玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.25198.88236600.02.09130678.02.09N/A餘屋銷售
2024/20.420.3677627.80.8478212.12.12N/A餘屋銷售
2024/10.42-67.4978807.50.4278807.524.63N/A餘屋銷售
2023/121.29-94.38-3.5734.01932.7324.653.55餘屋銷售
2023/1122.925073.024245040.032.721570.5932.192.72建案過戶入帳
2023/100.44-94.9783511.39.8400.369.269.45餘屋銷售
2023/98.821633080.01336140.09.35377.868.8211.45建案過戶入帳
2023/80.08.0-63.510.54-72.630.064305.73租賃收入
2023/70.0-5.66-84.270.54-72.640.064717.95租賃收入
2023/60.00.0-70.390.53-72.620.53191.8租賃收入
2023/50.0-99.9-70.390.53-72.620.53191.8租賃收入
2023/40.53100249.099.440.53-72.620.53191.79餘屋銷售
2023/30.0-1.85-99.960.0-99.90.059450.0租賃收入
2023/20.01.88-69.830.0-98.731.3471.23租賃收入
2023/10.0-99.96-99.360.0-99.361.3471.23租賃收入
2022/121.33247002.0-86.393.29-77.931.3468.45公設景觀工程收入入帳
2022/110.01.88-99.791.96-61.730.052838.15租賃收入
2022/100.0-19.69-99.881.96-59.650.034235.96租賃收入
2022/90.0-55.4-67.961.96-55.310.0115661.65租賃收入
2022/80.0-53.45-27.81.96-55.310.0112917.83租賃收入
2022/70.077.6554.361.96-55.320.0112325.44租賃收入
2022/60.00.0-99.191.95-55.370.27275.89租賃收入
2022/50.0-99.32-99.471.95-53.041.8739.96租賃收入
2022/40.27-83.353.891.95-48.921.8739.96餘屋銷售
2022/31.689130.76.121.68-53.811.6842.34建案過戶入帳
2022/20.0-97.84-99.90.08-96.039.897.2租賃收入
2022/10.08-99.15-67.880.08-67.8810.167.01餘屋銷售
2021/129.813603.331.314.93-9.2710.556.21建案過戶入帳
2021/110.26-43.9797.285.12-24.410.7488.58餘屋銷售
2021/100.4722845.651.494.85-26.870.48137.4餘屋銷售
2021/90.00.48-99.74.38-30.740.0110944.89租賃收入
2021/80.0-0.48-99.264.38-22.060.23299.6租賃收入
2021/70.0-99.06-99.734.38-18.050.56120.18租賃收入
2021/60.22-34.6324.94.38-4.30.7386.63餘屋銷售
2021/50.3495.38643.614.15-5.482.0231.49餘屋銷售
2021/40.17-88.48-76.133.82-12.283.5617.86餘屋銷售
2021/31.51-19.8761.433.640.513.6415.41餘屋銷售
2021/21.88626.51-23.992.14-20.5911.824.75餘屋銷售
2021/10.26-97.3217.60.2617.610.075.57餘屋銷售
2020/129.687111.56-13.6816.458.9410.135.62建案交屋入帳及餘屋銷售
2020/110.13-56.97-41.16.7774.221.1549.35餘屋銷售
2020/100.31-55.8718583.86.6481.411.343.9餘屋銷售
2020/90.71154.99434.776.3372.961.7533.65餘屋銷售
2020/80.28-63.95-52.915.6259.381.2248.22餘屋銷售
2020/70.77334.27204.335.3481.910.9959.48餘屋銷售
2020/60.18289.158.974.5770.380.9560.59餘屋銷售
2020/50.05-93.72-95.314.3970.871.733.73餘屋銷售
2020/40.73-22.12139.54.35171.754.1313.92餘屋銷售
2020/30.93-62.27197.963.62179.293.6215.39餘屋銷售
2020/22.471024.08235.832.69173.3513.914.01餘屋銷售
2020/10.22-98.03-11.560.22-11.5611.664.78餘屋銷售
2019/1211.224820.881593.0615.1-17.311.454.94建案過戶入帳及餘屋銷售
2019/110.2313547.9-74.833.89-77.910.36156.23餘屋銷售
2019/100.0-98.73-99.833.66-78.080.7278.2餘屋交換車位價差收入
2019/90.13-77.54-79.943.66-76.660.9753.4餘屋銷售
2019/80.59132.99-92.33.53-76.520.9554.56餘屋銷售
2019/70.25126.84-72.072.94-60.111.3438.94餘屋銷售
2019/60.11-88.52-83.272.68-58.441.3931.23餘屋銷售
2019/50.97220.467.042.57-55.580.0N/A餘屋銷售
2019/40.3-3.11-69.61.6-67.220.0N/A餘屋銷售
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.422023/10.02022/10.082021/10.262020/10.22
2024/20.422023/20.02022/20.02021/21.882020/22.47
2024/31.252023/30.02022/31.62021/31.512020/30.93
N/AN/A2023/40.532022/40.272021/40.172020/40.73
N/AN/A2023/50.02022/50.02021/50.342020/50.05
N/AN/A2023/60.02022/60.02021/60.222020/60.18
N/AN/A2023/70.02022/70.02021/70.02020/70.77
N/AN/A2023/80.02022/80.02021/80.02020/80.28
N/AN/A2023/98.822022/90.02021/90.02020/90.71
N/AN/A2023/100.442022/100.02021/100.472020/100.31
N/AN/A2023/1122.922022/110.02021/110.262020/110.13
N/AN/A2023/121.292022/121.332021/129.812020/129.68
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 140.34%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)16.58-20.932.16
23Q3 (19)20.9711.9635.55
23Q2 (18)18.7310.7628.38
23Q1 (17)16.914.1923.07
22Q4 (16)16.234.9122.49
22Q3 (15)15.476.035.96
22Q2 (14)14.596.199.7
22Q1 (13)13.743.719.27
21Q4 (12)13.25-9.2516.95
21Q3 (11)14.69.7747.18
21Q2 (10)13.315.4566.67
21Q1 (9)11.521.6887.93
20Q4 (8)11.3314.21136.53
20Q3 (7)9.9224.31118.02
20Q2 (6)7.9830.18170.51
20Q1 (5)6.1327.97250.29
19Q4 (4)4.795.270.0
19Q3 (3)4.5554.240.0
19Q2 (2)2.9568.570.0
19Q1 (1)1.750.00.0

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