玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
23Q4 (20)340.00.01.69-54.32-85.72.41-16.32-80.7213.5214.19-58.046.73-31.61-60.6242.7222.51-12.350.75-43.61-85.660.58-54.33-85.647.53-54.22-74.368.64-32.92-63.42-17.43-30.45-23.21
23Q3 (19)340.00.03.70-6.57-65.612.88-30.1-70.8511.8445.45-42.059.84-3.24-36.7234.870.26-25.791.33-19.88-69.51.27-6.62-65.5816.453.33-45.4812.88-3.52-45.7-1.18-5.92-15.05
23Q2 (18)340.00.03.96-5.26-35.194.120.0-31.338.1494.74-15.5610.170.89-3.7834.78-7.82-19.991.66-9.29-34.131.36-4.9-34.6215.92-13.99-34.3813.35-6.18-32.3-20.07-34.95-33.52
23Q1 (17)340.00.04.18-64.6418.754.12-67.0440.144.18-87.0318.7510.08-41.0225.8437.73-22.591.11.83-65.0139.691.43-64.620.1718.51-36.98-1.1714.23-39.75-4.43-15.56-27.39-20.26
22Q4 (16)340.00.011.829.8568.6212.5026.5284.9132.2257.71122.8217.099.981.0448.743.720.355.2319.9588.134.049.4971.1929.37-2.65-2.223.62-0.42-5.4828.5042.9745.59
22Q3 (15)340.00.010.7676.1202.259.8864.67184.7320.43111.93173.8615.5547.11105.9646.998.115.374.3673.02194.593.6977.4204.9630.1724.3651.323.7220.2848.5339.5374.8484.38
22Q2 (14)340.00.06.1173.58144.46.00104.08131.669.64173.86147.8110.5731.9664.6443.4716.4812.32.5292.37140.02.0874.79144.7124.2629.5252.119.7232.4449.738.4111.8923.79
22Q1 (13)340.03.033.52-49.79155.072.94-56.51113.043.52-75.66155.078.01-15.1546.4437.32-23.164.831.31-52.88114.751.19-49.58158.718.73-37.6370.7414.89-40.4278.754.9423.5619.15
21Q4 (12)340.013.337.0196.9180.676.7694.8193.1414.4693.83-16.999.4425.0351.7748.5719.2511.582.7887.8498.572.3695.04100.030.0350.634.3624.9956.4831.6621.3269.6664.39
21Q3 (11)340.09.683.5642.4-30.473.4733.98-22.897.4691.77-44.997.5517.6-8.7140.735.220.641.4840.95-22.921.2142.35-22.9319.9425.02-16.1115.9721.26-15.6417.4861.7860.83
21Q2 (10)343.0313.332.5081.16-70.342.5987.68-66.753.89181.88-53.866.4217.37-56.0638.718.740.751.0572.13-68.660.8584.78-66.815.9545.4-28.6413.1758.1-24.962.668.3613.56
21Q1 (9)3310.010.01.38-64.43-59.171.38-60.57-57.011.38-92.08-59.175.47-12.06-8.6835.60-18.22-8.180.61-56.43-56.430.46-61.02-54.910.97-50.92-50.728.33-56.11-51.23-18.43-44.33-41.39
20Q4 (8)30-3.233.453.88-24.22-21.143.50-22.22-13.7917.4228.47-8.326.22-24.79-5.7643.537.56-3.311.4-27.08-17.651.18-24.84-18.0622.35-5.97-15.9818.980.26-13.25-34.09-31.74-32.22
20Q3 (7)313.333.335.12-39.26-10.494.50-42.23-12.1113.5660.85-0.448.27-43.39-1.1940.475.34-12.331.92-42.69-11.931.57-38.67-9.2523.776.35-8.3318.937.86-8.5550.2655.0850.23
20Q2 (6)300.07.148.43149.410.367.79142.6811.298.43149.410.3614.61143.9111.738.42-0.9-10.043.35139.2911.32.56150.987.1122.350.4-3.0817.552.75-4.1567.3359.0560.87
20Q1 (5)303.4503.38-31.303.21-20.9403.38-82.2105.99-9.24038.77-13.8801.4-17.6501.02-29.17022.26-16.32017.08-21.940--0.00
19Q4 (4)29-3.330.04.92-13.990.04.06-20.70.019.0039.50.06.6-21.150.045.02-2.470.01.7-22.020.01.44-16.760.026.602.580.021.885.70.0--0.00
19Q3 (3)307.140.05.72-31.90.05.12-26.860.013.6262.140.08.37-36.010.046.168.080.02.18-27.570.01.73-27.620.025.9312.450.020.7013.050.0--0.00
19Q2 (2)2800.08.4000.07.0000.08.4000.013.0800.042.7100.03.0100.02.3900.023.0600.018.3100.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/33.9325.8450.0410.736.4310.73N/A受惠AI、HPC應用及手機客戶市場急單需求,致本月營收變動達50%以上
2024/23.12-15.05-2.466.8-8.878.52N/A-
2024/13.68113.83-13.693.68-13.697.85N/A-
2023/121.72-29.77-63.9836.82-28.116.730.86受半導體產業景氣衰退影響,去年比較基期較高,致營收變動達50%以上
2023/112.45-4.41-63.2135.1-24.428.780.66受供應鏈及終端庫存去化時間拉長,且去年比較基期較高,致營收變動達50%以上。
2023/102.56-32.05-54.7432.65-17.949.760.59受供應鏈及終端庫存調節持續進行,且去年比較基期較高,致營收變動達50%以上。
2023/93.7710.05-39.630.09-11.839.840.52-
2023/83.4329.48-32.4526.32-5.619.870.52-
2023/72.65-30.37-37.5222.890.3410.350.5-
2023/63.8-2.68-32.0820.258.9710.170.59-
2023/53.9158.7243.2116.4526.678.990.67-
2023/42.46-6.079.412.5422.278.280.72-
2023/32.62-18.192.4210.0825.8910.080.69-
2023/23.2-24.8338.747.4636.9112.240.57-
2023/14.26-10.7635.564.2635.5615.690.44-
2022/124.77-28.2772.5351.2277.417.090.45訂單增加,營收增加。
2022/116.6617.5896.7246.4577.9118.560.41訂單增加,營收增加。
2022/105.66-9.3271.8539.7975.1216.980.45訂單增加,營收增加。
2022/96.2423.1154.6734.1375.6715.550.4訂單增加,營收增加。
2022/85.0719.7582.427.8964.2614.90.42訂單增加,營收增加
2022/74.24-24.3183.0522.8260.7112.560.5訂單增加,營收增加
2022/65.6105.21134.4518.5856.3610.570.44受惠於近期訂單增加及上海因疫情封控致使子公司磐時上海營收遞延至本月認列,兩主要因素所致
2022/52.7321.2425.1312.9836.737.530.62受大陸上海疫情防控措施,子公司磐時上海自3月底至5月份未能及時開立發票及立帳,相關營收延遲認列,預計不影響第二季整體營收
2022/42.25-12.0621.4710.2640.197.110.65受大陸上海疫情防控措施,子公司磐時電子自3月底至4月份未能及時開立發票及立帳,相關營收延遲認列,預計不影響第二季整體營收
2022/32.5610.8125.418.0146.538.010.45-
2022/22.31-26.5560.845.4559.18.220.44訂單增加,營收增加
2022/13.1413.5657.853.1457.859.290.39訂單增加,營收增加
2021/122.77-18.2259.5528.87-0.779.440.37訂單增加,營收增加
2021/113.382.7262.1426.11-4.599.130.38訂單增加,營收增加
2021/103.2934.3637.1122.72-10.18.530.41-
2021/92.45-11.8313.8219.43-15.067.550.41-
2021/82.7820.18-0.5516.98-18.077.480.42-
2021/72.31-3.06-30.2514.2-20.86.880.45-
2021/62.399.52-7.3611.88-18.656.420.53-
2021/52.1817.69-29.229.5-21.076.070.57-
2021/41.85-9.21-37.527.32-18.275.330.64-
2021/32.0442.13-25.675.47-8.745.470.62-
2021/21.43-27.923.913.435.575.160.66-
2021/11.9914.796.791.996.795.810.59-
2020/121.73-16.89-3.5429.12.586.220.67-
2020/112.09-13.13-13.4627.363.06.640.63-
2020/102.411.54-11.3125.284.647.350.57-
2020/92.15-22.973.3722.876.668.270.56-
2020/82.8-15.714.3920.727.018.690.53-
2020/73.3228.75-8.017.937.438.970.51-
2020/62.58-16.32-25.6514.6111.698.620.55-
2020/53.083.8930.8312.0325.158.790.54-
2020/42.968.0141.68.9523.317.090.67-
2020/32.7498.7163.575.9915.915.990.73訂單增加,營收增加
2020/21.38-25.9222.53.24-7.05.040.86-
2020/11.863.67-21.081.86-21.086.070.72-
2019/121.8-25.43-8.4428.3668.216.920.49營業規模擴大,營收增加
2019/112.41-10.9755.826.5778.327.20.47營業規模擴大,營收增加
2019/102.7130.02115.3124.1580.937.470.46-
2019/92.08-22.2146.4621.4577.350.0N/A-
2019/82.680.041.6819.3681.470.0N/A-
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)340.013.35-57.9313.53-56.836.82-28.1137.06-18.245.57-58.495.61-59.294.64-57.82
2022 (9)340.031.73123.1431.32120.4151.2277.4245.338.2413.42126.6913.78131.2111.0125.87
2021 (8)3413.3314.22-16.1614.21-10.0128.87-0.7941.884.465.92-11.385.96-9.974.87-8.29
2020 (7)303.4516.96-7.1715.79-2.5929.13.7840.09-9.466.68-2.916.62-4.615.31-4.67
2019 (6)293.5718.27117.2416.21136.6428.0466.3144.288.856.88135.626.94128.295.57127.35
2018 (5)280.08.4173.766.8550.2216.8635.7540.68-1.092.9251.33.0469.832.4575.0
2017 (4)280.04.8404.56-36.2212.42-23.841.132.521.93-34.351.79-42.261.4-45.95
2016 (3)2800.0007.15016.3040.1202.9403.102.590

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