玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/324.82.5152.973.4101.773.4N/A受到終端消費性市場需求回溫,客戶拉貨動能較去年同期增加
2024/224.2-0.86117.0248.6140.9571.84N/A受到終端消費性市場需求回溫,客戶拉貨動能較去年同期增加。
2024/124.415.02170.5424.41170.5470.46N/A受到終端消費性市場需求回溫,客戶拉貨動能較去年同期增加。
2023/1223.241.87138.69224.42-3.9163.30.36受到終端消費性市場需求回溫,客戶拉貨動能較去年同期增加。
2023/1122.8132.254.25201.18-10.1163.80.36受到終端消費性市場需求回溫,客戶拉貨動能較去年同期增加。
2023/1017.25-27.29-6.61178.37-14.6757.750.4-
2023/923.7341.6134.43161.11-15.4561.640.15-
2023/816.76-20.758.78137.38-20.5460.10.15-
2023/721.15-4.6934.72120.62-23.4160.030.15-
2023/622.1933.035.0599.47-29.8563.080.29-
2023/516.68-31.06-14.2977.28-38.3557.110.32-
2023/424.249.210.5160.6-42.7851.570.35-
2023/316.2245.49-49.5436.39-55.5236.390.39受到消費型電子市場需求減少,終端手機需求下滑致客戶需求降低,故營收較前期下降
2023/211.1523.58-49.3620.17-59.3929.910.47受到消費型電子市場需求減少,終端手機需求下滑致客戶需求降低,故營收較前期下降
2023/19.02-7.34-67.389.02-67.3833.540.42受到消費型電子市場需求減少,終端手機需求下滑致客戶需求降低,故營收較前期下降
2022/129.74-34.16-57.11233.56-19.9643.00.4受到消費型電子市場需求減少,終端手機需求下滑致客戶需求降低,故營收較前期下降
2022/1114.79-19.96-59.97223.83-16.8350.920.34受到消費型電子市場需求減少,終端手機需求下滑致客戶需求降低,故營收較前期下降
2022/1018.484.664.11209.04-9.9751.540.34-
2022/917.6514.59-18.75190.56-11.1348.760.51-
2022/815.41-1.86-24.37172.91-10.2747.540.52-
2022/715.7-4.45-25.72157.5-8.6151.60.48-
2022/616.43-15.59-33.75141.8-6.2259.980.5-
2022/519.47-19.16-39.69125.37-0.8175.70.39-
2022/424.08-25.09-3.82105.912.5178.250.38-
2022/332.1546.0125.8781.8218.4381.820.24-
2022/222.02-20.386.8949.6714.0772.380.27-
2022/127.6621.8120.5227.6620.5287.310.23-
2021/1222.7-38.543.51291.848.5377.40.29-
2021/1136.95108.19134.38269.148.9776.420.3客戶需求增加,致使營收大幅提升
2021/1017.75-18.33-27.04232.190.4259.850.38-
2021/921.736.67-21.2214.443.6563.240.4-
2021/820.37-3.61-7.89192.717.4866.310.38-
2021/721.14-14.79-23.44172.349.6478.220.32-
2021/624.8-23.1518.35151.2116.9382.120.3-
2021/532.2828.989.74126.416.6682.860.29因筆記型電腦需求提升,使面板銷售量較去年同期成長。
2021/425.04-1.9649.4594.133.0571.180.34-
2021/325.5424.0-22.7169.09-7.3769.090.24-
2021/220.6-10.23-2.3943.554.8365.480.25-
2021/122.954.6212.2922.9512.2960.640.27-
2020/1221.9339.1425.13268.917.9962.020.23-
2020/1115.76-35.19-0.7246.9617.467.670.21-
2020/1024.33-11.7944.45231.218.8874.020.19-
2020/927.5824.6835.36206.8816.4577.30.19-
2020/822.12-19.897.64179.314.0170.680.21-
2020/727.6131.7334.52157.1814.9665.580.22-
2020/620.9623.20.65129.3111.2854.720.36-
2020/517.011.53-22.0108.3513.666.810.3-
2020/416.75-49.3-25.2291.3424.1570.90.28-
2020/333.0556.5981.6474.5845.7874.580.26因智慧型手機配置的光學鏡頭鏡片數和畫素提升,使CMOS在數量及單價上均較去年同期成長
2020/221.13.2786.2441.5425.9959.070.32因智慧型手機配置的光學鏡頭鏡片數和畫素提升,使CMOS在數量及單價上均較去年同期成長
2020/120.4316.57-5.5520.43-5.5553.840.35-
2019/1217.5310.425.64227.88-13.1750.240.25-
2019/1115.88-5.72-5.53210.35-15.3553.090.23-
2019/1016.84-17.34-25.0194.48-16.0657.760.22-
2019/920.37-0.84-16.95177.64-15.161.440.15-
2019/820.550.11-21.67157.26-14.8661.890.15-
2019/720.52-1.43-13.15136.72-13.763.150.14-
2019/620.82-4.52-17.35116.2-13.8365.040.2-
2019/521.81-2.65-8.4895.37-13.020.0N/A-
2019/422.423.14-8.2473.57-14.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/124.412023/19.022022/127.662021/122.952020/120.43
2024/224.22023/211.152022/222.022021/220.62020/221.1
2024/324.82023/316.222022/332.152021/325.542020/333.05
N/AN/A2023/424.22022/424.082021/425.042020/416.75
N/AN/A2023/516.682022/519.472021/532.282020/517.01
N/AN/A2023/622.192022/616.432021/624.82020/620.96
N/AN/A2023/721.152022/715.72021/721.142020/727.61
N/AN/A2023/816.762022/815.412021/820.372020/822.12
N/AN/A2023/923.732022/917.652021/921.732020/927.58
N/AN/A2023/1017.252022/1018.482021/1017.752020/1024.33
N/AN/A2023/1122.812022/1114.792021/1136.952020/1115.76
N/AN/A2023/1223.242022/129.742021/1222.72020/1221.93
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)1.31-47.18-5.76
23Q3 (19)2.48-58.8718.1
23Q2 (18)6.03-34.31157.69
23Q1 (17)9.18560.43335.07
22Q4 (16)1.39-33.81-75.0
22Q3 (15)2.1-10.26556.25
22Q2 (14)2.3410.9172.09
22Q1 (13)2.11-62.05322.0
21Q4 (12)5.561637.51012.0
21Q3 (11)0.32-62.79-13.51
21Q2 (10)0.8672.0-27.73
21Q1 (9)0.50.0-84.89
20Q4 (8)0.535.14-1.96
20Q3 (7)0.37-68.91-21.28
20Q2 (6)1.19-64.05147.92
20Q1 (5)3.31549.02117.76
19Q4 (4)0.518.510.0
19Q3 (3)0.47-2.080.0
19Q2 (2)0.48-68.420.0
19Q1 (1)1.520.00.0

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