玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/31.9922.619.935.6737.325.67N/A-
2024/21.62-20.9622.23.6849.025.66N/A-
2024/12.053.9180.282.0580.285.82N/A去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,需求減緩,造成基期較低;而今年1月份出貨金額略為回升,一增一減造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/121.9810.3978.0921.6-3.745.650.32去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,需求減緩,造成基期較低;而今年12月份出貨金額略為回升,一增一減造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/111.79-4.8234.619.62-8.015.860.31-
2023/101.88-14.0649.3417.83-10.845.970.3-
2023/92.1915.6477.5815.95-14.895.880.32去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,銷售不如預期,造成基期較低;而今年九月出貨略為回升,一增一減,造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/81.895.1630.7913.76-21.45.440.35-
2023/71.83.38-5.7911.86-26.115.730.33-
2023/61.74-20.36-22.3210.06-28.865.930.33-
2023/52.199.11-12.728.32-30.095.850.34-
2023/42.020.73-23.346.13-34.724.990.4-
2023/31.6624.93-33.74.13-39.114.130.49-
2023/21.3316.59-30.12.47-42.283.580.56-
2023/11.142.65-52.031.14-52.033.580.56因市場需求變化及遇農曆春節假期間工作日減少,導致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期大幅減少。
2022/121.11-16.56-48.4422.44-23.13.70.5-
2022/111.335.59-47.2721.33-21.083.820.48-
2022/101.262.18-47.3820.0-18.383.940.47-
2022/91.23-14.82-50.8418.74-15.244.590.39較去年同期減少,主係終端市場需求減緩致使營收下滑。
2022/81.45-24.25-41.8717.51-10.685.60.32-
2022/71.91-14.75-25.5616.06-6.146.660.27-
2022/62.24-10.52-16.1714.15-2.717.360.27-
2022/52.51-4.16-7.011.90.317.630.26-
2022/42.624.42-0.859.42.467.020.28-
2022/32.531.71-2.666.783.796.780.31-
2022/21.9-19.980.964.287.996.430.33-
2022/12.3810.3314.362.3814.367.050.3-
2021/122.15-14.67-25.5329.1816.967.070.26-
2021/112.525.391.1427.0322.537.430.25-
2021/102.39-4.535.0724.525.267.390.25-
2021/92.510.7-12.7922.1127.927.570.3-
2021/82.49-2.9910.9519.636.057.730.29-
2021/72.57-3.9918.6317.1140.697.940.28-
2021/62.68-0.7461.5514.5445.468.010.28因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/52.692.1781.9111.8742.277.910.28因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/42.642.5178.529.1733.717.090.32因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/32.5736.6242.316.5321.416.530.32-
2021/21.88-9.36-0.643.9610.836.850.3-
2021/12.08-28.1623.792.0823.797.470.28-
2020/122.8915.973.1624.9529.097.670.21因逢傳統旺季且為防範海運櫃位日漸難搶且海運費持續上漲,客戶將部分需求提前於年底前拉貨以減少櫃位競爭及運費成本上漲的影響
2020/112.59.4848.022.0624.927.650.21-
2020/102.28-20.7739.8119.5622.487.40.22-
2020/92.8828.1384.1717.2820.517.290.22受疫情影響,國外消費模式改變,網路通路銷售為主之客戶需求目前處於高檔,及實體銷售通路客戶也因應傳統旺季來臨,需求也增加
2020/82.253.7146.4614.4112.736.070.27-
2020/72.1630.7349.0812.168.145.30.31-
2020/61.6611.779.410.02.074.610.34-
2020/51.480.26-16.238.340.734.770.33-
2020/41.48-18.27-0.216.865.345.180.3-
2020/31.81-4.614.155.386.975.380.29-
2020/21.912.9256.873.578.465.240.31.工作天數較多 2.客戶需求增加
2020/11.680.48-19.571.68-19.575.030.31-
2019/121.67-0.93-0.2419.339.734.990.23-
2019/111.693.43-3.2617.6610.774.880.24-
2019/101.634.372.0915.9712.54.720.25-
2019/91.561.89-7.4114.3413.824.550.25-
2019/81.535.57-4.3112.7817.14.50.25-
2019/71.45-4.0610.0411.2520.794.730.24-
2019/61.51-14.42-4.119.7922.574.760.28-
2019/51.7719.4418.078.2829.130.0N/A-
2019/41.48-14.6937.886.5132.510.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
存貨銷售比
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.052023/11.142022/12.382021/12.082020/11.68
2024/21.622023/21.332022/21.92021/21.882020/21.9
2024/31.992023/31.662022/32.52021/32.572020/31.81
N/AN/A2023/42.02022/42.622021/42.642020/41.48
N/AN/A2023/52.192022/52.512021/52.692020/51.48
N/AN/A2023/61.742022/62.242021/62.682020/61.66
N/AN/A2023/71.82022/71.912021/72.572020/72.16
N/AN/A2023/81.892022/81.452021/82.492020/82.25
N/AN/A2023/92.192022/91.232021/92.512020/92.88
N/AN/A2023/101.882022/101.262021/102.392020/102.28
N/AN/A2023/111.792022/111.332021/112.522020/112.5
N/AN/A2023/121.982022/121.112021/122.152020/122.89
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.16%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
23Q4 (20)0.0100.0

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