-
2019/83.45-4.24-2.3423.289.9210.220.65-
2019/73.613.635.6219.8312.389.830.68-
2019/63.173.8256.5816.2214.08.680.85營業額增加的原因:1、產品組合變動,平均單位售價提高。2、出售新產品
2019/53.0524.3112.0613.056.940.0N/A-
2019/42.46-15.2-1.2310.05.460.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)3310.0-0.110-0.63025.39-24.866.81-20.72-1.890-0.180-0.370
2022 (9)3314.090.29-76.42-0.27033.7935.598.59609.92-0.900.95-82.440.95-75.7
2021 (8)31838.261.230-2.36024.92-24.281.21-46.93-6.3205.4103.910
2020 (7)230-14.18-1.890-1.52032.91-3.012.28-65.77-5.030-4.350-4.350
2019 (6)2680.0-1.260-1.15033.935.976.66-19.95-3.810-3.390-3.390
2018 (5)2680.0-0.820-0.97032.02-4.138.32-29.07-3.180-2.20-2.210
2017 (4)2680.0-0.770-0.63033.4-8.3911.73-12.0-2.070-2.050-2.050
2016 (3)2680.00.600-0.66036.46-14.4313.3311.45-1.7702.0201.610
2015 (2)2680.0-0.560-0.66042.61-17.0211.9641.54-2.240-1.550-1.510
2014 (1)2680.0-0.900-1.19051.35-42.048.450-3.990-2.470-2.420

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