玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/37.3554.62-2.019.21.019.2N/A-
2024/24.75-33.04-22.5411.852.9717.87N/A-
2024/17.117.9132.137.132.1319.26N/A-
2023/126.02-1.97-14.2974.98-18.5918.530.08-
2023/116.14-3.56-9.5168.96-18.9518.550.08-
2023/106.375.34-2.0862.82-19.7719.680.07-
2023/96.04-16.84-3.056.45-21.3719.190.1-
2023/87.2723.6512.3650.4-23.1218.140.1-
2023/75.8817.88-7.0443.13-27.017.380.11-
2023/64.99-23.47-47.3637.26-29.3918.250.06-
2023/56.52-3.39-20.832.27-25.4620.760.05-
2023/46.75-10.05-26.3625.75-26.5520.380.05-
2023/37.522.21-30.0119.01-26.6219.010.05-
2023/26.1414.23-9.8611.51-24.2318.530.05-
2023/15.37-23.51-35.915.37-35.9119.180.05-
2022/127.023.48-6.2692.11-13.6720.310.05-
2022/116.794.36-31.0785.08-14.2319.520.05-
2022/106.54.35-32.7578.3-12.3819.20.05-
2022/96.23-3.67-32.9271.79-9.9119.030.06-
2022/86.472.29-23.5865.56-6.8722.270.05-
2022/76.32-33.24-32.4659.09-4.5824.030.05-
2022/69.4715.13-2.4652.770.3726.860.04-
2022/58.23-10.17-11.6743.291.0228.10.04-
2022/49.16-14.51-6.0935.074.5426.680.04-
2022/310.7257.47.9525.918.9125.910.07-
2022/26.81-18.7713.4615.199.5922.680.09-
2022/18.3811.866.648.386.6425.720.08-
2021/127.49-23.9-10.97106.750.8727.010.06本年度油價回升及產業較復甦,加上去年度基期低,係本年度營收較去年度大幅成長主因。
2021/119.851.8234.7799.2159.2228.810.05本年度油價回升及產業較復甦,加上去年度基期低,係本年度營收較去年度大幅成長主因。
2021/109.674.0873.3289.3662.4727.430.05本年度油價回升及產業較去年度復甦,另,去年度基期低,故本年度營收較去年度大幅成長。
2021/99.299.7245.9679.6961.2427.120.05本年度油價回升及產業較復甦,且去年度基期低,故本年度營收較去年度大幅成長。
2021/88.47-9.5872.8570.463.527.540.05本年度油價回升及產業較復甦,且去年度基期低,故本年度營收較去年度大幅成長。
2021/79.37-3.5791.4161.9462.328.390.05本年度油價回升及產業復甦,且去年度基期低,故本年度營收較去年度大幅成長。
2021/69.714.2578.0752.5758.0228.780.06本年度油價回升及石油產業復甦,且去年基期低,故本月營收較去年大幅成長。
2021/59.32-4.575.342.8654.0929.00.06本年度因油價回升及石油產業復甦,下游備料增加,故本月營收亦較去年同期成長。
2021/49.76-1.7259.5933.5449.0825.680.06本年度因油價回升及石油產業復甦,下游需求增加,故本月營收亦較去年同期成長。
2021/39.9365.4372.6723.7945.1623.790.06上月基期低(2月天數較少,且適逢春節連假);且本月產業有復甦跡象,下游需求增加所致,故整體營收較上月大幅成長。
2021/26.0-23.6535.1713.8630.2922.280.07-
2021/17.86-6.6226.87.8626.823.580.06-
2020/128.4215.1920.570.73-17.6321.30.06-
2020/117.3130.9420.1962.31-21.019.250.07-
2020/105.58-12.33-25.455.0-24.4416.840.08-
2020/96.3629.93-6.9949.42-24.3316.160.07-
2020/84.90.12-27.7143.06-26.3715.250.07-
2020/74.89-10.3-31.7538.16-26.1915.660.07-
2020/65.452.63-11.9733.27-25.2916.880.09-
2020/55.31-13.05-27.6227.81-27.4517.180.09-
2020/46.116.32-28.8122.5-27.4116.30.1-
2020/35.7529.5-23.3716.39-26.8716.390.08-
2020/24.44-28.38-33.4910.64-28.6317.620.08-
2020/16.2-11.26-24.696.2-24.6919.260.07-
2019/126.9814.9-3.9285.87-11.5820.540.08-
2019/116.08-18.73-16.4378.88-12.220.40.08-
2019/107.489.3-5.6472.8-11.8321.10.08-
2019/96.840.98-1.9565.32-12.4920.790.09-
2019/86.78-5.47-21.2458.48-13.5820.140.09-
2019/77.1715.69-9.4651.7-12.4620.710.09-
2019/66.2-15.61-25.2944.53-12.9222.130.06-
2019/57.34-14.47-13.7738.34-10.530.0N/A-
2019/48.5914.45-7.2630.99-9.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.12023/15.372022/18.382021/17.862020/16.2
2024/24.752023/26.142022/26.812021/26.02020/24.44
2024/37.352023/37.52022/310.722021/39.932020/35.75
N/AN/A2023/46.752022/49.162021/49.762020/46.11
N/AN/A2023/56.522022/58.232021/59.322020/55.31
N/AN/A2023/64.992022/69.472021/69.712020/65.45
N/AN/A2023/75.882022/76.322021/79.372020/74.89
N/AN/A2023/87.272022/86.472021/88.472020/84.9
N/AN/A2023/96.042022/96.232021/99.292020/96.36
N/AN/A2023/106.372022/106.52021/109.672020/105.58
N/AN/A2023/116.142022/116.792021/119.852020/117.31
N/AN/A2023/126.022022/127.022021/127.492020/128.42
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.71%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.13-89.0862.5
23Q3 (19)1.191387.51222.22
23Q2 (18)0.08-81.4-50.0
23Q1 (17)0.43437.5115.0
22Q4 (16)0.08-11.110.0
22Q3 (15)0.09-43.75-25.0
22Q2 (14)0.16-20.0-27.27
22Q1 (13)0.2150.081.82
21Q4 (12)0.08-33.33-66.67
21Q3 (11)0.12-45.4533.33
21Q2 (10)0.22100.046.67
21Q1 (9)0.11-54.17-52.17
20Q4 (8)0.24166.67-54.72
20Q3 (7)0.09-40.028.57
20Q2 (6)0.15-34.7850.0
20Q1 (5)0.23-56.6155.56
19Q4 (4)0.53657.140.0
19Q3 (3)0.07-30.00.0
19Q2 (2)0.111.110.0
19Q1 (1)0.090.00.0

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