玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)2990.00.0-1.01-139.76-199.021.903.83-45.715.66-15.14-50.0947.27-29.32-55.4522.5922.7723.655.73-33.91-50.13-3.03-139.97-199.67-6.27-138.87-263.71-7.01-159.21-325.4-19.83-63.433.61
23Q3 (19)2990.00.02.5412.89-17.81.833.39-15.676.6761.11-35.3766.88-10.34-29.0618.40-0.59-0.338.67-11.44-8.937.5812.8-17.9716.137.123.8911.8424.3719.11-10.7015.97-9.82
23Q2 (18)2990.00.02.2519.05-29.471.77-23.0422.074.14119.05-42.6674.59-11.06-15.3318.518.188.379.791.2426.496.7218.94-29.4915.0649.72.599.5227.27-12.58-16.0152.17-28.66
23Q1 (17)2990.00.01.8985.29-53.222.30-34.29248.481.89-83.33-53.2283.87-20.962.8317.11-6.3515.539.67-15.8472.065.6585.86-53.1910.06162.66-47.777.48140.51-50.33-4.219.1513.50
22Q4 (16)2990.00.01.02-66.99-78.063.5061.29877.7811.349.88-27.07106.1112.5561.4618.27-1.0323.5311.4920.69325.563.04-67.1-78.133.83-70.58-85.973.11-68.71-85.449.79-35.0655.47
22Q3 (15)2990.00.03.09-3.13-24.082.1749.66623.3310.3242.94-5.3294.287.0325.5718.468.0831.119.5223.094.689.24-3.04-24.1413.02-11.31-39.539.94-8.72-40.837.52-12.0884.68
22Q2 (14)2990.00.03.19-21.047.411.45119.7353.127.2278.715.7188.098.0120.7917.0815.3317.157.7437.7259.599.53-21.047.214.68-23.78-16.1610.89-27.69-15.1916.05-17.08183.19
22Q1 (13)2990.00.04.04-13.124.660.66246.671200.04.04-74.024.6681.5624.11.7214.810.1419.445.62108.1562.912.07-13.174.6819.26-29.451.815.06-29.491.765.820.57-1.67
21Q4 (12)2990.00.04.6514.2528.81-0.45-250.0-245.1615.5542.6616.3965.72-12.47-5.4314.795.0415.192.7-44.79-27.0313.914.1228.8227.3026.839.8621.3627.1435.88-4.7625.64-128.12
21Q3 (11)2990.00.04.0737.04-9.760.30-6.25-38.7810.9059.5911.7975.082.953.1714.08-3.436.834.890.82-9.1112.1837.01-9.7121.5322.96-9.9516.8030.84-10.59-3.046.99313.54
21Q2 (10)2990.00.342.97-23.06-19.070.32633.33-54.296.8376.9430.3472.93-9.04-3.9114.5817.58-6.724.8540.58-21.658.89-22.9-18.8117.51-7.45-11.6512.84-13.24-15.83.17-8.06256.99
21Q1 (9)2990.00.03.866.93145.86-0.06-119.35-109.523.86-71.11145.8680.1815.3852.5512.40-3.43-13.043.45-6.76-3.3611.536.86145.3218.92-3.0755.4614.80-5.8557.115.44-6.52-78.04
20Q4 (8)2990.00.03.61-19.9682.320.31-36.73-63.5313.3637.0359.6269.49-4.51-5.3112.84-2.582.073.7-31.23-8.8710.79-20.0181.9619.52-18.3692.1315.72-16.3494.31-4.311.46-33.36
20Q3 (7)2990.340.04.5122.8956.60.49-30.0-56.259.7586.0752.5872.77-4.12-7.013.18-15.67-4.085.38-13.09-0.9213.4923.256.523.9120.6474.6518.7923.2173.3420.1478.32-9.45
20Q2 (6)298-0.33-0.333.67133.7693.160.7011.11-27.085.24233.7649.7175.944.411.1315.639.6112.046.1973.3931.710.95132.9892.7819.8262.8697.815.2561.89103.68.0156.52-7.38
20Q1 (5)2990.00.01.57-20.71-1.880.63-25.8840.01.57-81.24-1.8852.56-28.38-5.7214.2613.352.743.57-12.0722.684.7-20.74-1.8812.1719.786.759.4216.445.72--0.00
19Q4 (4)2990.00.01.98-31.250.00.85-24.110.08.3730.990.073.39-6.210.012.58-8.440.04.06-25.230.05.93-31.210.010.16-25.790.08.09-25.370.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)2990.00.02.8851.580.01.1216.670.06.3982.570.078.254.260.013.74-1.510.05.4315.530.08.6251.760.013.6936.630.010.8444.730.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)2990.00.01.9018.750.00.96113.330.03.50118.750.075.0534.620.013.950.50.04.761.510.05.6818.580.010.02-12.110.07.49-15.940.0--0.00
19Q1 (1)2990.00.01.600.00.00.450.00.01.600.00.055.750.00.013.880.00.02.910.00.04.790.00.011.400.00.08.910.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/327.0871.07-19.7458.64-29.8458.64N/A-
2024/215.830.59-41.3731.56-36.6746.84N/A-
2024/115.732.99-31.1215.73-31.1246.82N/A配合市場需求調整
2023/1215.28-3.38-56.44271.63-26.4346.332.06依市場需求配合調整
2023/1115.813.71-56.83256.36-23.2750.451.89因應市場,配合需求調整
2023/1015.25-21.38-54.85240.55-19.1455.071.73配合市場庫存調節
2023/919.39-5.09-38.56225.3-14.5767.291.36-
2023/820.43-25.58-32.36205.91-11.3169.441.32-
2023/727.4627.45-15.67185.47-8.1677.851.18-
2023/621.54-25.3-27.99158.01-6.7274.441.35-
2023/528.8419.92-6.47136.47-2.1586.631.16-
2023/424.05-28.71-11.15107.63-0.9384.781.19-
2023/333.7424.971.0983.582.4583.581.24-
2023/227.018.1717.5249.843.3984.921.22-
2023/122.84-34.88-9.4722.84-9.4794.551.1-
2022/1235.08-4.2256.92369.2225.82105.480.97去年基期較低,今年產品平均單價亦較高
2022/1136.638.4676.66334.1423.26101.961.01.去年基期較低; 2.零組件供料較順暢; 3.EBIKE佔比高; 4.生產效率提升
2022/1033.776.9848.37297.5118.8395.551.07-
2022/931.574.4773.18263.7415.8894.341.08去年同期基期較低
2022/830.21-7.2117.45232.1810.8992.71.09-
2022/732.568.836.16201.979.9793.321.09-
2022/629.92-2.9719.12169.410.7487.830.97-
2022/530.8413.9231.06139.489.0991.280.93-
2022/427.07-18.8812.37108.644.1383.411.02-
2022/333.3745.274.4581.581.6681.581.05-
2022/222.97-8.96-14.948.2-0.1870.561.21-
2022/125.2312.8718.4725.2318.4768.321.25-
2021/1222.357.81-7.88293.448.3165.851.17-
2021/1120.73-8.89-9.21271.099.961.721.25-
2021/1022.7624.862.6250.3511.8566.711.16-
2021/918.23-29.14-24.04227.5912.8774.620.92-
2021/825.72-16.128.72209.3717.8681.510.85-
2021/730.6722.1121.0183.6419.2679.320.87-
2021/625.126.75-14.24152.9718.9272.731.0-
2021/523.53-2.31-8.87127.8628.779.560.91-
2021/424.09-24.615.11104.3341.8983.030.88-
2021/331.9518.3568.1480.2452.5580.240.78市場需求持續強勁(淡季不淡)供給及船運逐步紓解
2021/226.9926.7460.9148.2943.7472.560.87全球市場需求持續強大,供料.產能逐步提高,船運物流日漸紓解,銷售量額大幅成長
2021/121.3-12.2326.6121.326.6168.40.92-
2020/1224.276.250.55270.92-3.3269.290.72-
2020/1122.842.9612.85246.65-3.6969.020.72-
2020/1022.18-7.56-17.28223.81-5.1169.840.71-
2020/924.01.421.6201.63-3.5573.00.54-
2020/823.66-6.65-10.08177.64-4.278.290.5-
2020/725.35-13.45-10.39153.98-3.2380.450.49-
2020/629.2913.4215.58128.63-1.6876.030.49-
2020/525.8223.47.8699.34-5.8365.750.57-
2020/420.9210.12-18.8973.52-9.8556.70.66-
2020/319.013.253.8552.6-5.6752.60.93-
2020/216.78-0.26-3.0633.6-10.3257.730.84-
2020/116.82-30.3-16.5516.82-16.5561.190.8-
2019/1224.1319.2519.3280.248.5871.190.65-
2019/1120.24-24.539.61256.117.6770.670.66-
2019/1026.8213.5433.71235.877.5176.750.61-
2019/923.62-10.2423.15209.064.8778.220.57-
2019/826.31-6.97-2.14185.442.9379.940.56-
2019/728.2911.6313.72159.123.8277.560.58-
2019/625.345.857.57130.841.975.080.52-
2019/523.94-7.21-15.12105.50.630.0N/A-
2019/425.841.0135.7881.566.430.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)2990.05.64-49.917.790.0272.61-26.3318.768.6333.86-1.4827.5-38.8616.92-50.07
2022 (9)2990.011.26-27.267.796391.67370.0325.917.2724.1634.37116.344.98-27.5133.89-27.12
2021 (8)2990.015.4816.650.12-94.37293.918.5713.91-0.5715.89-15.6662.0518.3946.516.45
2020 (7)2990.013.2759.32.13-36.8270.72-4.1513.993.4818.8410.1152.4163.5839.9359.59
2019 (6)2990.08.3346.43.37129.25282.439.2413.523.1317.1126.6532.0422.225.0246.4
2018 (5)2990.05.69113.911.47-44.32258.5315.4413.119.5213.5131.2926.22153.0917.09114.43
2017 (4)2990.02.66-58.312.64-23.03223.96-2.2111.97-16.710.29-33.1410.36-57.387.97-58.47
2016 (3)2990.06.38-36.833.43-47.87229.01-18.4814.37-16.3615.39-45.524.31-37.6219.19-36.88
2015 (2)2990.010.10-9.256.5813.06280.943.2217.18-3.9728.246.1338.97-8.7430.4-9.25
2014 (1)2994.9111.139.665.827.18272.177.5417.89026.610.0842.78.3533.515.24

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