玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/33.3745.1323.448.912.058.91N/A-
2024/22.33-27.62-14.835.54-7.699.22N/A-
2024/13.21-12.66-1.723.21-1.7210.63N/A-
2023/123.68-1.49-18.9125.97-23.539.380.57-
2023/113.7389.56-9.6822.29-24.247.070.76-
2023/101.9744.34-28.8118.55-26.624.381.23-
2023/91.3631.19-35.1716.58-26.353.61.88-
2023/81.04-13.23-24.7215.22-25.443.342.02-
2023/71.28.51-30.6814.18-25.493.851.76-
2023/61.11-28.31-56.9412.98-24.974.251.26高爾夫市場在第2、3季為傳統淡季,110、111年因疫情關係淡季不淡。 今年六月份恢復以往淡季狀況,因而營收比111年同期減少。
2023/51.54-3.65-36.9311.87-19.45.880.91-
2023/41.6-41.47-56.8910.33-15.927.060.75高爾夫市場在第2、3季為傳統淡季,110、111年因疫情關係淡季不淡。 今年四月份恢復以往淡季狀況,因而營收比111年同期減少。
2023/32.730.13-7.298.731.798.730.62-
2023/22.73-16.49-3.496.06.5610.540.52-
2023/13.27-27.9416.713.2716.7111.940.46-
2022/124.549.7239.4933.969.9311.440.64-
2022/114.1349.420.5629.426.459.010.82-
2022/102.7731.45-12.1825.294.456.261.18-
2022/92.1152.33-24.0422.526.945.221.59-
2022/81.38-20.1-19.4120.4111.645.681.46-
2022/71.73-32.59-30.4919.0314.856.741.23-
2022/62.574.9940.617.322.878.720.58-
2022/52.44-34.14-4.1914.7320.239.10.56-
2022/43.7125.8646.3712.2926.659.490.54-
2022/32.954.235.388.5819.688.580.63-
2022/22.830.9956.125.6328.848.880.61因應客戶新產品鋪貨及市場需求,今年出貨量較往年增加。
2022/12.8-13.879.512.89.519.480.57-
2021/123.25-5.16-15.5630.8938.39.830.51-
2021/113.438.8232.227.6449.539.350.54-
2021/103.1513.6958.6324.2152.367.640.66因應客戶新產品鋪貨及市場需求,今年出貨量較往年增加。
2021/92.7761.6288.3421.0651.466.980.85因應客戶新產品鋪貨及市場需求,今年出貨量較往年增加。
2021/81.72-31.0818.418.2847.096.030.99-
2021/72.4936.35151.6516.5750.886.870.871.去年7月受到新冠疫情影響,基期較低。2.今年因應客戶產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/61.83-28.4543.0214.0840.96.910.71-
2021/52.550.6180.2112.2540.597.880.621.去年5月受到新冠疫情影響,基期較低。2.今年因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/42.54-9.37115.999.732.917.150.691.去年4月受到新冠疫情影響,基期較低。2.今年因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/32.854.419.267.1716.997.170.67-
2021/21.81-29.1523.144.3722.548.220.58-
2021/12.56-33.5922.122.5622.129.00.53-
2020/123.8548.4752.2622.33-7.538.430.57新品上市,客戶拉貨力道強勁
2020/112.5930.57-26.5918.48-14.526.050.79-
2020/101.9934.99-10.3315.89-12.174.910.98-
2020/91.471.617.4713.9-12.423.911.5-
2020/81.4546.4548.4712.43-14.993.711.58-
2020/70.99-22.5-0.3810.98-19.523.681.6-
2020/61.28-9.85-13.479.99-21.023.870.91-
2020/51.4220.58-15.378.72-22.025.150.69-
2020/41.17-54.15-42.097.3-23.195.210.68-
2020/32.5674.03-3.356.13-18.076.130.66-
2020/21.47-29.73-4.563.57-26.146.10.66-
2020/12.09-17.21-36.272.09-36.278.160.49-
2019/122.53-28.41-27.4724.1529.078.280.55-
2019/113.5359.49110.6921.6242.027.00.65新品上市,客戶拉貨力道強勁
2019/102.2276.8572.5618.0933.524.441.03十月份起轉為旺季,客戶增加拉貨力道
2019/91.2528.41133.4715.8729.433.221.84高爾夫市場在第三季為傳統淡季,去年九月份為全年營收最低的月份,今年九月份淡季不淡,因而營收比去年同期增加。
2019/80.98-1.7342.8914.6224.673.441.72-
2019/70.99-32.6864.3513.6523.544.141.43今年(2019年)七月份高爾夫市場淡季不淡,營收比2018年同期增加。
2019/61.47-11.8325.8312.6521.185.180.67-
2019/51.67-17.487.211.1820.590.0N/A-
2019/42.03-23.4823.649.5123.30.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.212023/13.272022/12.82021/12.562020/12.09
2024/22.332023/22.732022/22.832021/21.812020/21.47
2024/33.372023/32.732022/32.952021/32.82020/32.56
N/AN/A2023/41.62022/43.712021/42.542020/41.17
N/AN/A2023/51.542022/52.442021/52.552020/51.42
N/AN/A2023/61.112022/62.572021/61.832020/61.28
N/AN/A2023/71.22022/71.732021/72.492020/70.99
N/AN/A2023/81.042022/81.382021/81.722020/81.45
N/AN/A2023/91.362022/92.112021/92.772020/91.47
N/AN/A2023/101.972022/102.772021/103.152020/101.99
N/AN/A2023/113.732022/114.132021/113.432020/112.59
N/AN/A2023/123.682022/124.542021/123.252020/123.85
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (19)0.010.0-50.0
23Q2 (18)0.010.00.0
23Q1 (17)0.010.00.0
22Q4 (16)0.01-50.0-50.0
22Q3 (15)0.02100.0-33.33
22Q2 (14)0.010.0-66.67
22Q1 (13)0.01-50.0-66.67
21Q4 (12)0.02-33.33-33.33
21Q3 (11)0.030.00
21Q2 (10)0.030.00
21Q1 (9)0.030.00
20Q4 (8)0.030200.0

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