玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.7526.37-31.595.56-16.975.56N/A-
2024/21.38-42.96-42.363.81-7.936.26N/A-
2024/12.43-0.7439.652.4339.656.64N/A-
2023/122.4538.12-9.2624.59-27.05.840.62-
2023/111.779.12-40.5822.15-28.555.440.66-
2023/101.62-20.77-44.3520.38-27.275.840.62-
2023/92.05-5.45-28.0718.75-25.286.220.7-
2023/82.177.75-37.3316.71-24.925.990.73-
2023/72.0110.87-31.6614.54-22.645.530.79-
2023/61.816.03-44.9812.53-20.975.830.81-
2023/51.71-25.97-41.2910.72-14.676.580.72-
2023/42.31-9.69-20.319.01-6.647.270.65-
2023/32.566.47-12.286.7-0.776.70.97-
2023/22.438.2153.454.147.986.840.95主係去年同期適逢農曆春節,影響廠商拉貨所致
2023/11.74-35.51-23.381.74-23.387.410.87-
2022/122.7-9.557.8433.6936.068.590.88-
2022/112.982.256.6231.039.228.740.86主係去年同期廠商尚在消化庫存,減少拉貨所致
2022/102.922.423.2128.0237.69.220.82-
2022/92.85-17.628.7925.139.499.240.75-
2022/83.4617.526.8522.2544.729.690.72-
2022/72.94-10.7439.3218.848.569.150.76-
2022/63.313.1596.7815.8650.429.110.76主係本期新舊產品併同出貨外,且去年同期因客戶缺料,影響該期公司銷貨等因素所致
2022/52.910.48173.9312.5641.668.730.8主係去年同期受到客戶缺料問題嚴重,導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨所致
2022/42.9-0.633.79.6523.647.380.94-
2022/32.9286.2785.726.7519.766.750.99主係廠商積極拉貨所致。
2022/21.57-30.99-19.943.83-5.696.331.05-
2022/12.27-9.237.492.277.496.671.0-
2021/122.531.35-11.0124.762.976.770.98-
2021/111.9-19.59-24.8222.264.826.890.96-
2021/102.37-9.5816.2120.368.837.710.86-
2021/92.62-3.9422.0217.997.937.450.97-
2021/82.7229.0543.3115.385.846.511.11-
2021/72.1126.0690.012.650.24.851.49因受疫情影響,客戶於109上半年間急拉之存貨尚未去化完畢,故去年同期減少拉貨所致。
2021/61.6757.51-18.5310.54-8.454.911.59-
2021/51.06-50.95-64.578.87-6.264.81.63主係客戶端之產品缺料狀況嚴重,導致大幅度減少對嘉基產品之進貨
2021/42.1738.06-11.487.820.835.691.37-
2021/31.57-19.79.035.6440.575.641.12-
2021/21.96-7.3575.574.0758.256.870.92去年同期因COVID19疫情關係,影響復工,故產能受限所導致
2021/12.11-24.8645.02.1145.07.450.85-
2020/122.8110.9744.724.057.097.380.61-
2020/112.5324.299.4721.243.536.710.67-
2020/102.04-5.0534.7918.712.786.080.74-
2020/92.1412.8171.6916.67-0.115.160.7廠商積極拉貨所致
2020/81.971.090.5714.53-5.925.070.71-
2020/71.11-45.95-35.412.63-6.836.170.59-
2020/62.06-31.5119.5511.51-2.677.510.47-
2020/53.022.5640.739.46-6.456.890.51-
2020/42.4570.07-0.226.46-19.075.00.71-
2020/31.4429.29-5.144.01-27.444.010.62-
2020/21.11-23.48-12.912.57-35.894.510.55-
2020/11.46-25.01-46.651.46-46.655.710.43-
2019/121.94-16.03-20.2922.455.775.760.49-
2019/112.3153.03-6.8820.519.155.070.56-
2019/101.5120.9312.3818.211.594.650.61-
2019/91.25-33.91-22.6616.6911.524.860.64-
2019/81.899.88-14.415.4415.665.330.58-
2019/71.720.03-1.613.5521.615.570.56-
2019/61.72-19.37-22.2611.8325.936.310.54-
2019/52.13-13.142.2410.1140.780.0N/A-
2019/42.4561.6973.017.9840.390.0N/A係新產品出貨所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.432023/11.742022/12.272021/12.112020/11.46
2024/21.382023/22.42022/21.572021/21.962020/21.11
2024/31.752023/32.562022/32.922021/31.572020/31.44
N/AN/A2023/42.312022/42.92021/42.172020/42.45
N/AN/A2023/51.712022/52.912021/51.062020/53.0
N/AN/A2023/61.812022/63.32021/61.672020/62.06
N/AN/A2023/72.012022/72.942021/72.112020/71.11
N/AN/A2023/82.172022/83.462021/82.722020/81.9
N/AN/A2023/92.052022/92.852021/92.622020/92.14
N/AN/A2023/101.622022/102.922021/102.372020/102.04
N/AN/A2023/111.772022/112.982021/111.92020/112.53
N/AN/A2023/122.452022/122.72021/122.52020/122.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.82%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.12-14.29-25.0
23Q3 (19)0.1416.67-50.0
23Q2 (18)0.1233.33-76.92
23Q1 (17)0.09-43.75-89.41
22Q4 (16)0.16-42.86-70.91
22Q3 (15)0.28-46.15-83.91
22Q2 (14)0.52-38.82-62.59
22Q1 (13)0.8554.5513.33
21Q4 (12)0.55-68.39-20.29
21Q3 (11)1.7425.18141.67
21Q2 (10)1.3985.33152.73
21Q1 (9)0.758.70
20Q4 (8)0.69-4.170
20Q3 (7)0.7230.910
20Q2 (6)0.5500

每月營收相關資訊

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