玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/30.6739.81-49.21.8-54.461.8N/A本年累計營收較去年累計減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2024/20.48-26.38-63.651.13-57.091.99N/A本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2024/10.65-24.4-50.50.65-50.52.25N/A本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/120.8615.82-33.3313.34-70.072.613.63本年累計營收較去年累計減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/110.74-26.53-41.8412.48-71.172.543.73本年累計營收較去年累計減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/101.0128.12-20.0211.74-72.062.63.65本年累計營收較去年累計減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/90.79-1.49-65.0610.73-73.672.713.9本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/80.8-28.72-62.599.94-74.183.273.23本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/71.12-16.87-67.599.14-74.863.852.74本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/61.35-2.06-71.558.01-75.634.072.94本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/51.383.12-69.396.66-76.314.032.96本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/41.341.58-75.525.28-77.633.973.01本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/31.320.04-78.273.95-78.273.953.62本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/21.320.25-78.252.63-78.273.923.64本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2023/11.311.82-78.31.31-78.33.883.68本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/121.291.04-77.6144.58-21.983.834.06本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/111.281.03-76.7843.29-15.754.83.24本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/101.26-44.03-75.3242.02-8.445.662.75本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/92.265.46-55.4740.75-0.047.862.14本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/82.14-38.25-57.4638.57.8210.361.62本月營收較去年同期減少,主係全球經濟衰退,故客戶拉貨速度放緩所致。
2022/73.47-27.03-30.9936.3618.5312.721.32-
2022/64.755.38-0.7532.8928.2314.721.28-
2022/54.51-17.52-4.5728.1434.8816.031.17-
2022/45.47-9.8127.1923.6346.4317.581.07-
2022/36.060.1249.1318.1753.4118.171.36因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2022/26.050.051.6412.1155.6517.871.38因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2022/16.055.0859.886.0559.8817.311.42因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/125.764.7869.5657.1581.0616.381.47因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/115.57.3898.1651.3982.4515.681.53因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/105.120.9696.0245.8980.7315.221.58因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/95.070.74126.7340.7778.9815.121.28因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/85.030.17144.1535.773.7914.841.3因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/75.024.94146.630.6765.9414.531.33因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/64.791.3283.8525.6555.9513.811.17因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/54.729.9386.6420.8650.713.081.24因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/44.35.7379.1316.1442.6612.351.31因市場需求增溫,出貨暢旺所致
2021/34.061.840.211.8432.8511.841.15-
2021/23.995.4429.747.7829.311.171.21-
2021/13.7911.4428.843.7928.849.961.36-
2020/123.422.4617.4431.56-15.098.781.31-
2020/112.776.222.4428.16-17.847.621.51-
2020/102.6116.784.2625.39-19.576.911.67-
2020/92.248.48-9.7422.78-21.636.331.47-
2020/82.061.18-25.0720.54-22.746.71.39-
2020/72.04-21.76-41.5218.48-22.477.171.3-
2020/62.62.86-17.7516.45-19.217.531.3-
2020/52.535.51-19.8413.84-19.487.831.25-
2020/42.4-17.24-46.6411.31-19.398.371.17-
2020/32.9-5.79-25.18.91-6.558.911.09-
2020/23.084.737.226.016.18.911.09-
2020/12.941.58-14.252.94-14.258.541.13-
2019/122.896.82-33.8537.1718.098.11.26-
2019/112.718.11-33.2934.2826.477.691.33-
2019/102.51.09-34.4131.5737.07.731.32-
2019/92.48-9.93327.3329.0751.198.711.51本期營收增加主係相較去年同期訂單回溫且出貨暢旺
2019/82.75-21.0227.5126.5942.69.41.4-
2019/73.4810.04298.9923.8444.619.811.34本期營收增加主係相較去年同期訂單回溫且出貨暢旺
2019/63.170.24212.6620.3630.3910.821.26本期營收增加主係相較去年同期訂單回溫且出貨暢旺
2019/53.16-29.763.8217.1917.750.0N/A-
2019/44.516.1690.5314.0321.410.0N/A4月合併營收較去年同期大幅上升,主係本期因應客戶擴廠需求而增加訂單所致
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.652023/11.312022/16.052021/13.792020/12.94
2024/20.482023/21.322022/26.052021/23.992020/23.08
2024/30.672023/31.322022/36.062021/34.062020/32.9
N/AN/A2023/41.342022/45.472021/44.32020/42.4
N/AN/A2023/51.382022/54.512021/54.722020/52.53
N/AN/A2023/61.352022/64.752021/64.792020/62.6
N/AN/A2023/71.122022/73.472021/75.022020/72.04
N/AN/A2023/80.82022/82.142021/85.032020/82.06
N/AN/A2023/90.792022/92.262021/95.072020/92.24
N/AN/A2023/101.012022/101.262021/105.122020/102.61
N/AN/A2023/110.742022/111.282021/115.52020/112.77
N/AN/A2023/120.862022/121.292021/125.762020/123.4
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 79.78%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)5.87-8.71-28.85
23Q3 (19)6.43-14.15-30.49
23Q2 (18)7.49-0.4-34.07
23Q1 (17)7.52-8.85-57.25
22Q4 (16)8.25-10.81-58.54
22Q3 (15)9.25-18.57-42.44
22Q2 (14)11.36-35.4220.98
22Q1 (13)17.59-11.6192.66
21Q4 (12)19.923.83312.86
21Q3 (11)16.0771.141081.62
21Q2 (10)9.392.85250.37
21Q1 (9)9.1389.42164.64
20Q4 (8)4.82254.41-36.33
20Q3 (7)1.36-49.25-82.13
20Q2 (6)2.68-22.32-62.57
20Q1 (5)3.45-54.43-75.32
19Q4 (4)7.57-0.530.0
19Q3 (3)7.616.280.0
19Q2 (2)7.16-48.780.0
19Q1 (1)13.980.00.0

每月營收相關資訊

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